COVID19, hidden figures and OODA

20th March 2021

What figures about COVID19 do you believe?

Indeed, what figures can you believe?

Do you simply take them all at face value, and work from there? That would certainly be nice, but it’s not really possible, and you would come to some pretty weird conclusions.

For example, I was running through the Worldometer site the other day. Yes, what an exciting life I now lead.  Sitting right on top to each-other, on ‘deaths per million’ of the population were: Singapore, New Zealand and China. They are way down towards the very bottom of the list.

Deaths per million

  • Singapore (188) = 5 deaths per million (total deaths 30)
  • New Zealand (189) = 5 deaths per million (total deaths 26)
  • China (190) = 3 deaths per million (total deaths 4,636)

Just to give you a quick comparison with countries rather closer to the top of that list, where the deaths per million are around four hundred times higher, on average:

Deaths per million

Czechia (3)                                        = 2,206 deaths per million

UK (6)                                                = 1,843 deaths per million

USA (12)                                            = 1,649 deaths per million

Returning to Singapore, New Zealand and China. What do they have in common? From a COVID19 perspective they all locked down pretty hard. At least they say they did. They are all pretty wealthy countries. Apart from that… not much.

On the surface, there is nothing much to get excited, or confused about, yet. However, when you start looking a little more closely, you begin to notice stranger things. For example, if we look at total ‘cases.’

Total COVID19 cases

  • Singapore = 60,121
  • New Zealand = 2,432
  • China = 90,062

So, China with a population of 1.4Bn (One billion, four hundred million) had ninety thousand cases. Singapore with population of just over five and a half million, had sixty thousand cases. Just in case you cannot do the mental arithmetic. Singapore’s population is two hundred and forty-six times smaller than China’s.

Which means that Singapore had two thirds the number of cases in China – resulting in almost the same rate of deaths per million but in a population two hundred and fifty times smaller.

Where does this then take us? It takes us to a place where the case fatality rates are widely different. Not just between China and Singapore, but in all three countries. In fact, these figures are not even in the same ballpark. Not even in the same city. By case fatality rate (CFR) I mean the percentage of people with a clear-cut infection, who then died [terms and conditions apply].

Here are the resultant case fatality rates from the three countries, in order.

Case fatality rates

China                                                 = 5%

New Zealand                                    = 1%

Singapore                                          = 0.05%

Which means that, using the figures provided, the case fatality rate from COVID19 is one hundred times higher in China than in Singapore. Or, to put it another way, you are one hundred times more likely to die if you get COVID19 in China than in Singapore.

On the other hand, you are only twenty times more likely to die in New Zealand than in Singapore. So, should we all rush to Singapore and find out what on earth they can be doing to cure so many people. Or….

Yes, you’re right. These figures simply do not add up. Not even remotely. Medical interventions, sadly, have made very little difference to mortality rates from COVID19. A few percentage points here or there. So that cannot even remotely explain such massive differences.

What is the other explanation? It is, and can only be, that we cannot possibly be comparing like with like. Which, in turn, means that the figures in one, or all of these countries, are so incomplete, biased or wrong, as to be utterly useless.

Are they missing cases, or not counting cases, or defining cases and deaths from COVID19 in completely different ways? Whichever of these is true it doesn’t really matter. The only thing that really matters is that at least two of these three countries are reporting figures that are of absolutely no use to man nor beast. Perhaps all three.

Equally, if you’re planning what do to next in this pandemic, you must have figures that you can trust, otherwise you are simply floundering about in a sea of confusion. What’s the other choice. Delete the statistics from the countries where you simply do not believe them. And where would you start with that?

There is a military strategy called OODA: Observe, Orientate, Decide Act. It was used in the Gulf War, and by Dominic Cummins to achieve victory in the Brexit referendum – so it is claimed. It sounds simple, but it actually becomes complex, quite quickly.

With COVID19 you can observe all you like, and I have done a lot of observing. However, if the data you are looking at are clearly nonsense, it becomes impossible to orientate. Then, in turn, it becomes impossible to decide how to act.

It is why, up to this point, I have mainly contented myself with pointing out that the data that we have been presented with thus far is almost perfectly meaningless. Let’s consider another example. Which is that the gold standard for diagnosis of COVID19 is to use a system known as PCR (polymerase chain reaction). We do not use symptoms, or clinical signs, as has been the case for all other diseases known to humanity over the ages.  A major problem in itself.

Another major problem is we know that if you run PCR test processing for forty-five amplification cycles, the results become entirely meaningless. No-one will officially provide the data on how many cycles are being done. But it does seem that, in the UK at least, many labs were using forty-five cycles.

Now, the numbers of cases are falling, they have reduced PCR processing to thirty cycles. But, who knows?  Perhaps it is because they have reduced PCR to thirty cycles, that the cases have gone down. Or maybe it is the fact that we are using millions of lateral flow tests which has led to the number of positive tests falling. Because you get far fewer positive results with lateral flow kits than PCR.

In addition to that area of confusion and conflict, recorded deaths from COVID19 in the UK are based on having a positive test within twenty-eight days of dying. Yet we know that COVID19 tests can remain positive for months after someone has recovered. So, you can have had a positive test in November, go into hospital in January – for whatever reason – where you will have another test, that has remained positive. You then die of something completely unrelated. You become a COVID19 death statistic. What nonsense.

Even if you truly have COVID19, then die, how do we know if the main cause of death was COVID19, or something else? I have seen terminally ill patients close to death from cancer, or suchlike, who have had a positive swab. They then died, and they became another ‘COVID19 death.’ Really? Is that what killed them?

We do know that at least ninety-five per-cent of people who are recorded as dying of COVID19 had other serious medical conditions. Claiming that COVID19 was the primary/recordable cause of death in all of these cases is just ridiculous. Beyond ridiculous.

Frankly, anyone who asks me to trust in any data about COVID19 is going to have a pretty tough sell. Right now, I feel that there is almost no statistic which has not been wildly bent out of shape to suit the narrative.

At this point, I shall change direction slightly, and point you at the most incomprehensible statistic of all.

It comes from the UK. In this data set, the UK has been split into four countries. England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales. Here, we are looking at the figures on overall mortality – that is deaths from all causes – during the period January 1st, 2017 up until the present day. These data cover the age group of forty-five to sixty-four (I set the graphs to specifically show this age group).

What you would expect to see, I think, is that all four countries that make up the UK should show almost exactly the same pattern of deaths. All four countries are virtually identical in their demographics, life expectancy, and suchlike. All four countries ‘locked down’ in almost exactly the same way, at almost exactly the same times.

Below, are the figures (z-scores/deviation from the mean) on overall mortality.

We can see an enormous spike in England in the forty-five to sixty-four age group in Spring 2020, and Autumn/Winter 2021. We observe nothing, or virtually nothing, in the other three countries.

Just in case you are wondering. I do believe in these overall mortality data. If someone is dead, they are dead. It is difficult to misdiagnose or diagnose in any other way. So, these figures represent the real deal.

Observe, orientate, decide, act.

I observe that overall mortality rates went up sharply in England in the spring of 2020 and again in the autumn/winter of 2020/21 in the age group 45-64. I observe that the rates barely moved in Northern Ireland, Scotland or Wales.


Something of great significance happened in England, that did not happen in the other three countries. I cannot orientate, because I have absolutely no idea what these figures are telling me.


These data, unremarked open by anyone else – as far as I am aware – are trying to tell us something. Something that may well be of absolutely critical importance. These are the figures that we should be using to base our decisions and actions upon. If we could only understand what they were telling us.

There is one other country which has a pattern similar to England’s, and that is Spain.

Nowhere else looks remotely similar. For example, here is Sweden.


What have England and Spain got in common? Or, at least, somewhat in common?


Do not decide anything until you are orientated. In turn, do not act until your decision is made on a good understanding of the environment you are operating in.

Do not decide what to do until you can explain why, for example, China has a case fatality rate that is one hundred times higher than in Singapore.

Equally, you cannot possibly claim to be orientated until you can explain why England, alone of all the countries in the UK, suffered such massive spikes in overall mortality in the forty-five to sixty-four year age groups.

In super-short summary, until you can rely on the figures that are provided from around the world, you cannot claim to be orientated.

Our glorious political leaders have decided that they are, indeed, oriented. Because of this false orientation, they have made decisions and acted. Based upon foundations of, precisely, nothing.

So, what are the odds that they acted in the right way?

608 thoughts on “COVID19, hidden figures and OODA

    1. dmulej

      About z-scores: it would be maybe illuminating to see side by side z-scores and absolute numbers.
      And If you have 20 countries and 52 weeks (in a year) then it’s not that very misterious to see one or two (or three…) high z-scores out of 1000.

      1. DaveL

        I took a look at what the CDC in the USA publishes for excess deaths. The baseline is 2017 through 2019, for which one can calculate the standard deviation from a weekly basis. If you plot the variability of the standard deviation as either plus or minus for 2020, you get a definite positive tendency, with peaks in the +6 to +7 std deviation range. Nice thing about this is you don’t have to mess around with counting confirmed cases or deaths from COVID, which can vary a lot.

        It’s interesting to see as 2021 progresses, the Z-score drops below -2 std deviations (as in negative) by the 11th week, and so far maintains a very steep decreasing slope in that region. It’s as if COVID killed off people in 2020 who probably were going to die this year or next, so are no longer around to register as deaths this year. A bit early to tell, but I would not be surprised to see negative Z-scores all of 2021. Odd (not really) that you don’t see any of this published in the mainstream media.

    2. jillis76

      Thank for the information.
      The point that you make is clear but the scale of the Euromomo figures are not correct.
      We in Holland have complete other numbers. Can you confirm that for Sweden the graph look
      likes this for all ages?

      1. Dr. Malcolm Kendrick Post author

        The graphs looks different at different ages. I was simply pointing out a major anomaly. Rather like the anomaly of Mercury’s orbit around the sun. Which, once Einstein understood how it happened, led to the special theory of relativity. Never look at the things you expect to see, search for the unexpected, the unexplained. That is where proper science takes place.

        1. nondu96

          the anomaly could turn out to be less after an investigation of the (different?) ways patients were treated in hospital in the different countries. I have found no answer to that quenstion yet, but it seems to me this could very well provide a rational explanation.

        2. robertL

          Thanks for the reference to Einstein / Mercury / Relativity.
          Went down that rabbit hole and learnt lots.

  1. Mr Chris

    Dear Malcolm
    I am not as smart as you. I looked on wet Sunday afternoons at some of the data, countries age ranges latitude etc, and could see no pattern. Then I started reading comments that vaccination was meant to kill eight billion people, and then I read that that the U.K. signed their vaccine contracts weeks before the EU who signed theirs one day before the U.K.
    Then Idecided to give up reading, and concentrate on my chair making project

    1. andy

      Remember those old days when newspapers used to report ‘Daily deaths’ ? Now it’s ‘Cases’ but as to who all these new test cases are I’ve no idea. I passed a testing station a Cathedral of all places….It had signs saying ‘Dont enter’ and was oddly deserted of all customers.

      1. Janet Love

        What would happen, if the word “case” was effectively vanished… How would governments and mainstream media survive ? – Facetious fantasy…

      2. Graeme

        Aye. The self-proclaimed “World’s Premiere News-Gathering Organisation” – aka the BBC – were continually reporting on the ‘highs’ in the Govt dashboard data in regard to both fatalities and ‘cases’.

        As criticism has grown, and when the ‘case’ numbers started to fall off, they started reporting ‘new daily infections’. As more people have to come realise that the rtPCR test (at ct45) more or less guarantees a positive result – and that the use to which this otherwise very useful tool has actually been put is flawed – they then changed that to ‘the number of people testing positive’.

        Now that numbers have decreased even further, I note that they now prefer to quote the total over the last seven days…….. just to keep the numbers as high as they are able, and no doubt, to please Mr. Mad Wanksock.

        Readers who have done their own research, and perhaps plotted-up the Govt dashboard data for themselves will have noted the disparity between the fatalities by reported registration date (those used in the Govt statistics pushed by the media) and the numbers from actual certificate dates-of-death. The spread between the Sunday lows and the Wednesday highs has been very noticeable. Why ‘Wednesday’ should give the highs I am unsure – I mean, with people back to work and registrations and certificates being compiled from Monday, I would have expected Mondays figures to show the high (incorporating the straggler data over the weekend). Perhaps Registrars are already on a 3-day week and don’t work Monday or Tuesday? Failing that, I can only presume that the ‘registrations’ are deliberately being held back and presented later in the week to ensure high numbers grabbing the headlines.

        At best (being ‘generous’ to them) this is incompetent and at worst (as I suspect), fraudulent. Actually it’s worse than that – it’s criminal manipulation of the data to achieve an end goal that appears intent on collapsing the economy, bankrupting both the country and small businesses [the likes of Amazon and other big internet traders will be OK though], destroying livelihoods and disrupting the social fabric of the nation. Lockdown has clearly been responsible for some deaths, including suicides, that might (probably would) not have otherwise happened.

        And then we have the elderly in care homes passing perhaps before their ultimate time was due, and without the opportunity to have said goodbye to their loved ones in their final days. This is nothing short of evil.

        These (**** have stolen [thus far] almost a year of our lives for NO GOOD REASON.
        It may be a long time a-coming, but there WILL be a reckoning for them over this.
        I look forward to the day when I see Bozo Johnson, Mad Wanksock and the Chuckle-Brothers in the Dock at the Old Bailey. Or perhaps a special court convened in Nuremberg?
        Make the Dock a bit bigger and we’ll fit Bill Gates, Tony Bliar, Klaus Schwab and George Soros in there as well.

        1. peter Downey

          I’m afraid, Graeme, the reckoning will be a long time coming. And will be in the form of historians looking back long after we and they have gone.
          And who are the culprits? Politicians, media, Climate change yesterday bods with dreams of a new normal?
          It will be rationalized away. And it won’t be just the culprits, it’ll be victims who believe them that will support them.
          Thatcher’s government were incredibly incompetent, the majority had no understanding of monetarism and ended up trying to balance conflicting policies. Tory grandees knew it was nonsense but went along with it. Later actually stating that ‘We knew’ (read William Keegan’s “Mrs Thatcher’s Economic Experiment”).
          No reckoning for our Maggie.
          The rational animal is an even more proficient ‘rationalizing’ one.
          I still hope, Graeme, you’re right.

  2. Suzy

    Absolutely agree. It’s easy to conclude that the govt is either floundering about incompetently because they don’t know what to do, or there’s something more sinister afoot. All our freedoms are being eroded very quickly. I really don’t like the fact that no data is being collated on the very real harms of lockdowns, and that causes of death are not being recorded properly. Where is the data on suicide? And the media reaction is ridiculous. Where is the scrutiny? What happened to journalism?
    I will remain highly sceptical. Thank you for your continued sensible analysis.

    1. Lettuce Debate

      A patient of mine suggested some books which had ridiculous titles so I didn’t read them. However I had translated his 1st book from Spanish which sounded like conspiracy theory but the clains are verifiable. Ive begun to read his other books and he mentions as the proposed Brave New World, a book City of Man:a declaration on world democracy. It makes no bones about it being a world religion. Put the title and Cambridge University Press into the search engine and read for yourself – quickly mind or it will go the same way as Geert Vanden Bossche’s interview!

      1. Junk Girl

        It is in my library system. I can just request it. But not right now. I am overwhelmed by Covid disaster now. I have the picture now so may tune out from all this like I did last April. All this is actually stressing me more. Day at a time. Keep healthy and do what makes me happy. Figure it out In my own space because I may not be able to pick another space in time. No shooting up for me at present. At least my hubby is not getting mRNA stabbing. He has been rather insulting and has bought everything the Masters of Disaster has spoon fed him. Until now. Cracks are appearing. 72 yo. Below I had Covid in February. Very light symptoms. I also think I got it from hubby who was coughing and such before me. He’s fine even with COPD, kidney issues and heart disease.

  3. GB

    Dear Malcolm
    thank you for highlighting the stunning disparity in all cause mortality between the four countries that make up the UK. This poses vital questions about that I fear may never be asked. I have always believed that all that matters in the end is excess all cause mortality as no other numbers can be trusted. Maths was never my forte at school so I rely on people like you to simplify the data for me. Thank you again.

    1. Mike C

      The Euromomo charts offer z-scores (a modified Standard Deviation) of ‘excess’ all-cause mortality. This raises the question of what baseline the deaths are in excess of.

      In the UK many newspaper and online articles have taken the weekly ONS datasets for England and Wales and simply compared the latest absolute number of deaths (or a rolling average of recent weeks) against the average of the previous five years for the same week of the year published in the same data file. They then refer to the five-year average as ‘normal’. They don’t, for example, take the analysis even one step further to see how the population has changed over the five years.

      Ivor Cummins (and quite a few others) has ably demonstrated that the two years prior to March 2020 had unusually low numbers of deaths per million of population in the UK. We can reasonably consider these to be deaths deferred rather than lives saved. ONS’ five-year average when two of those years are known to have been unusual is not very useful.

      If instead of ONS’ five-year average we calculate our ‘normal’ baseline by looking at the ten-year (2010-2019) average death rate (ONS weekly datasets since January 2010 for England and Wales are easily available) for each week for each population subset (male/female, aged <1, 1-14, 15-44, 45-64, 65-74, 75-84, 85+) of England and Wales we can see that overall excess deaths for the whole of 2020 was about 53,000 people or 9.4% above 'normal'. In the eleven weeks from 21 March 2020 (to 5 Jun 2020) there were 53,500 excess deaths which means that the rest of the year averaged to about 'normal'. The excess in deaths is of course a very bad thing.

      Returning to consider the two years prior to March 2020 there were about 40,000 *fewer* deaths than the ten-year 'normal' would suggest. It is therefore reasonable to say that we have about 13,000 (53,000-40,000) extra deaths in England and Wales in 2020 which go beyond what we should have expected.

      13,000 people dying is obviously a tragedy – but it's not up in the fantasy land that Prof Ferguson et al envisaged.

      1. John Bowman

        ‘ This raises the question of what baseline the deaths are in excess of.’

        My understanding is the baseline comes from Spring and Summer months averaged over previous 5 years and excluding the ‘flu season surge. This then gives the excess mortality in the Winter season which is attributed to respiratory diseases, mostly ‘flu and pneumonia, or this last season to CoVid.

        1. Mike C

          Many thanks John.

          I believe Euromomo’s baseline is also designed to take into account Winter seasonality of deaths (other than epidemics) so their graphs don’t show the regular rise and fall (wave pattern) in numbers of deaths through each year for our more Northern countries. They quite reasonably flatten that and call it ‘normal’. My point was that there are different approaches to defining ‘normal’ death rates and that the approach taken by many UK journalists (and probably others elsewhere) when reporting on Covid is too simplistic. I’m not doubting the ONS averages, I’m asserting that journalists should not lazily refer to them as ‘normal’.

          People dying of respiratory diseases *is* normal – when people get old or develop heart disease or diabetes (for examples) they are more likely to die if they catch a respiratory disease such as ‘flu (or the damned Coronavirus). It is hubris to think mankind can prevent that. ‘Flu vaccinations for the elderly/vulnerable may be able to smooth out the seasonal bumps (I am not at all convinced) but they don’t stop the old and vulnerable dying from *something*. There is perhaps an observable smoothing of ‘Excess Winter Mortality’ spikes as reported by ONS from year 2000 when ‘flu jabs for over 65s were introduced in the UK but that EWM calculation uses yet another different baseline (normal) to calculate the ‘excess’. The key point is there was no significant improvement in *annual* all-cause death rates for any population subset in England and Wales associated with the ‘flu jab intervention from year 2000.

          I do understand that people want to know how to improve the chances of surviving for themselves or their loved-ones but I contend that the interventions made so far have not been shown to be effective *on average*.

      2. David Goldsworthy

        FM. Someone else that gets it. Correcting for population growth, ageing and recent low mortality makes a huge difference to the narrative. Actually I think excess deaths in 2020 were even lower than you suggest, “dry tinder” for the most elderly was a real issue (exacerbated by government policy of ejecting sick elderly into the care home environment) and there are huge levels of missatribution ov COVID as cause of death.

    2. Prudence Kitten

      ” This poses vital questions about that I fear may never be asked”.

      Actually, Dr Kendrick has asked them, hasn’t he?

      But I do see what you mean, GB. As Harold Pinter said in his Nobel Prize lecture (2005), “It never happened. Nothing ever happened. Even while it was happening it wasn’t happening. It didn’t matter. It was of no interest”.

    1. Harry de Boer

      In England the ‘non-white’ group 11% of the population

      In Wales it’s merely 3.5%. And that was in 2011.

      I didn’t find Scotland and Ireland though. Anybody?
      But based on the numbers in Wales you might have a point.

    2. Tony Barry

      Good point! Vitamin D still hardly merits a mention in the media. Meanwhile we obsess about vaccines, oh and maybe it’s not as effective with new variants 🤦‍♂️

      1. Jerome Savage

        Whereas Vit D is productive & safe against all variants. Although I notice some isolated bad mouthing vit D lately, that the bottled “artificial” stuff can cause thickening of arteries and that its not to be trusted.

        1. Binra (@onemindinmany)

          If you follow the smear trail you can see that it is know Vit K2 is a necessary or wise complement to high does Vit D – as it is a parking attendent for the correct placement and distribution of calcium.
          The smearing masking as science works like sheep dogs guiding the sheep to the abattoirs.

          There is empirical data – gathered according to current frameworks of belief, model or questioning of belief and model – usually a bit of both.

          All narratives are also personally invested in by all but the most enlightened – who are open enough to a love of truth to trust that TRUE self interest is revealed and supported – rather than threatened by transparency, communication and account. This HAS to embrace where we uncover grievous errors – and often even more grievous attempts to hide them. But once this become destructive and malign, it has no possibility of release except great penalty and shame – and so will become a ‘hidden and protected’ shifting narrative evasion, in which the primary function becomes the protection of the mask which protects the invested status of possession and control.

          i wrote a sketch here. It is an old and recognisable human pattern of compounded error, locked down in lies, as a basis for survival under the terms the lie then sets, and continues to dictate.

          Roll up for the magical biotech revolution fols!
          You thought viruses were psychopaths?
          Psycho-pathy is a dissociative denial.
          Such a mindset ‘sees’ its own motive and intention everywhere – and proceeds to bring exactly such an experience under the attempt to eradicate it.
          You don’t need evil masterminds and alien subjugation when your own Mind can generate the experience out of a trapped mind seeking escape from and impossible situation. We become alienated from our nature to do this unto others and unto ourselves.

          1. Jerome Savage

            LA BOB
            So it’s not a panacea for all ills. But i also came across several recommendations on hi dose vit D for treating our viral friend with BMJ also referring to same. Had to look up cholecalciferol to confirm that it refers to vitD3 as found in eggs fish etc.
            “Daily cholecalciferol supplementation of 60,000 IU helps in achieving 25(OH)D>50 ng/ml in 75% of participants by day-14.

            Therapeutic, high-dose cholecalciferol supplementation led to SARS-CoV-2 RNA negative in additional 41.7% participants (p<0.001) and was useful for viral SARS-CoV-2 RNA clearance.

          2. Jerome Savage

            I recently posted a talk on FB by DR. RYAN COLE, an Idaho Medical Doctor who speaks about our viral friend. The doctor talks about the great importance of vitamin D and how it has a big impact on the health of your immune system. He also talks about how safe and very effective Ivermectin is for treating virus 19.
            I was then barred from FB posting for 24 hours.
            Maybe it was the following line that was the problem which was in addition to the pro VIT D narrative.
            “and about the mRNA vaccine, which is not a vaccine but a gene modifier which is an experimental treatment.”
            From “true defender” which might be seen as critical of mainstream US outlets.

          3. Junkgrl

            D3 should be taken with vitamin K either by diet or supplement. I understand it moves the calcium to the correct locations with the D3. Such as not to your arteries or heart. I’m sure natural D from sun operates a bit differently.

          4. Gary Ogden

            Junkgirl: While vitamin K1 is found in many plants, K2 is made from gut (and other) bacteria. Ruminants do this efficiently, but humans no so well. I suspect basking in the sun and eating the flesh of animals and/or dairy foods will give both K2 and vitamin D. I do both, but this year I’m taking a D3/K2 supplement year-round lest the dreaded ‘Rona try to bite me.

          5. barovsky

            Gary, kind of an aside but could ‘high’ levels of cholesterol be due to the fact that we don’t get enough sunlight to convert cholesterol into Vitamin D?

          6. Eggs ‘n beer

            I don’t think so. I always had ‘high’ cholesterol (6.5) and live in Queensland (like Florida, but without the Americans). My cholesterol only dropped when I went on the keto diet with lots of eggs every day, usually accompanied by bacon, meat, fish etc. Dropped to 5.2, lowest ever. GP was excited as another keto patient “with bacon and eggs coming out of his ears” had a similar result. I spend a lot of time in the sun (baht ‘at) and no sunscreen. And my D levels were borderline.

          7. AhNotepad

            What is “high”? It seems to be mostly a pronouncement from someone with a vested interest.

          8. AhNotepad

            That has no significance if not explained, as it wasn’t. Using qualitative terms just leads to confusion because of varying interpretations.

          9. Gary Ogden

            barovsky: I suspect cholesterol production is governed by other factors, since both it and vitamin D function as hormone precursors. One of the things I find intriguing is that vitamin D produced in the skin is in the sulfated form, rendering it both hydrophilic (water-soluble) and lipophilic (fat-soluble). This must bear a physiological advantage. Nevertheless, I still take my supplements, along with sunning, and along with a generous portion (4-6 oz/week) of beef liver for the pre-formed vitamin A.

  4. Donna Black

    During lockdowns in England we had virtually zero access to NHS services. In fact, our GP surgeries around here still aren’t open unless you make a big song-and-dance about needing medical help. My family in Northern Ireland, on the other hand, say that their GP surgery remained open and there wasn’t the same terror campaign to avoid hospitals.
    Can’t help but think the spike in English deaths was due to sick people unable to get help.
    The scary bit is that our overlords would have noticed the excess deaths in the first lockdown and carried on with another.
    PS: The NHS/government letters and texts to have The Vaccine are now taking a more demanding tone now that my husband and I have politely refused it. Won’t be long before it’s enforced.

    1. andy

      There is a University department in Warwick paid to create these pursuasive campaigns. From subliminal adverts to downright threats thats where its coming from.

      1. Donna Black

        Interesting. All this advertising, mail, campaigning – it’s almost as if people need to be brainwashed into believing a pandemic is going on. After all, we can’t believe our own eyes, can we?!

      2. Graeme

        Don’t forget the the Govt Behavioural Psychology Unit, the ‘Nudge’ Unit and the 77th Brigade. They all have a hand in this. I recall seeing a (govt) document alluding to the fact that in order to persuade people to follow the guidance / advice / law, they needed to use more emotive language and step up the fear factor ofr those that were ‘unconcerned’.

        The first casualty in all this – as in war – has been ‘the truth’.

    2. elizabethhart

      Donna, it appears the NHS/government are doing a hard sell in promoting these vaccine products…
      According to the MHRA The Blue Guide*, there is “the principle that advertising of prescription only medicines to the public is prohibited. The decision to prescribe a certain medicine is taken by a qualified healthcare professional on the basis of informed discussion with the patient”.
      However, an amendment has been included in the recent November edition of The Blue Guide to allow promotion of medicines related to coronavirus and influenza, i.e.
      Part 14 was amended again by regulations 16 to 28 of the Human Medicines (Coronavirus and Influenza) (Amendment) Regulations 2020. SI 2020/1125 came into force on 6 November 2020. The SI made changes to ensure that the treatments used in response to certain specific types of public health threat, such as COVID-19, can where appropriate be promoted by limited forms of advertisements approved by Health Ministers.
      That’s interesting isn’t it?
      And just how authentic is this ‘public health threat’ that has enabled the widespread promotion of experimental vaccine products to millions of people under the guise of ’emergency authorisations’?

      * MHRA The Blue Guide. Advertising and Promotion of Medicines in the UK. Third revision – November 2020:

      1. Donna Black

        Thanks Elizabeth, I wasn’t aware of this. In future if anyone asks me why I don’t want The Vaccine I’ve decided to be completely honest and say “Because this is a fake pandemic”.

    3. Janet Love

      Enforcing the ‘taking’ of an EXPERIMENTAL drug / Therapy ?
      Nuremberg has something to say about Informed Consent , FREELY given as both essential and Legal.

    4. Doug_Aberdeen

      >>now that my husband and I have politely refused it.

      I got my call up papers on Saturday, as in 2 days ago. For all the instructions and contact telephone numbers, refusal was not an option, so just went in the bin.

      There is no doubt my surgery, currently closed unless you make a song and dance about it, will follow up with a lengthy letter, which will also be binned. Then I expect the white shirts to call at my door. I will humour them, but that is all. I doubt that they will know what an mRNA poison is, I intend to ask them.

      1. AhNotepad

        I hope my response will be “I haven’t really made up my mind. I think I will wait for the trials to end, and have a look at the published data”.

  5. alanhigham

    We had a spike this winter in England for ages 15-44 which was totally unique too. Less so in the Spring 2020 but still there.

    Either covid hit the middle aged much harder in Spain or England or else a lot of people died in those countries of something else at the same time covid was infecting people. Perhaps a reluctance to seek medical help but would that have the same basic shape as an epidemic spike?

    1. John Collis

      I think that you need to consider the potential causes of death as well as the dates:
      a) Road Traffic Collisions
      b) murder
      c) suicide
      d) untreated illness not SARS-CoV-2 related.
      e) untreated illness SARS-CoV-2 related

      During the first lockdown there was little traffic on the road, England has a higher density of motorways and dual carriageways than the other nations in the U.K. Likewise in the second lockdown.
      Murder and suicide I wouldn’t expect to be as peaky in the distribution.
      d) and e) could be more peaky, particularly e).
      It was suggested that younger people were less likely to have serious illness from SARS-CoV-2 infection, but what was that assumption based on?

  6. Alan Richards

    I am even more confused than before. Are you saying the spike in age 45-64 mortality in England was not Covid-related?

    Surely the cause of death can be analysed for these deaths to examine the underlying trends.

    Was England unique of the four nations in blocking access to healthcare for the non-urgent, non-Covid (stay at home, protect the NHS)?

    1. Peter Williams

      Cause of death is guesswork unless an autopsy is performed. However I read somewhere the average age of a “covid” death is a tad higher than the annual rolling average age of death. So catching it and dying so say from/with it could add a few months/years to the average life!

  7. orbitfish

    If we cannot trust the data that we currently have, then what hope is there that we can adapt and improve our responses for future pandemics, as I’m sure (according to historical data that we can trust) there will be another pandemic, before too long?

    1. Binra (@onemindinmany)

      Is your data supplied under the aegis of Dr WHO?
      if the power given to the bodies that redefine ‘pandemic’, herd immunity, ‘cases’ – let alone genetically recombined virus definitions, is the source code on which everything else runs – including preset hidden vaccine deal among national governments and pharma, and lockstepping protections, predrilled into place world wide down to local level, then once the system is primed to go – change the payload of the ‘response’ while firing up such an intensity of fear and hyseria as to make it seem feasibly plausible at the time, so as to switch from government to an overriding global crisis management. But the crisis – in truth – is not in a deadly and contagious flu season – whatever we call it now.

  8. 1whatsgoingon

    OODA does not sound like an appropriate strategy if the data is so unreliable thus making observation the starting and finishing point as orientation is impossible. I propose that the Government used two truncated variants of this strategy, OG and OP.
    Observe Guess and Observe Panic

  9. Carole Quinn

    I read all of your posts, a voice of reason in what feels like a manipulated, data bent world at the moment. I obviously would not expect to be advised on whether or not to have a vaccine that is my decision and mine alone. I am an independent thinker but like to base my decisions on valid unbiased information from medical professionals but feel that a party line is being towed at the moment (I am not anti vacs and have had all I need so far but for this have declined to date as I am very skeptical at my 69 years of age given the flu vaccine debacle for over 65s now ‘tweaked’ and feel I want to wait a bit longer for any further information to evolve regarding the side effects etc for various reasons).

    However that said, if you feel free to do so, I would really value an article of clear assessment of these vaccines and their worth at this early stage of rushed approval, from someone who is not afraid to veer off the ‘tow’ path, but if you cannot, that too is fine .


    1. Paula

      I am in the over 50s category and after a flurry of text invites I received a letter today inviting me for my vaccine. In the accompanying leaflet, under ‘You should have the vaccine if you are’ the only age criteria is 65 years or older. All the other categories are related to health or working conditions. So technically the government leaflet that came with my invite is telling me I don’t need the vaccine.

  10. David Bartlett

    Once again you have proved that our government and many others didn’t use ‘science’ or any other good reason to lockdown the country. Good article. Is Autumn 2020/ Spring 2021 what you meant to put on the graph?

  11. Prudence Kitten

    “Do not decide anything until you are orientated. In turn, do not act until your decision is made on a good understanding of the environment you are operating in”.

    Very good advice, but the exact antithesis of the way politicians think. To them, the most vital necessity is to DO SOMETHING! Otherwise they are terrified of being accused of “dithering”, being indecisive, or – worst of all – not knowing absolutely everything.

    Hence the urge to DO. They turn to the nearest person claiming to be a great authority on medical matters, ask his advice, and off they go.

    Forty-four years ago, Senator McGovern uttered the canonical statement of that belief.

    “Senators don’t have the luxury the research scientist does of waiting until every last shred of evidence is in”.

    1. jeanirvin

      … and that statement by Senator McGovern brought about the lipid hypothesis, demonisation af saturated fat and advice to base our diets on carbohydrates, which has probably brought about the prevalance of obesity and metabolic disease, making our population junable to cope with new viruses.

    2. Graeme

      I think the main trouble is that most politicians have no grounding in the sciences. Many (most?) appear to be graduates in either Law or Politics, Philosophy & Economics. Science graduates are rare. (Maggie T was one !). The Honourable Member for Tottenham is a case in point. Search out his ‘Mastermind’ performance on youtube for some thigh slapping amusement.

      Politicians almost always have an agenda, and only listen to the ‘science’ that accords with their vision of what they would like to happen, ignoring everything else.

      That’s why ‘Professor’ Neil Ferguson (ICL) has been their preferred ‘Guru’ and the likes of Sunetra Gupta & Carl Heneghan (Oxford) to name but two, are all-but ignored. I have every confidence that Bozo, Hancock, TWhitty [et al] all think that the ‘Great’ in “Great Barrington Declaration” is an attempt by the signatories to ‘big-up’ the standing of that document.

      Were they to read it, and cast their beedy little eyes over the qualifications of the people who have signed it, they might just, just (although I won’t hold my breath) start to consider that no-bigging-up is required and that maybe there’s another way in dealing with this.

      Two Buzz-phrases at the moment are ‘Immune Esacpe’ and ‘Leaky Vaccines’.
      A hitherto silent voice that has recently popped-up is that of Geert vanden Bossche from Belgium. His view (if I understand him correctly) is that by mass-vaccinating during a pandemic we are actively promoting the emergence of vaccine-resistant variant mutations, with the danger that we may reach a point where we turn a 99.7% survival rate into an assured fatality rate. A spectacular own-goal, if you will?

      Dr. Kendrick will correct this if it is wrong, but my impression is that up to this point the great majority of infectious diseases become less injurous with each new mutation, as the organism is attemptinbg to do what evolution has taught it to do best – spread wider and infect more hosts without actually killing them.

      SARS-Covid-2 appears to be doing the exact opposite, with a little help from Bill Gates and GAVI, in colluision with most national governments.

      If vanden Bossche is correct, and we continue down this road, we could be looking at an even bigger own-goal – a self-generated extinction event?

  12. jeanirvin

    Thank you for taking the troble to look into these figures. I have been sharing all cause deaths figures with neighbours to try to put the news into context. No it looks like there may not be a context for all the info!

  13. Prudence Kitten

    As a purely theoretical suggestion – not based on any evidence except what Dr Kendrick has already given us – I wonder whether much or even all of the huge apparent differences in severity of the virus impact might not be due solely to government policy.

    In some countries, every effort was made to maximise the number of Covid-19 “cases” and “deaths”. In others no such effort was made, and some stuck with the traditional methods of diagnosis. Looking at the stories from the USA, for example, one sees people who died in traffic accidents or of cancer unhesitatingly added to the lists of Covid victims; and perhaps the offer of federal government payments of up to $1 million per “Covid” death might have had some influence?

    Given a viral disease with no unique distinguishing signs or symptoms, and no reliable tests, could the rest be left to human credulity?

    1. Maurice

      @Prudence Kitten March 20, 2021 at 9:31 am
      “I wonder whether much or even all of the huge apparent differences in severity of the virus impact might not be due solely to government policy.”

      1. Once bureaucracy has decided the rules…well that box on the form must always be ticked…simples
      2. Follow the money…it tells you all need to know concerning the narrative / false narrative that we have been subject to in the last year
      3. A quote from Upton Sinclair
      “It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it.”

  14. Athan

    Questions and questions, then more questions that keep puzzling you.
    Ah, what a carefree happiness if you just swallow whatever our Guardians offer us in their utmost wisdom…

  15. Sharon

    How interesting!

    One thing that is different in the 4 countries of the U.K. is healthcare. Anecdotally, from friends and family and that bastion of truth, Twitter, it seems that England’s healthcare system was far less accessible during last year than it was where I am in Scotland. Although we suffered the same decisions of emptying hospitals into care homes and lack of screening etc, I know of no one in my admittedly small sample who wasn’t treated when they needed to be. Far easier to provide cohesive healthcare to 5.4m people than it is to 60m people though.

  16. Bob

    Typos I’m sure, but you’ve twice mentioned what went on during periods that have not yet happened. We haven’t had autumn or winter 2021, and we haven’t seen any of 2022.

  17. J Tyler

    Hi, I work as a medical engineer and during this pandemic I have continued to service and repair testing equipment in hospitals, labs etc. In my experience all the labs I have visited recently , that are running covid tests on PCR machines are using 45 cycles of amplification. This is the recommendation of the companies making the test kits.

    1. Janet Love

      Western Australia, State govt Refuses to tell the Ct number used. Undiscoverable even for someone working in the Govt. Ministry !

      1. Eggs ‘n beer

        Same in Qld, but if a high threshold produces false positives, they must be using a low threshold as we don’t have any positives. Perhaps the threshold is producing many false negatives, hence the ED overwhelming incidence of RSV in SEQ, a virus which produces very similar symptoms to the other virus.

    2. David

      J Tyler

      Which countries do you refer to … W Europe?

      I seem to recall reading details of how it’s being done in some Far Eastern countries and a) it is less than 45 cycles b) multiple tests are needed to confirm a diagnosis including possibly … shock horror … an inspection of symptoms by a medical professional.

    1. Lettuce Debate

      Gabor Erdosi discusses with Ivor Cummins some research on the virus, although we need to wait till they go through them with a fine toothed comb.

      See thefatemperor. Com episode110

      And look at his nutrition videos re insulin resistance this is how I found him

  18. sergeykushchenko

    Dear author, do you have any reasonable explanation of that England mortality spike?

    The key to understanding the current situation is the following. The average voter approves the lockdown and wants the measures to be even more strict. It is not a power seizure conspiracy, at least yet. The governments to what their voters requests.

    Who are guilty? The media that increase the hysteria to get more traffic. Also, some pharma and prostitute scientist.

    1. Prudence Kitten

      And that, Sergey, is the paradox of democracy in a nutshell. Do what the majority want, and you will usually be wrong.

      1. Roland Ayers

        Let’s not conflate democracy with majority opinion. Democracy is a process entailing the open exchanging of information, opinion, and most beneficially, informed opinion. There is currently too much propaganda, censorship, and social isolation for democracy to function meaningfully. On the plus side, refuges such as this blog show it hasn’t been completely extinguished. Not yet.

    1. John Collis

      Regarding the NOIDS figures for CoViD19.
      All test results are sent direct to PHE circumventing the NOIDS process, therefore they do not reflect “reality”. A clinician could fill in a NOIDS if they see a patient that is likely to have CoViD19 based on symptoms rather than a test.

  19. Colin Wood

    Hi Malcolm,

    Spot on. I have also been watching the stats and have come to the same conclusion. I am finding it difficult to get local area data for the two peak surges. This would be very useful ad an analysis of the data demographics would give an interesting insight into the possible causes. If you can get your hands on that more localised data it would well worth looking at further analysis.

    Best Regards,

  20. elizabethhart

    Malcolm, what do you think about this article in the Epoch Times? (You have to register to access the article, it’s free to register.)
    Peer-Reviewed Study Claims CDC Skewed CCP Virus Fatalities Upward
    Some quotes from the article:

    A little-noticed peer-reviewed study published last October by a science and public health journal claims the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) ignored federal laws and regulations when it changed how the government counts deaths from COVID-19, caused by the CCP virus, also known as the novel coronavirus.
    Based on data for all recorded U.S. deaths through August 23, 2020, the new CDC system counted 161,392 that were attributed to the virus. Using the older system, the death total was only 9,684.
    The essential difference between the old and new systems was the latter’s inclusion of multiple co-morbidities along with the virus and listing the virus as the cause of death and the co-morbidities as “contributing conditions.”
    The study pointed to a CDC weekly alert on Aug. 23, 2020, that explained “For 6 percent of the deaths, COVID-19 was the only cause mentioned. For deaths with conditions or causes in addition to COVID-19, on average, there were 2.6 additional conditions or causes per death.”

    “Why would the CDC decide against using a system of data collection and reporting they authored, and which has been in use nationwide for 17 years without incident, in favor of an untested and unproven system exclusively for COVID-19 without discussion and peer-review,” the study asked.
    “Did the CDC’s decision to abandon a known and proven effective system also breach several federal laws that ensure data accuracy and integrity? Did the CDC knowingly alter rules for reporting cause of death in the presence of comorbidity exclusively for COVID-19? If so, why,” the study further asked.

  21. Patricia Ord

    Also, are we losing any immunity we have/had to other diseases due to having little or no social contact…….. ???

  22. elizabethhart

    The Covid-19 vaccine products currently being rushed out around the world have been approved under ’emergency authorisations’.
    What is the definition of an emergency?
    In the UK “The decision to approve the vaccine was taken under Regulation 174 of the Human Medicine Regulations 2012, which enables rapid emergency regulatory approval to address public health issues such as a pandemic. This is the first authorisation for this vaccine.”[1]
    See Regulation 174 via this link:

    1. AstraZeneca’s COVID-19 vaccine authorised for emergency supply in the UK. AstraZeneca press release. 30 December 2020.

    1. Prudence Kitten

      “What is the definition of an emergency?”

      The serious risk of losing votes, or – worse still – being shown up as ignorant and wrong.

  23. Andy

    The original plans we drew up to react to a pandemic were based upon a Cost Benefit Analysis. It was presumed that there might be a 2.5% death rate. Essential Services were to be protected as best as possible but no total lock down. 3 waves at 12-16 week intervals with no effective vaccine,
    If virus impacted children… very sad, we’d lose 10% of the little ones but we’d not spent much on them and they could be replaced quite quickly.
    If virus impacted working population… very sad, we’d lose 5% of them and we’d spent a lot educating them but employment opportunities arose for low skilled types. We needed to protect those difficult to replace.
    If virus impacted the old and vulnerable.. very sad, we’d lose 10% of them. Granny was going to die anyway and just died a bit earlier than expected. Savings made in pensions, on going care, nhs freed up and loads of homes available for new occupation. Herd thinning of non productive has economic benefits…
    Forward planning has no morals.

  24. Martin Back

    England and Spain are both soccer-mad. Maybe they imported a load of infected soccer paraphernalia from China on two separate occasions?

  25. Martin Back

    A weather-related event? There was unseasonably warm weather in Spain in early February 2020. Maybe that incubated the first wave of [whatever]. The English rushed into Spain to escape the miserable English weather and got infected from their Spanish hosts.

    “Valencia reported +28.4 °C! That is *exceptional* for this period.”

    Alternatively, maybe a jet stream picked up the virus from China and dropped it over Spain and England.

  26. AhNotepad

    Figures are always correct, except when they support the narrative. The ONS has just admitted they counted cases not according to the manufacturer’s instructions. That meant many false positives. How much damage has that done?

  27. Eggs 'n beer

    Or you can look at the 65+ data for England, Scotland and Wales. Or for the Benelux trio. Bene have the spikes, Lux has none.

    England has nearly double the % of non-UK born residents of the other countries – but you’d still expect a smaller peak if it was migration related. And Spain has a high population of African descent.

    England has much bigger cities (except, Scotland has Glasgow – they’re welcome) But Spain’s cities aren’t that big – and Luxembourg doesn’t have any big cities ….

    So one can go round and round and round, and get nowhere really. EXCEPT THAT the deaths, and cases (not infections) are still not big enough to be a pandemic. That’s the big picture.

    So back to real science. Was there any evidence that lockdowns would work? No. The evidence on masks from studies in operating theatres is that infections are halved when masks are NOT worn. No-one can work out why, but OODA that and you would ban masks. Are children part of the Chinese virus demographic? No. So keep schools open. Are some hospitals overwhelmed? Of course. Happens every bad ‘flu season, some hospitals are, others are not. Random clustering. In SEQ, (south east Queensland) all the EDs were overrun with RSV cases last month. Unheard of. Why? no-one knows, but we didn’t have a mask wearing lockdown frenzy.

  28. Gary Ogden

    Thank you, Dr. Kendrick. I am speechless with astonishment. Trust was already gone, but it is dead and buried.

  29. David Bailey

    Thanks for that Malcolm.

    I think the only explanations that make any sense, involve deliberate manipulation of this crisis to damage this country to the maximum degree possible.

  30. Veryver

    Just some thoughts because I like puzzles–
    It’s either bad data or true data. If bad data, we’re back to square one. Maybe you can’t even trust the deaths report. Proximity to govt leaders leading to “less reliable” figures? Number of deaths “padded” in some way? (Easy enough to add a zero when reporting large numbers.) OR perhaps
    somebody is double counting somewhere? knowing how govt works, somebody could have added all the “expat” deaths back into England deaths.
    –I’m assuming it has something to do with London or Madrid skewing the numbers. (large urban centers specifically. More ethnic diversity? Worse air? More crime? Crowed healthcare? More drug use?)
    –People from other regions went into the big cities for some reason, and then died there? (Do the deaths reflect people’s “homes” or “place of death?”
    –Urban dwellers less healthy overall? Middle-aged urban dwellers just gave up and died due to stress?
    What a mystery.

  31. Prudence Kitten

    As Charles P. Pierce wrote in his excellent book “Idiot America”, “Things are in the wrong place. Religion is in the box where science used to be. Politics is on the shelf where you thought you left science the previous afternoon. Entertainment seems to have been knocked over and spilled on everything”.

    This might help to explain why so many millions of ostensibly sane, intelligent, and somewhat educated citizens could swallow such absolutely preposterous ideas.

    Of course there is the other explanation. As Pierce wrotes, “Entertainment seems to have been knocked over and spilled on everything”.

    And as Frank Zappa observed, “Government is the entertainment division of the military-industrial complex”.

  32. Prudence Kitten

    And there is this:

    “The Office for National Statistics has admitted that in its Covid infection survey it has been reporting PCR tests as positive when only a single coronavirus gene is detected, despite this being contrary to the instructions of the manufacturer that two or more target genes must be found before a positive result can be declared”.

    That does not look at all like a careless mistake. Au contraire, it looks very much like a rather careful mistake, calculated greatly to inflate the “case” statistics.

  33. Doug Young

    Here in the states, the areas hardest hit in spring 2020 with excess deaths were the places, like New York City/New Jersey, that sent their elderly COVID patients back into care homes, where their treatment was substandard. The governors of those states are now paying politically for those decisions. Also, the rampant over-use of ventilators, which were touted as the 2nd coming, when simple house oxygen or other standard methods of delivery may have sufficed, contributed. One statistic in the NYC/NJ area showed that 97% of COVID patients over 65 who were put on ventilator eventually died.

    1. Prudence Kitten

      “The governors of those states are now paying politically for those decisions”.

      They should be paying with 10 years in prison.

  34. Steve

    One contributing factor ‘could’ be when deaths are actually reported, we know at the start that deaths/cases were being collected up and reported all together approx. monthly. This would skew figures, and did, but probably wouldn’t fully explain such a disparity.

    The bottom line is that using OODA (A military planning aid) you wouldn’t dare engage the enemy with the abysmal intelligence/data we have/had. But they did …

  35. John Bowman

    There is another puzzle. We know that SARS CoV 2 mostly leaves the young alone. We know that very few deaths have been reported in the 14 to 44 age group in UK or anywhere.

    Yet looking at EUROMOMO for 14 to 44 age group shows very big spikes in this group in England both during the epidemic and Winter season. In every other European Country, and NI, Scotland, Wales, excess mortality is more or less within the normal range for the age group, which is to be expected.

    So if CoVid does not explain the significant excess deaths in the 14 to 44 age group in England, what does?

  36. 53north

    There’s some frightening video on yutoob pf the Ukraine arms depot explosions a few years ago. A radioactive plume co incidentally was tracked from the areas, but blamed on the naughty Rooskies by the msm. We lost alot of people with thyroidal problemz…Eric Bristowe, Ken Dodd, Emma Chambers, Andre Previn, yada, yada.
    Power plants are allowed to gaz off so much Tritium… but when they all do it at the same time, the plumes tend to be thick & unavoidable. They’ll almost certainly knock a population’s immune systems sideways for a week or 3.
    Also, *cough* , 5G.

  37. johnplatinumgoss

    When you’re dead you’re dead. I too have trust on ONS figures regarding overall deaths. I did not put this chart together. It seems COVID-19 deaths virtually stopped by the end of January this year, which begs the question what are people being encouraged to be vaccinated against? There was however a spike in unexplained deaths which seems to match the vaccination of old people,

    Sorry, I tried to upload the chart itself. If that link does not work there it is included in this blog-piece on the murder by Pfizer of Tiffany Dover, a case which really should be explained.

    1. lingulella

      Interesting that the recent huge lump of ‘unexplained’ coincides with the vaccine roll-out – death by coincidence anyone?

      1. Donna Black

        We had a big new crematorium built here in 2019 which seemed to go unused throughout 2020. It was so quiet that a local haulage firm used it to park their lorries. Since January 2021 it suddenly became very busy indeed.
        In other words, a huge pandemic didn’t result in lots of cremations but a vaccine roll-out did.

  38. mistymole

    One other thing to consider is time. China was working blind in the beginning and because of the SARS/MERS experience of the past, locked down quickly and hard. Similarly, NZ and Singapore.
    Over time, more became known, on treatment and transmission, UK government were so arrogant, they started from scratch with everything.

      1. Janet Love

        We remember ‘those’ video clips of … dead bodies on Wuhan (?) streets, even a victim ‘dropping dead’ – on camera… except he puts his arm out to break his fall… oops !

        1. Steve

          It is worthwhile to consider all the evidence not just what you’re fed: who made the films, who released the films and who supplied the narrative. Everything the MSM tells you may not be so black and white. Novichok anyone ?

    1. Roland Ayers

      It’s questionable how quickly and hard China locked down. It initially responded by hushing-up to avoid panic. Once too much death was happening to hush-up, the characteristically authoritarian over-compensation commenced. Possibly a case of putting a big showy padlock on the already largely empty Wuhan stable door, while horses had a bit of a frolic in paddocks elsewhere in the country before trotting back inside.

      The experience of Chinese immune systems with SARS/MERS is perhaps more significant than that of the Chinese authorities. Those authorities have certainly increased surveillance of the population, but how much this is to do with disease control is questionable.

  39. Lynn Wright

    Thanks for this Dr Kendrick. Indeed it makes little to no sense. This is how I see it: banks and the economy were about to suffer another major crash due to their unsustainable practices, Globalists failed with their climate crisis fear mongering so another method was needed to launch The Great Reset, the eugenicists were past ready to begin their plan to depopulate the globe and at the same time increase their fortunes by billions by crushing the middle class and robbing them of their wealth, politicians are always thrilled to wield their power so they were pleased to have an excuse to remove freedoms, exert more control and mandate draconian restrictions, the population has never been so lazy, mind-numbed and lacking in critical thinking so they cowered, bowed down and accepted their “new normal” with nary a cry of, “Hey, wait a minute here!”. Add in a complicit media that loves selling fear and horror. There’s a handy, many times used story aligned with Germ Theory (emphasis on the word Theory) of an unseen, non-living nanoparticle that floats in the air (for about 6 feet in the U.S., but Fauci said the other day it might be only 3 feet. He is reconsidering this scientific “fact” and we are breathlessly awaiting for more “science” on this point) from an infected person (who might be perfectly healthy) to another person who inhales it (or ingested? Through the ears? The eyes? I know Fauci at one time suggested we might want to consider wearing goggles) where this wily nanoparticle that has yet to be isolated, purified, characterized nor proven pathogenic passes through the thick mucous lining in our mouths/throat/lungs and infects us by boring holes into our cells with its nasty spike protein to replicate itself and then when you get enough of this ‘virus” you get sick and can express any of 98 known symptoms of covid and seek medical help as you are now in full panic mode. Then you are treated as a bioweapon, instilled with even more fear, isolated, traumatized, given toxic drugs and treatments and perhaps the kiss of death – intubated. Slapped on a ventilator never to recover. People start dying, “mass sickness”. You know Dr Kendrick what chronic stress does to human health. Anyone elderly or ill can easily be pushed over the edge. Then of course we can drive up the numbers with, as you pointed out, ridiculous and nonsensical data gathered by misrepresenting actual cause of death and attributing anything and everything to this invisible boogeyman. Add in suicides, drug overdoses, “deaths of despair”, alcohol abuse, domestic violence, and predicted to be coming soon, the starvation of perhaps millions in the Third World due to the complete and utter disruption of their already fragile distribution network and removing their access to jobs and food with no social safety nets available to the poor and you can drive those death spikes very high. There you have it, the utter destruction of the world from a Big Fat Lie – Germ Theory of disease, perpetrated by a global cabal of elites who don’t give a rat’s ass about you, me or our families, their only desire is to reduce the world’s population, amass more wealth and become increasingly powerful. Totalitarian. That is why nothing makes sense. I would never have believed it until I started looking at past epidemics and pandemics through the eyes of Terrain Theory and considering alternative reasons, possible causes. And the most disturbing was coming to the conclusion that virologists are not doing science, they are basically bullshit artists starting with the assumption of infectious virus and working their way backwards to prove it “true”. Take a look at cell culture experiments that show CPE and prove (ha!) that this isolated particle is causing cell death. It is a sham, and it has been going on for decades. Virologists completely indoctrinated they can not think outside the box and if they do, certainly they risk being ostracized, defunded, shamed and tossed into the “conspiracy theorist” category never to publish again. I have not seen one example of true isolation of a viral particle said to be the cause of ANY so called infectious disease. Oh, and how do the narrative creators explain why the homeless on the streets of American cities are not dying in droves, bodies piled high? No distancing, no masks, living in squalor? I haven’t heard that one yet but I bet it’s a doozey. The emperor has no clothes. If there is an increase in deaths (not due to fear/stress, medical interventions, isolation, etc.), a “novel” disease is afoot, unless we look outside the Germ Theory paradigm we will never find the cause(s). Pollution, an increasingly toxic environment, an overfed and undernourished population, crappy and inappropriate lifestyles, increase of non-native radiation, EMFs, etc. can certainly all lead to higher death rates. Lots to explore, not even begun due to “virus” finger pointing. Those other possible causes don’t make any of those in power any money, however, and would most likely cause loss of income to telecom, chemical producers, Big Ag, refineries, food manufacturers, bankers, stockholders, Bezos, Gates, Musk, medical system, and for sure Big Pharma as no v@ccine needed. Pfizer slated to gain $15 billion in profits from its mRNA jab in 2021. Follow the money. Follow the elites in power. We are being played.

    1. Janet Love

      Never before has the world seen so many (significantly powerful) nations devaluing their National Value – by running ‘fiat’ currencies. Or, in simple terms, they have nothing of traditionsl Worth to back the currency. -Like gold. I recall pound + notes bearing the promise to pay the bearer, ‘x’ pounds in exchange for said paper. Not now, and with Trust in governments crumbling, a reset is inevitable. In history, no fiat currency has lasted 100+ years….

      1. Jerome Savage

        Interesting explanation of Fiat money on wikipedia. “Fiat money does not have intrinsic value and does not have use value (inherent utility, such as a cow or beaver pelt might have).”
        Back to the middle ages indeed or stone age even !

  40. Simon

    Could the spikes in England just simply be because of the number of tests and the way the tests were being done and recorded? Who knows, but one thing is clear science and data has been hijacked by politicians and has been spun to suit their political objectives. Just consider the people who you would trust least in the world……… the people in charge of running the world a.k.a. Politicians !

    1. Gary Ogden

      Simon: As I understand it these graphs are of excess deaths, not of cases. Something killed far more people in England during this period than in Scotland, Wales, or Northern Ireland. We will at some point gain a good understanding of why, though it won’t be easy and, this information will be denied and/or suppressed by media and government.

  41. The True Nolan

    It is important to notice that the data is bad — but notice also that it is bad in ways that are not attributable to normal human error. No honest professional with knowledge of the field would run PCR tests at 40 or 45 cycles – but that standard was ordered adopted. No honest professional with knowledge of the field would ascribe a death as due to COVID solely on the basis of a known faulty positive test result, and yet that standard was accepted in various locations all over the world. No honest professional would use lies and fraudulent “studies” to demonize promising alternative treatments such as Ivermectin, Vitamin D, zinc, and HCQ. Very similar statements can be made about many other COVID policies, such as sending elderly patients back to their care homes to infect other elders, or denying and delaying medical care to sufferers of cancer, heart disease, etc., or doing massive lockdowns of populations not at risk or showing symptoms. The point is that yes, the data is bad and IT HAS BEEN MADE BAD ON PURPOSE. One can reasonably assume that we have been lied to in order to make us do something which we would NOT do were we told the truth.

    What are we being persuaded to do? The top of the list, in my opinion, is that we are being driven to take an experimental “vaccine” whose long term effects are either unknown or undisclosed. Second on my list is that we are being driven to accept (gladly for most people) the dispersal of TRILLIONS of dollars, most of which are going to the politically well connected. Third on my list is that we are being driven to accept as normal an increasing amount of restrictions on public gatherings, travel, allowable medical care, working conditions, and freedom of speech. So, which of the three choices is the right answer? Obviously, ALL of them, and probably others as well. Of the three, however, it is the first that worries me most. Certainly the “vaccines” are an economic windfall for the manufacturers, not only in immediate usage but also in the possible long term side effects which might generate even more profit for the health care industry. Very possibly the vaccines will create long term sterility or greatly shortened lifespan, both of which have been publicly wished for goals from many politically and financially powerful figures. Depopulation, to most people, is such a horrific idea to non-psychopaths that we tend to discount it, but lack of credulity is not much of a refutation.

    If depopulation is in fact one of the big goals, that explains the odd clustering of deaths, the reports of care facilities with extremely high death rates. If you look at the infection rates, the expected death rates, and the spread rates, it is difficult to explain the huge disparities from location to location. Such clustering is easy to explain if you simply assume that “yes, someone wants to push depopulation, and they are willing to create fear and panic in order to do so.” Just pick an area with good press coverage (London, New York, Los Angeles, etc.) and spread some aerosolized ricin, a poison which produces symptoms almost indistinguishable from COVID. Use a drone if you like. Easy deal. Suddenly you get a spike in “COVID deaths” and a big spike in fear as well. Not a pleasant subject — but think like a psychopath, not like a neuro-typical, and it makes sense.

    Bottom line: The data is bad, but it is bad ON PURPOSE. Someone wants to do something we would not agree to. They (whoever they are) are willing to use methods which result in the deaths of many innocent people. They are attempting to gain money, political power, and to inject an experimental medical treatment into billions of people.

    I do not like where these thoughts lead me, but I think that it is an objective analysis. In parting, I would ask you to examine your own reaction. If your first thought is, “But NO ONE would do something that evil!”, then I suggest you go get some cookies and a comic book, because you have certainly not been paying attention as an adult.

    1. Shaun Clark

      Medicine has become an all to easy game for hucksters today. There is a great deal of money to be made. Its now become a political sham-scam. Why else do these aresholes try to get in to it so keenly? They can string you along like no one else. The question is how to fight back? The Dr.K’s/Aseem Malhotra of this world are few and far between.

    2. theasdgamer

      “No honest professional with knowledge of the field would run PCR tests at 40 or 45 cycles”

      I disagree. If the utmost caution due to contagion control in hospital is the goal, one needs to minimize false negatives and that means maxxing the cycles. The brilliance of the scheme is that the public health officials managed to do the same for community testing, inflating the numbers to the max. Hence more panic and more justification for significant boosts in their budgets. Also more justification for trotting out minimally tested vaxxes to the panicked public.

      Of course, without smearing HCQ, the panic could not possibly have been maintained and none of the magnificent projects could have been brought to fruition. One must admire the brilliance of the scheme.

      1. David Bailey

        The trouble (as I understand it) in running PCR for too many cycles, is not just that it is over-sensitive, but that the chemistry of each cycle isn’t absolutely perfect, so the telltale sequence may end up being created when it did not exist in the original sample. If too many cycles are used, there may still be enough cycles left to amplify these chemical mistakes and detect them.

          1. Jerome Savage

            The inventor & Nobel peace prize winner Karry Mullis was clear that it was not meant for diagnostics, stating more or less that anything you want to find can be found using PCR.

      2. Steve

        PCR (Positive Corona Result) is not a medical diagnostic tool per se, it is a DNA amplification tool. It is designed to take minute DNA samples, maybe single genes, and amplify them to a level where diagnostics can be carried out. The inference that because you have a very minute trace of a virus does NOT mean you have the disease.
        (All mistakes are mine, make your own)

  42. Greg Hill

    I was very nearly killed (over 10 years ago now) by the Big Pharma-controlled medical-industrial establishment here in the U.S. I suffered from three heart attacks which it turns out were entirely caused by a silently infected jaw bone which in turn was caused by an old root canalled tooth. Did either of my Big Pharma-brainwashed cardiologists ever ask me, “Greg, have you ever had a root canal?” Ha, fat chance! All they did was to perform two angioplasties with stents followed by open heart surgery to replace the stent-damaged artery with a vein from my leg, put me on half a dozen medications including statins and beta-blockers which they told me I would have to take for the rest of my life, and of course recommended a “heart healthy” diet, e.g. replacing butter with the trans-fats in margarine, eliminating the health benefits of eating whole eggs, etc. Eventually, thanks to a holistic dentist, I finally discovered what was literally the “root cause” of my heart disease, got the dead tooth removed and the infection cleaned out. Today I am healthy as a horse with zero symptoms of heart disease and taking zero medications, not so much as a stinking baby aspirin.

    So when all of this “plandemic” nonsense started my immediate reaction was to say to myself, “Okay, there goes Big Pharma again! Now they are very quickly moving forward with their ultimate agenda of worldwide totalitarian control of everything using fear mongering in the Pharma-controlled mainstream media to take over all of our governments as well.” Although I am now 71 years old — supposedly in the “high risk” category — since I no long suffer from *any* chronic health conditions and have an extremely healthy immune system resulting from my current diet and lifestyle, I never worried for one moment that if I happened to catch this particular virus it would be any worse for me than a closely related coronavirus-caused common cold. No masks or “social distancing” for me, not ever (except as required just to get into the store to shop for groceries once a week.)

    The only thing that all this mass insanity has changed in my life is to get me seriously politically involved for the first time in my life in order to protect our “Western democracies” from Big Pharma’s attempted total takeover of the U.S. and the world. My ultimate goal is to see the holding of Nuremberg-like trials of the billionaires behind it all along with their bought-and-paid-for sock puppets like Fauci, Newsom here in California and Johnson in the U.K., ultimately stripping them of all of their wealth and power, and sending them to prison for life without possibility of parole.

    1. Gary Ogden

      Greg Hill: Thanks. I concur, but not likely happen. Recalling Newsolini, though, will be a first step. Put him on the dung heap with Gray Davis.

  43. Eggs ‘n beer

    I think you only need to look for people who are in favour of a much lower population who also push for mass vaccination. After all, if vaccines really were safe and effective, they would only lead to much higher populations.

  44. lingulella

    Has anyone checked to see how many ‘doublers’ there are among the English death certificates in the records.
    Could much of the excess be down to accounting errors.
    Deaths being recorded multiple times by overworked stressed out staff, or a central recording system that wanted to make it look worse than it was.
    After all, if you have a dead body who is to check how many times it died. Once for actual cause, once for Covid maybe.
    Who is checking these things?

      1. David Bailey

        Let’s face it, the figures may simply be largely fabricated. I heard of a man whose father had just died in hospital of something else. The doctor asked him if it would be OK if they added COVID, as it would bring in more money that would help the hospital.

        Probably because he was in a distraught state, he agreed.

    1. Binra (@onemindinmany)

      Before focusing IN a frame for choice, why not focus on the basis FOR such a choice?
      A risk assessment is a cost and benefit analysis.
      What are the risks of the condition for which such novel ‘vaccines’ are being ‘offered’?
      AND what are the benefits of the condition for which such novel ‘vaccines’ are being ‘offered’ to replace?

      Because to anyone who has any capacity for joined up thinking free of hysteria or social coercion, there is no significant risk that cannot be remediated via a range of simple measures, and an actual benefit having the sickness in terms of an updated capacity to adapt to environmental exposures.

      Even by the trillion dollar industry’s own admission, the novel ‘vaccines’ are not claimed to do anything other than lessen the severity of the symptoms.

      Would you care for a list of the actual and prospective risks that are entered into by participating in a global live genetic experiment of the human species?

      The benefits for those who conduct the experiment, may be the ability to hack the human genome so as to weed out or design in the characteristics they deem will make us safe, or tool us to task.

      The underlying themes I see are fear and hate of life seen unworthy and the attempt to deny it.
      I think this is a result of a faulty evaluation of reality running as a self-replicating loop.

      I read a 31 page transcript of an interview with a protein microbiologist
      worth it!

  45. theasdgamer

    “Our glorious political leaders have decided that they are, indeed, oriented. Because of this false orientation, they have made decisions and acted. Based upon foundations of, precisely, nothing.”

    Oh, they have a solid foundation based on uncertainty and panic-mongering. Don’t discount those. Our glorious, wonderful, stupendous, breathtaking leaders aren’t stupid. They have managed to amass considerable wealth with very little effort off of the pandemic.

    1. Jerome Savage

      Not sure how politicians can benefit unless at the top where very lucrative speaking engagements just happen on step down. It is said that following his presidency, Obama earned €1.5mil for three such in short space of time thereafter.

      1. Junk Girl

        Or the same with Bush. Big money. You forgot that? Ah, biases are everywhere my friend. To most Republicans all of history begins on the the date of Democratic Inauguration Day. Conveniently forgetting why we elect Democrats lately. Because of the utter failure of the GOP and it’s hypocrisy and outright greed. However, I now consider myself marooned politically. Im not happy with any of them. Maybe that is a good thing.

        1. Jerome Savage

          I refer to obama as he is a relatively recent Potus – i very recently came across this info re high fees. We hav no doubt Republicans are equally prone tho we might suspect trump doesn’t need the money so is not as easy to influence.

      2. Prudence Kitten

        Your uncertainty testifies to your honest innocence, Jerome. Trust me – there are a hundred and one ways in which politicians can feather their nests while in office. And the bigger and denser the forest of QANGOs and NGOs, the more the opportunities.

        Find me a senior politician who is living frugally in retirement, and I will admit that you found an honest one. But it won’t be easy.

        When Thomas Jefferson was President for two terms (eight years) he refused to accept any gift whatsoever from anyone on any pretext. Even family Christmas presents were returned.

        Jefferson understood that honesty is monolithic – you can’t be somewhat honest.

      3. theasdgamer

        The leaders pass pork barrel legislation, which leads to lobbying, which is the Washington money machine. Money is given to foreign governments where relatives and friends who are on the boards of companies operating in those countries are paid huge salaries and bonuses.

        Read Peter Schweizer’s books to understand the mechanics.

  46. theasdgamer

    It seems to me that the question, “qui bono,” is being studiously avoided by Dr. Kendrick. However, due diligence requires us to ask this question even if Dr. Kendrick does not.

    Having seen many decades of corruption in Washington, I expect it wherever large bureaucracies occur, including other countries.

    If you all haven’t read Peter Schweizer’s books consisting of analysis and investigation of corruption in Washington, you might read one or two. It might provoke thought about what is going on around the world.

    1. Shaun Clark

      No fair really. I do believe cui bono is a big part of Dr K’s sincere life-challenge. However, that is a big, big task. Too much for a vilified GP in Stockport. His part-time job is seemingly to ask questions, so that others can ask many more. He gets my vote. Covid or no.

      1. theasdgamer

        It takes wisdom to provide a platform where others may raise questions too risky for one to pose, with appropriate breadcrumbs to stimulate the questions, of course.

      2. theasdgamer

        The question that one may never ask if one is a doctor is why early treatment of high risk patients with hydroxychloroquine was not put to trials straight off. Said doctors may never assert that HCQ works or risk losing work or license.

        Questioning the pandemic and PCR numbers isn’t very risky, although it’s annoying.

        Big pharma wants to sell govt.-reimbursed expensive vaxxes and early treatment with antivirals is competition.

        1. smartersig

          Numerous studies now showing the link between Vit D levels and covid mortality, see the paper link I put out connecting T cells and Vit D. There is also rowing evidence of the role Ivermectin can play (cheap and proven). Despite being promised a care home roll out of Vit D this has not happened (my Mums in a care home so I know). I cannot help wondering if Ivermectin plus free over 50’s Vit D tests and supps would be a cheap way to bring the death rate down when the next winter spike comes

          1. smartersig

            You are welcome, its great when epidemiological evidence marries with a biological mechanism, together they are not exactly double blind placebo trials but it certainly adds weight

          2. theasdgamer

            Thanks. I’m aware of vit. D and supplement daily with it. And ivermectin looks good, too. But it’s safe for doctors to laud ivermectin. Hydroxy, not so much.

            If you want cheap and over the counter, elderberry concentrate + zinc + vit D + vit C to fight all coronaviruses.

  47. Don

    Have any of you read ‘The Vision of the Anointed’ by Thomas Sowell? It’s a great read. Boiled down basically the anointed identify a problem. Next they propose a grand plan to fix the problem. Strangely, the grand plan always involves spending other people’s money or restricting other people’s freedom to make their own decisions. Because they are so supremely confident in their ideas (they are the anointed after all), they don’t bother with evidence or whether or not their grand plan will actually work. In fact, they cheerfully ignore evidence that shows it won’t work and try to silence people who point that evidence out. If possible, the anointed will use government coercion to impose the grand plan on others (for their own good, of course). Since the problem they’ve identified is bad, the grand plan they design to fix it is the good. Therefore, anyone who opposes the grand plan is opposing the good itself, which can only mean those people are evil or stupid. If the grand plan fails, the anointed can never, ever, ever admit the plan was wrong. Instead, they will concludethe plan was good but undermined by people who are stupid or evil. Or they will decide the plan didn’t go far enough and w need to do the same thing…ONLY BIGGER! I think the whole Covid mess has us trapped inside a grand plan of the anointed. Truth will have a hard time breaking free.

    1. Shaun Clark

      Don, Ha! You have just described both Saudi Arabia and Iran. Is that the route where we are going? Backwards? Fast? Still, St. Covid brought us all together eh? All jabbed up now, thank you, Mr Gatesby. Well, some anyway. A shame about…

    2. anna m


      If only it were that benign…
      Dr. Kendrick actually did a fairly recent post on the topic of the anointed.

  48. The Wizard

    A very well written piece of analysis Dr K. Blindingly obvious in its conclusions, so obvious in fact that the UK sheeple cannot see because they are now blind; or could it be that they are addicted to the most powerful sedative and hallucinogen ever foisted upon an entire populace?
    I am of course referring to the deadly therapeutic known generically as The Furlough Pill.

  49. Fast Eddy

    Notice how it’s the for the most part the major cities where the ‘problems’ are.

    Could it be that this is where the PR efforts are focused? And where the major MSM are located?

    If you want to instill fear is it not better and easier to target the major cities? The whole idea is to make a splash so that would make sense.

    Afterall, this covid narrative is total bullshit from top to bottom. So this should surprise nobody.

    The leak out of Canada references ‘major metropolitan areas’:

    – Phase in secondary lock down restrictions on a rolling basis, starting with major metropolitan areas first and expanding outward. Expected by November 2020. Expected by December 2020.

      1. Anthony Oliver

        I just posted the humorous Amish meme on Facebook only to have it flagged as ‘misinformation’. I guess the Amish do watch TV.

  50. Ruth Baills

    Golly gosh it seems the powers that be will do all they can to hide the truth.

    Thank you Dr Malcolm Kendrick for your sanity in this insane world we find ourselves in.

    1. AhNotepad

      What?!? Are you questioning Honest Hancock and Believable Boris? And here is a man who is the fount of all things wise. Get rid of bureaucracy, and then you need only four trustees for admisistration. No need for thousands of civil servants.

  51. Her still outdoors

    Singapore – they used high dose vitamin C in all hospital STAFF particularly A+E and ICU and increased the dose / intravenous if any symptoms appeared. Very low sick absenteeism was the result and staff supported and learned together successful approaches. They used intravenous vitamin C in patients……very high survival rate for infected patients. Youtube videos about this all taken down last spring by …..the medical experts at Facebook. Look at treatment protocols per country to understand the figures…..? China did use vitamin C too but further into the scenario as I understand it and without the targetted approach to medical staff. Dr Richard Cheng of the Orthomolecular Medicine organisation can give you details – he was in Wuhan at the time.

        1. flybrand1976

          Yes – agreed. I was an undergrad biology major in the 90s and I work around microbiology materials now.

          At the outset I kept going to my old version of Campbell and then comparing it to current textbooks, because it seemed like everything changed.

          Immunity hadn’t changed – we ignored what we knew.

      1. Jerome Savage

        As a matter of interest, do you ascribe to the theory that vit D3 needs K2 in order to be a useful supplement ?

  52. Tim Fallon

    Best case scenario is that this is just a way for the ruling class to steal vast amounts of money from us by issuing contracts to their mates for useless covid tests, track and trace and vaccines that simply are not needed.
    Worst case scenario is that this is a massive permanent power grab and a cull.
    Option 2 seems most likely to me.

  53. Junk Girl

    How ironic that the only kind of “immunity” promised in the current vaccine sh@tshow is the economic “immunity” the drug companies get. That “immunity” is total and works great. You know, “safe and effective”. For them. Since apparently all these lockdowns and masks and crap was to keep granny safe and the hospitals open, well, I (a granny) just may extend my thanks to the “shot up” ones who are protecting me by taking this further step. No thanks for me on shots at this time. I promise when I am actually sick, I will stay away from them. I found that stopping breathing when walking by all the frightened humans is rather impossible. Like a zoo—don’t frighten or feed the animals. I had covid. 72 yo. Runny nose, 5 hour slight fever and I still don’t smell or taste great. I take care of myself. All the immune enhancing stuff and exercise in the great outdoors. Maybe 2 flu shots in my life. Never got it even working years in a library with people and snotty kids in front of me handing me their grotty cards and sneezing and coughing in my face. We had to wipe of all kinds of nasty stuff off returned books and DVDs. (What ARE they doing with them. I shudder.).

  54. Joy Beacham

    I am considerably relieved that there are individuals like yourself who can look critically and intelligently at all the data and bring a realistic assessment of the Covid situation.
    I realised something was wrong when the level of fear being propergated by the MSM was becoming more inhibiting than the cases of Covid. Thankyou for your transparency.

    1. Steve

      Spot on.
      When psychological coercion (Sage) and Military disinformation (77th Brigade) are funded by and part of the governments strategy for achieving the Covid agenda you know that something is not right. We are being manipulated and lied to, that is evident and not even hidden.
      The world after Covid is not going to be a very nice or equitable place.

      1. theasdgamer

        For many people, if you don’t discuss something in the hoax media, it’s hidden. So I would say that about 40% of the US population are unaware that they are sheep.

  55. smartersig

    Today I was banned from Twitter, here is a copy of the offensive tweet that led to this. I would like to think that whatever side of the fence you are on you can se this as a violation of free speech

    “In the case of Covid, the disease risk to children is miniscule to zero, in fact the risk to under 60’s is also very small which I would balance against an experimental vax that has not been tested against any medium to long term effects and in case of elderly not tested at all”

    1. Dr. Malcolm Kendrick Post author

      You should have been dragged out an shot for that. To be serious, what is going on in our world. How on earth can you be banned for that. Every word is true. To be frank I await this blog getting shut down. It is only, I fear, a matter of time. I feel that I am now living in some dystopian novel. I always feared that the veneer of civilisation was thin. I never believed it was quite this thin.

      1. smartersig

        Thanks for that Malcolm, I am also gob smacked. They made me delete that tweet before the 12 hour ban would be put into place. They also made me give a tel number before I could be placed on the 12 hour timer. That in itself is also worrying. Fortunately in my 64 years I have never owned a mobile phone so I had to give my partners. I have not given her the full picture yet but I have advised her to have an overnight bag packed

      2. Dr. John H


        You are one of the few sane voices in the global nuthouse, and I don’t want to lose you!

        I too believe that it is only a matter of time before wordpress deletes your blog. So, please be sure you have a secure historical backup. I use your blog as reference all the time, and refer people here.

        Are you considering migrating this site to your own server, using independent web design? If yes, I would like to help fund this transition, would you consider adding a “Donate” button to the current site for this?

        1. Gary Ogden

          Dr. John H: I, too, would be happy to support the preservation of this essential and wonderful voice of sanity, of honesty, of morality, of kindness, of the best of Scottishness.

      3. Prudence Kitten

        I have been a computer software professional since 1972, and although retired I still take an active interest. I am even writing a book about software.

        Therefore I have never had a social media account (with the exception of LinkedIn, which I used while working). No Twitter, no Facebook, nothing else.

        I do not even have a mobile phone of any kind.

        I strongly recommend that everyone should follow my example. The Web gives us all kinds of opportunities to express our views and communicate without selling ourselves and our identities to social media corporations and governments.

      4. AhNotepad

        My view, the benefit to TPTB is, while a relatively small number of people are posting here, they don’t have enough time to cause mischief elsewhere. Twitter and faceache are controlled by psychopaths who have some peculiar outlook on life. some well known people here would be fact checked to oblivion, mostly because they are right.

      5. theasdgamer

        President Trump is supposedly getting ready to introduce a new social media platform. I imagine that it will have its own servers and bank financing and possibly a sales platform like Amazon. And it will likely be devoted to free speech.

        I wonder what machinations the nazis will do in order to sabotage the new platform, should it materialize.

      6. Don

        The schools have become indoctrination centers so that the veneer becomes thinner with each new generation. One of the new slogans of the Biden administration is “Build Back Better”. This implies that things need to be torn down first, and the effort to tear things down has been proceeding apace for decades.
        What is coming is not going to be pretty. When have the good guys ever been those who use force to shut down free speech? I’m afraid martyrdom is in the cards for many of those who value freedom.

    2. AhNotepad

      I’m not surprised you were banned. A fact checker would have seen immediately that what you wrote was fact. This would confuse the whole system which is based on fantasy, and of course some dumb belief that TPTB have any concern for people’s welfare. Remember two facts, The Great Gatesby invests in pharma because of the 20 to 1 return, and with healthcare and vaccines it should be possible to reduce the world population by 15%. Both were stated by Himself, so the initial cull will be around 1.25billion

        1. Sasha

          He says vaccines “seem to provide” stronger and more lasting protection against covid and its variants than natural infection. I followed the link provide because I keep wondering how anybody at this point can make such a claim. Here’s what the authors of the article he linked actually say:

          “Where does the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 lie along the spectrum of natural infection versus vaccine-induced protective efficacy? The answer to this question will be known only as more data are collected from ongoing natural infection and vaccine studies; the initial results from interim analyses by Pfizer/BioNTech and Moderna of mRNA vaccines against SAR-CoV-2 showing a reduction in infections of around 95% are very encouraging7. There are a number of other promising signs for vaccines. Protection against infection and disease has been associated with neutralizing antibodies in both vaccine studies and passive-antibody-transfer studies in animal models8. Furthermore, passive antibodies seem to have beneficial effects on established early SARS-CoV-2 infection in humans, which suggests that they can contribute to protection9. Many of the current vaccines in clinical trials10 induce high levels of neutralizing antibodies that animal model studies predict would provide protection. Furthermore, even if the levels reached do not provide complete sterilizing immunity and are insufficient to prevent the upper-respiratory-tract symptoms typical of the common cold, they may prevent serious lower-respiratory-tract disease. The disadvantage of such an outcome is that the vaccine probably would not prevent ongoing transmission from an infected vaccinee. In contrast to many of the vaccines, natural infection induces highly variable levels of neutralizing antibodies, a proportion of which may not provide immunity. At the patient level, there are isolated reports of re-infection with SARS-CoV-2 associated with an insufficient initial antibody response. A second likely contributor to protection against SARS-CoV-2 is cellular immunity11, although the data on its importance are not yet clear. A number of vaccines are expected to induce substantial cellular immune responses. One important unknown factor in the context of both natural infection and vaccination is the durability of immune responses. Multiple longitudinal cohort studies of antibody levels after COVID-19 have shown that they are variable, with some showing durability over several months and others showing some ‘fall-off’. The durability of antibody responses is likely to be ‘tweakable’ through judicious choice of vaccines. In general, extensive molecular studies of SARS-CoV-2 and neutralizing antibody responses will be of value should rational design strategies be needed to generate optimal vaccines12.

          Overall, we are optimistic, given the number of platforms being investigated and the huge ongoing efforts, that a vaccine (or vaccines) against COVID-19 with immune responses and protection superior to that achieved through natural infection is an achievable goal.”

          People can judge for themselves whether what’s written above reaches the same conclusion as that of the author of the Atlantic article. In my opinion, there’s nothing in there which PROVES that vaccine-induced immunity to covid is superior to naturally acquired immunity. There are just lots of “may be”, “it’s possible”, “likely to be”, “we’re optimistic” and so forth. They actually say in black and white: “the answer to this question will be known only as more data are collected from ongoing natural infection and vaccine studies”.

          So why would the author of the Atlantic article claim that vaccines “seem to” provide better protection than naturally acquired immunity? And how much more of his article is similarly misleading bullshit?

          1. Gary Ogden

            Sasha: You’ve nailed it. Misleading bullshit it is. A natural infection with measles confers lifetime immunity. The same is true of mumps and rubella. Why would it not be true with other viral infections, such as corona viruses and influenza viruses, both of which only rarely lead to fatality, even in the elderly? It is the natural infections of childhood which lead to the development of a robust immune system. We are interrupting and sidetracking that crucial process in so many of our children with all the excess vaccines shoved into them.

          1. LA_Bob


            Thanks for the Nature link. Very informative. Blog-like format. I especially like the entry for April 8.

            “Fast-spreading coronavirus variants identified in California blunt the antibody response triggered by vaccines.”

            Doesn’t sound good to me. But I bet I can generate an immune response to the “fast-spreading variants” more quickly than the vaccine-makers can “fix” and roll out their vaccines. No guarantees.

            The April 6 entry is kind of juicy, too:

            “A coronavirus variant identified in Angola carries more mutations than any strain previously identified.” Party time, I guess.

            March 30:

            “Antibodies from people infected with the 501Y.V2 coronavirus variant first identified in South Africa are also effective against previously circulating variants…” Now, that’s what I like to read.

            Also March 30:

            “A full vaccination reduces risk of coronavirus infection by roughly 90%, according to a study of US nurses, firefighters and other front-line workers who received an mRNA-based vaccine.”

            Ah, but wait for it:

            “Study participants were vaccinated between mid-December 2020 and mid-March 2021. After vaccination, they swabbed their own noses for viral testing once a week for 13 weeks. Participants were considered fully immunized two weeks after receiving their second dose of vaccine.”

            Study participants swabbed their own noses? Is this the COVID analogue to a self-reported food-frequency questionnaire? Color this layman skeptical of weekly self-swabbing, unless they’re a masochistic bunch.

            Also, it’s not yet been 13 weeks since February 1st, let alone mid-March.

            Thanks again, JD.

  56. Patricia Smart

    Being a naive ‘glass-half-full’ kind of person, I prefer to think of the number of people whose lives have been saved over the last year thanks to the Government’s measures. Presumably today’s census will tell us!

    1. anna m


      Regardless of what number you come up with, it will be dwarfed by the number they will have killed with lockdowns.

    2. JDPatten

      Being glass-half-full does not necessarily mean you’re naive. It could well mean that you are consequently a good sight healthier in mind and body than the half-empty doom-saying pessimists we’re hearing from almost constantly, everywhere.
      Hang in there!

      1. Fast Eddy

        Patricia – how many people have died because of lockdowns? Suicides… drug overdoses involving people in despair… cancer and other illnesses that were not identified or treated…

        Then consider the mental illnesses caused by the horrifying lockdowns… both adults and children.

        Then open this and look at where the UK sits — then try to find Sweden (no lockdowns – no masks)

        That should tip your half full glass onto the floor and shatter it.

  57. Marco Tullio Suadoni

    This study by, unfortunately, two economists, albeit affiliated with the Institute for New Economic Thinking, discusses the “most disturbing comparative story for the 15-64 age group, where England’s relative record in excess mortality in the Covid-19 era is strikingly higher than in the European countries” during the first Covid-19 wave (it was issued 18 May 2020). Health capacity is one of the factors considered as possible determinant. Hence, possibly, the UK has the worst healthcare system in Europe.

    1. theasdgamer

      One might say that the UK health care isn’t well suited to dealing with covid or zebras of any kind. Probably does fine with horses.

      (Africans, of course, know perfectly well how to deal with zebras.)

  58. Martin Back

    You cannot do science without accurate observation and measurement to supply the raw data. And scientists cannot collaborate across continents and disciplines without agreed standard units to express those measurements. The physicists have got the meter, kilogram, second etc standardized to a very high degree of accuracy so they can share data with each other, But with this pandemic it’s Humpty Dumpty time. Words mean whatever the speaker or writer wants them to mean. There is no standardization.

    What is a “case”? How many PCR cycles in a test, and for how many strands of RNA do you test? Define death WITH Covid and death OF Covid. How are they reported? What separation comprises social distancing? How to rate the efficiency of masks? And on and on. Everyone has their own idea of what these things are.There are no agreed standard definitions and codes of practice. So the published figures are practically useless. It is very hard to do decent comparative epidemiology under these conditions.

    Ideally, the WHO should step in and get some agreement on standards. But I don’t think Dr. Tedros is the man for the job. He seems to be more concerned in not upsetting his sources of funding than in actually doing what needs to be done.

  59. Fast Eddy

    This is priceless! I was on a 3 hour call with a good mate last night discussing Covid, 911 false flag, the fake moon landings (and I was suggesting that they are all tied together in various ways)… he is on board with most of it and firmly believes the moon landings are a total joke (he’s also one of the most senior people at a large US investment banks so not a fool)…. he thinks the covid response is nuts but believes that is group think at work — no sinister intentions…

    He will get the jab soon because he believes he will travel. I mentioned that I won’t get it until I am guaranteed I can get on a plane and travel quarantine free. We’ve been lied to before on Covid…

    I made the following prediction at 3am – here’s what I see happening — travel will be a carrot convincing people to get vaxxed… but because hundreds of millions are already vaxxed… yet nobody can travel still … I do not see us ever getting to bite the carrot…. what I think will happen is the variants will be trotted out as an excuse to break the travel promise.

    And lo and behold … I get to my computer at 9am and see in my mail box:

    Holidays Abroad “Extremely Unlikely” This Summer Due to Increase in ‘Variants’ of Covid

    Scientific advisers and other senior figures are becoming extremely concerned by an increase in infections that is forcing some regions on the Continent back into lockdown. They fear a rise in cases here within weeks.

    European holidays in May – and even in the summer – look doubtful. Scientists are wary of outbreaks of the South African variant in some European countries and some are calling for tougher travel restrictions.

    Although the British data is heading in the right direction, with a record 660,276 vaccinations yesterday and the seven-day average of deaths falling below 100 for the first time since October, science advisers are urging caution.

    A Government scientist warned there was a danger that travellers could bring back new variants of the virus that are less susceptible to vaccines.

    Dr Mike Tildesley, a member of the Spi-M modelling group, told Today on Radio 4: “International travel this summer is, for the average holidaymaker, sadly I think, extremely unlikely. I think we are running a real risk if we do start to have lots of people going overseas in July and August because of the potential for bringing more of these new variants back into the country.”

    “What is really dangerous is if we jeopardise our vaccination campaign by having these variants where the vaccines don’t work as effectively spreading more rapidly.”

    My powers of clairvoyance are incredible… no?

    Or could it be that I am on the committee that is pulling the strings and I am having a little fun telling people in advance to see if any of them will wake up…..

    Or maybe I am cheating because I have the leak out of Canada and I am just looking at that to find out what happens next 🙂

    1. Fast Eddy


      Dr. Scott Gottlieb has warned that the New York variant of COVID-19 could reinfect survivors of the virus and people who have been vaccinated.

      Oh gawd Duncan… what will you do now??? Keep in mind the variants keep coming … and at some point the variants are going to breed and create a ‘Nightmare Covid’

      I actually believe this is likely what is going to happen after everyone gets jabbed…

      The variants will ‘breed’… and we’ll get the Nightmare version — and that is going to be the one that kills everyone.

      1. theasdgamer

        Bacteria may sort of “breed” by exchanging plasmids to improve resistance to immunity–even across species. Viruses have to rely solely on mutation.

        Of course, the little buggers can withstand 99.99% mortality and still carry on. Pretty amazing.

      1. Gary Ogden

        Left sceptical: I agree this is a bizarre claim. There are certainly plenty of things that are fake in this world, but not this.

          1. AhNotepad

            I believed in the moon landings, now, I am so gullible that I think they were a hoax. Looking at the second link, I don’t understand why the UK is not shown on the graph, how believable is that information? We know the deceit that has been presented by governments, in general, to support some political plan. For example, the UK stated in 2020 that they would combine the flu and covid figures, now everyone who felt unwell believed they had covid. No proof, just belief.

          2. Fast Eddy

            I suppose it’s like the people who believe the Covid Lie…

            I wonder what other things I believe that I have got wrong (given I believed we’d been to the moon up until last year…) Those who believe in the Covid lie probably never wonder if they’ve got that wrong… they are what we refer to as convicted.

            Very odd the UK is not on that mortality list … they are 5th here


      2. Jerome Savage

        Please dont go there. There is a huge lack of trust in government and capable people are highly sceptical of everything to do with government but that argument, merits and all that it might or might not have is outside this jurisdiction. Thank you.

      1. AhNotepad

        Talk about covid 19 figers by all means, but please go somewhere else if you want to derail the conversation by bring in irrelevant subjects.

        1. Left sceptical

          I agree… wasn’t trying to skew the conversation… was surprised to see that suggestion in middle of genuine, serious discussion… have just had a look at the conversations between Dr Mercola and Judy Mikovits… and the 2 parts of plandemic movie… compelling stuff.. sounds plausible to me that Fauci is a crook and a scumbag

          1. Gary Ogden

            Left sceptical: He is indeed. Responsible for many deaths, going back to the AIDS hysteria (I remember newspaper articles implying that most of us would be HIV-infected and soon dead within a decade or two!) And he’s been at it, as head of the agency (NIAID) since 1984. Not a doctor, not a scientist, but a career bureaucrat, and a very dangerous one. It takes special political skills to last that long in the cesspool that is Washington, D.C. “Virus Mania” has lots of information about Fauci.

          2. Dr. Malcolm Kendrick Post author

            I am not a Fauci fan. I believe his advice has been misdirected. But I am going to ask people to avoid direct personal insults. It creates a place where the only retort becomes an equal and opposite insult

  60. mmec7

    Here is another twist to the tail – which has more kinks than any wee piglet ever had or is ever likely to have.
    Warning : there are links. To get the meat of the matter, you will need to delve into and open up the links. A little background, but without an overload of information. I am facing surgery. The anaesthetist warned me of the possibility of blood transfusions. On purely medically based grounds, I refuse blood transfusions. (Which has nothing to do with religious beliefs.) I have a list of possible contaminants being passed on through blood transfusions, and having lost two good friends to contaminants (the 70s) I am adamant I just aint gonna go there. (End of the appointed surgery slot – hoping to find a hospital that offers autologous facilities, and, with an anaesthetist who would not be scared witless in dealing with achalasia; an elongated and thickened uvula; a diverticula; dysphonia that ends up on bad days as an inarticulate gargle; plus, frozen cervical vertebrae, with several osteophytes – Oh, and, somewhat ancient : like mid 80 yr old And let’s not forget the mild asthma, and recovering from the VTE + PE, and the DVT + PE from three years ago. To round it off, on blood thinners to boot ! You wanna intubate that patient ? I don’t think so. So, the poor fella grabbed at the ‘no way Jose’ BT paddle, disappearing swiftly down stream, never to be seen again. And no doubt, with a huge sigh of relief from the very competent surgeon.) Right. Onwards –

    My trepidation was further reinforced by sighting a passing item from a recent Dr Judy Mikovits interview : In the event of blood transfusions, C-19 jabs as being a possible transporter of Prion disease the Prion being the misfolding of proteins caused by the mRNA and passing the blood/brain barrier. OK. Dig. The ‘possibility’ is acknowledged, it has ‘not’ yet happened, but research is needed. So far the blood/brain barrier has not been crossed – but, it can take a long time for that to take place / for a Prion disease to emerge !
    I can only speak in a layperson’s terms with what I have understood from my research. There is one lengthy bit with the links – hope this is OK with you Dr Kendrick.
    Take home message : “Proving transfusion transmission is extremely difficult in real time, and hemovigilance is therefore a major corner stone of blood safety.” Yes. So don’t mutter ‘Twitchy old woman’…! Not to the adherents here, but to those outside, who would trample on any such findings IF t’were brought to their attention…

    Not found, yet – watching brief –

    “Although the data on SARS-CoV suggested that human sarbecoviruses were not transmissible through transfusion,15,16  the presence of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in plasma of asymptomatic donors may suggest a risk for blood safety.18 

    “Altogether, although blood products contain a great volume of residual plasma (approximately 20 mL) that may increase the global amount of transmitted virus, our data support the absence of proven SARS-CoV-2 transmission by transfusion thus far. This may be because of low viral loads, but the presence of defective viruses, fragmented RNA, or a genuine RNAemia without intact viral particles cannot be ruled out. The pathogen-reduction treatment of platelet units may also explain the absence of transmission by platelet concentrates. In addition, the absence of anti–SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in the 3 positive samples rule out that the absence of transmission is because of the neutralizing potential of the plasma.

    In conclusion, although SARS-CoV-2 transfusion transmission risk cannot be totally excluded, we demonstrated that viremia was extremely rare in asymptomatic blood donors, viral RNA levels were very low when detected, and the corresponding plasma was not infectious in cell culture. The presence in the plasma of nucleic acid related to emerging viruses for which transmission by blood is not the natural mode of contamination does not necessarily imply a threat to blood safety. Proving transfusion transmission is extremely difficult in real time, and hemovigilance is therefore a major corner stone of blood safety.”

    References -17.Corman VM, Rabenau HF, Adams O, et al. SARS-CoV-2 asymptomatic and symptomatic patients and risk for transfusion transmission. Transfusion. 2020;60(6):1119-1122.Google ScholarCrossref PubMed 18.Chang L, Zhao L, Gong H, Wang L, Wang L. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 RNA detected in blood donations. Emerg Infect Dis. 2020;26(7):1631-1633. 19.World Health Organization. rtPCR assay for SARS-CoV-2 detection. Accessed 14 August 2020.© 2020 by The American Society of HematologyVolume 136, Issue 16October 15 2020

    With the mRNA “vaccine” programming our cells to manufacture foreign proteins, is it really known to be safe to be donating blood, plasma or organs?

    Not known.  Consensus : much concern and research needed –

    Click to access covid19-rna-based-vaccines-and-the-risk-of-prion-disease-1503.pdf

      Classen Immunotherapies, Inc., 3637 Rockdale Road, Manchester,MD 21102, E-mail: Bart Classen, MD*Citation: Classen JB. COVID-19 RNA Based Vaccines and the Risk of Prion Disease. Microbiol Infect Dis. 2021; 5(1): 1-3.Research Article
     ABSTRACTDevelopment of new vaccine technology has been plagued with problems in the past. The current RNA based SARSCoV-2 vaccines were approved in the US using an emergency order without extensive long term safety testing. Inthis paper the Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine was evaluated for the potential to induce prion-based disease in vaccinerecipients. The RNA sequence of the vaccine as well as the spike protein target interaction were analyzed for thepotential to convert intracellular RNA binding proteins TAR DNA binding protein (TDP-43) and Fused in Sarcoma(FUS) into their pathologic prion conformations. The results indicate that the vaccine RNA has specific sequencesthat may induce TDP-43 and FUS to fold into their pathologic prion confirmations. In the current analysis a totalof sixteen UG tandem repeats (ΨGΨG) were identified and additional UG (ΨG) rich sequences were identified. TwoGGΨA sequences were found. Potential G Quadruplex sequences are possibly present but a more sophisticatedcomputer program is needed to verify these. Furthermore, the spike protein, created by the translation of the vaccineRNA, binds angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2), a zinc containing enzyme. This interaction has the potential to increase intracellular zinc. Zinc ions have been shown to cause the transformation of TDP-43 to its pathologic prion configuration. The folding of TDP-43 and FUS into their pathologic prion confirmations is known to causeALS, front temporal lobar degeneration, Alzheimer’s disease and other neurological degenerative diseases. The enclosed finding as well as additional potential risks leads the author to believe that regulatory approval of theRNA based vaccines for SARS-CoV-2 was premature and that the vaccine may cause much more harm than benefit.*Correspondence:J. Bart Classen, MD, Classen Immunotherapies, Inc., 3637Rockdale Road, Manchester, MD 21102, Tel: 410-377-8526.Received: 27 December 2020; Accepted: 18 January 20  

    FACT: studies of blood donations show the virus was already circulating in Italy and around Europe in 2019.

    WaffleStaffelFebruary 18, 2021 at 12:44 am

    Autologous blood transfusion certainly makes sense – now to find the hospital that accepts such a protocol.

    Although the transmission of COVID-19 during blood transfusion has not been reported yet, its occurrence remains possible given vertical blood transmission from pregnant women to their newborns has been reported.Sep 17, 2020Is blood transfusion safe during the COVID-19 pandemic … › doi › fsoa-2020-0116Is blood transfusion safe during the COVID-19 pandemic ?   Published Online:17 Sep 2020 virus has been detected in blood and stool, as had the coronaviruses responsible for SARS and MERS (14,16,19-21). The duration and frequency of shedding of COVID-19 virus in stool and potentially in urine is unknown.Mar 2, 2020Laboratory testing for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in suspected human cases.(PDF) Is blood transfusion safe during the COVID-19 … › publication › 344629064_Is_blo…Dec 28, 2020 — infections should be considered ineligible for blood donations, … Keywords: blood products •coronavirus •COVID-19 •transfusion •transmission.Post‐donation COVID‐19 identification in blood › pdf › covid-19 › vox.12925.pdfPDFTitle: Post-donation COVID-19 identification in blood donors … transfusion transmission of infectious diseases, one-month deferral of donors with a history … infection following donation developed COVID-19 related symptoms or tested positive …by SY Kwon · ‎Related articles
    Coronavirus Infection – › dsg › guidelines › cor…COVID-19 (due to infection with SARS-CoV-2 virus, previously known as Novel … that coronaviruses can be transmitted by blood transfusion and therefore these ..

    Although the transmission of COVID-19 during blood transfusion has not been reported yet, its occurrence remains possible given vertical blood transmission from pregnant women to their newborns has been reported.Sep 17, 2020Is blood transfusion safe during the COVID-19 pandemic … › doi › fsoa-2020-0116Is blood transfusion safe during the COVID-19 pandemic ?   Published Online:17 Sep 2020 virus has been detected in blood and stool, as had the coronaviruses responsible for SARS and MERS (14,16,19-21). The duration and frequency of shedding of COVID-19 virus in stool and potentially in urine is unknown.Mar 2, 2020Laboratory testing for coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in suspected human cases.(PDF) Is blood transfusion safe during the COVID-19 … › publication › 344629064_Is_blo…Dec 28, 2020 — infections should be considered ineligible for blood donations, … Keywords: blood products •coronavirus •COVID-19 •transfusion •transmission.Post‐donation COVID‐19 identification in blood › pdf › covid-19 › vox.12925.pdfPDFTitle: Post-donation COVID-19 identification in blood donors … transfusion transmission of infectious diseases, one-month deferral of donors with a history … infection following donation developed COVID-19 related symptoms or tested positive …by SY Kwon · ‎Related articles

    Bad enough for me to turn away from …

    Click to access the_collection_testing_and_use_of_blood_and_blood_components_in_europe_2009_report.pdf

    —————————————————————– ##
    With the number of people world-wide being vaccinated, blood transfusions will *need to be autologous –
    Molly C – France

    1. Martin Back

      “Autologous transfusion is the collection and reinfusion of the patient’s own blood (donor and recipient is the same person).” — Pub Med (had to look it up)

      The following passage caught my eye:

      “Furthermore, the spike protein, created by the translation of the vaccine RNA, binds angiotensin converting enzyme 2 (ACE2), a zinc containing enzyme. This interaction has the potential to increase intracellular zinc. Zinc ions have been shown to cause the transformation of TDP-43 to its pathologic prion configuration. The folding of TDP-43 and FUS into their pathologic prion confirmations is known to cause ALS, front temporal lobar degeneration, Alzheimer’s disease and other neurological degenerative diseases.”

      The Zelenko protocol is hydroxychloroquine + zinc + antibiotic. The HCL forces the zinc into the cell and it is the zinc that fights the virus, apparently. But will the extra zinc cause Alzheimer’s etc? Now I’m a bit worried. Previously, I would have taken the protocol very willingly.

  61. anna m

    Dr. Kendrick,
    Since the age group you discuss is not the one primarily vulnerable to covid, there must be another explanation. Was medical care less available in England compared to the other 3 countries?

  62. mmec7

    Addendum : had to hunt for Judy Mikovits. Brain inflammation – Prion disease –
    It is all a filthy business out there – Health does not come in to it, it is pure business and profits.
    Another aspect that is only lately coming under review : COVID-19 mRNA ‘Vaccines’ and the Risk of Prion Disease :

    Click to access covid19-rna-based-vaccines-and-the-risk-of-prion-disease-1503.pdf

    Is Blood Transfusion Safe During the COVID-19 Pandemic –

    Judy Mikovits Suggests Retroviruses Play a Role in COVID-19
    Judy Mikovits, Ph.D. believes COVID-19 is not caused by SARS-CoV-2 alone, but rather that it’s the result of a combination of SARS-CoV-2 and XMRVs.
    ‘Plandemic’ Documentary
    Plandemic features Judy Mikovits, Ph.D., a cellular and molecular biologist whose research showed that many vaccines are contaminated with gammaretroviruses. (Dr Mikovits also mentions the possibility of a Prion link.)

    How COVID-19 ‘Vaccines’ May Destroy the Lives of Millions
    Many commonly reported side effects from the COVID-19 gene therapy ‘vaccines’ appear to be caused by brain inflammation.

    —————————————————– ##
    Brain inflammation. First it was claimed that those with Dementia, Alzheimer’s or MS should not take the Jab.
    Now, ‘they’ are claiming that to take the Jab or Vaccine IF you have X; Y; Z – is OK. You will not be harmed or damaged. The Jab and the vaccines are ‘safe’. My left toe they are safe. Must take us for a load of numpties.
    Hope my ‘probable’ MS Dx will keep me away from too much argument not to mention mild asthma; AS; PEs; DVT; VTE; Pleurisy – an all the rest … mind you. Would give em a grand excuse to try an get rid o’me !!
    Molly-C – France

  63. Martin Back

    Another cost of lockdowns that is never counted is crime. We have had a wave of petty crime in our neighbourhood in the last few months. Just this morning I had to turn off the water at a neighbour who was overseas and the house empty. Petty criminals had broken through a high wooden gate, ripped off a tap leaving water gushing out, and were busy extracting electrical wires when apparently disturbed.

    People without jobs are desperate and will turn to crime if they must. Unfortunately the cost of repairs, which the victim has to pay, gets counted as adding to the GDP, not as subtracting from the general welfare and counted as collateral damage due to lockdowns.

  64. Eggs ‘n beer

    And the lies continue. AZ have just announced that the US trials of their vaccine, which is compared to a saline solution instead of their other trials which used the ACWY meningococcal vaccine as a control, is “79% effective”. Even though they don’t give any actual figures, this is clearly a lie as the study started on August 28th, and the primary endpoint for efficacy, that is, the prevention of symptoms, is 1 year.

    In any case, with 141 cases across the 32,459 participants over a six month period, WHAT’S THE PROBLEM! 0.43% case rate overall, 0.05% hospitalisation in the saline group, no deaths – who needs a vaccine anyway? (That does not read “WHO needs a vaccine”)

  65. Marjorie Filkin

    Sorry to break up the discussion but I want to ask Malcolm a question. What is the risk after 70 of developing serious complications if you have no underlying conditions and are taking no medication. Is vaccination necessary? It appears that Covid 19 is more unpleasant but how much more?

    1. Eggs ‘n beer

      The over ‘70s population of the UK is about 9m. In the first 6 months of the bug 92,000 infections were reported, or 1% of the over-seventies. So, say you have a 2% chance of contracting it p.a. Which, sort of, means you’ll have to live another 50 years to be sure of catching it.

      Between March and June 3,411 people over 70 without pre-existing conditions are reported to have died of Covid. About 0.038% of the 70+ population. So you’d have to live another 2,638 years to be sure of dying of Covid.

      This appears to mean the four months, which includes the spike. In spite of the title of the ons report, hospitalisations are not recorded in the format requested …. so your question seems unanswerable in a definitive fashion.

      A recent study from Germany (referenced elsewhere here) indicates 81% T cell immunity for non-exposed individuals. And another study referencing that one, that adequate vitamin D levels are required for the T cells to do their job. Thanks to smartersig for those.

      So, “Do you feel lucky, punk?”. Personally I think that the stats put luck on my side. I’ll continue decades of risking skin cancer by exposing my skin to the Queensland sun as much as I like, guzzling cholesterol to provide the D building block, topping it up with 5,000iu of D when we have rainy days (we’ve just had three in a row!). The real irony of Slip, Slop, Slap is that you need vitamin D to fight skin cancers …. I’ll also continue eschewing face masks, hand hygiene and social distancing as much as possible in the hope of providing my Langerhans cells with the opportunity of priming my immune system with T cells if I’m in the 19% that currently don’t have them. Although as I haven’t had a symptomatic coronavirus infection for many years that probably isn’t an issue. As a result, as nobody dies of anything but Covid nowadays, I’m probably immortal.

    2. Her outdoors

      I’d suggest a scamper through the Orthomolecular Medicine website…. protective doses of vitamins. Sign of onset of any flu type symptoms – top load with vitamin C, liposomal if possible, 1000mg every 15 mins to bowel tolerance (when your tummy starts to rumble) pause and start again after an hour. Add in vitamin D and some zinc (unless you’ve had the pfz vax, then caution). That should nail it! Otherwise the answer depends on the skill of any medic you consult….attached info on vitamin D recent key study shared on here.

  66. Dr No

    Re-posting as says WP says it is a duplicate but original never appeared…

    The EuroMOMO charts, especially the Z score ones, are numerology. The reason why the between UK home nation country comparisons don’t stack up is because of different population sizes. Dr No covered it January:

    “Another perhaps more serious flaw in the EuroMOMO algorithm is that the variability (the dispersion or scatter) about the mean number of deaths will depend on the population size, with smaller populations, and so a smaller number of observations, or deaths, more prone to wider variability, which in turn will feed through into bigger standard deviations, and so smaller Z-scores (recall, the Z-score is the difference between the observed number of deaths and the mean, expected number of deaths, divided by the standard deviation). The four UK nations demonstrate this flaw very clearly (Figure 1). The smaller the population, the smaller the Z-scores. For Northern Ireland, (population ~1.8m vs England’s ~56m), EuroMOMO has achieved what months of epic masking up and locking down have failed to achieve: all but total ablation of the pandemic.

    Yep, for NI, EuroMOMO has achieved what months of epic masking up and locking down have failed to achieve: all but total ablation of the pandemic.

    Full post here:

    For what it is worth, Dr No does think you can sort of trust within-country all cause mortality, but you need to be conscious of what you then compare it to (if you use the last few years for the UK, 2020 looks bad because the last decade had exceptionally low mortality) and you also need to adjust for population growth (both overall, and proportionately more older people, both of which will mean you expect more deaths).

    The rest is hokum.

    1. Dr. Malcolm Kendrick Post author

      I am sorry but that is simply nonsense. The variability in the Z-score is clearly dependent on population number, to a slight extent – although we are talking about many hundreds of thousand of people here. However, the population size has not the slightest impact on the size of the Z-score. It is merely the standard deviation from the mean. It has nothing whatsoever to do with the total population size. If that were true the smaller populations would show greater deviations and what we see is the exact opposite to that.

      1. Dr No

        Dr No is not sure he agrees. Consider the following based on ONS E&W NIRSA weekly deaths from 2019 (ONS url is hideously long, NIRSA has the NI data, google is your friend) (numbers are rounded):

        Avg number of deaths per week, standard deviation (sd), which we will use as the baseline:
        England 9478 (994)
        Wales 634 (71)
        Northern Ireland 302 (38)

        Week[x] has 20% more deaths, so (week[x] deaths minus baseline) are
        England 1896
        Wales 127
        Northern Ireland 60

        Each nation had the same % increase, so week[x] should have the same z-score
        England: z-score = 1896/994 = 1.91
        Wales: z-score = 127/71 = 1.79
        Northern Ireland = 60/38 = 1.58

        So the country with the smaller population gets the lower z-score, even when there is no difference is rates. It happens because the standard deviation as a proportion of the mean is larger in the country with the smaller population (0.105, 0.112, 0.126 respectively).

        The other thing that jumps out of the stacked four nations z-score charts is that the smaller population, the flatter the line. This is apparent in both your version above, and Dr No’s version in the post linked to above. Why might this be? Dr No thinks population size has something to do with it, as shown in the worked example above.

        There are of course other considerations, not least applying a normal approximation to mortality data, which may not be normally distributed.

        Dr No agrees the worked example doesn’t show extreme differences, but there is clearly an effect. And aren’t we really saying the same thing, that the only number that can reasonably be trusted is all cause mortality, with Dr No being even stricter and saying that number shouldn’t be expressed using z-scores, because they are (a) not transparent (the full EuroMOMO methodology has not been published) and (b) as shown above, they are subject to spurious effects.

    2. Martin Back

      Does that mean if you add the smaller nations together to make a big virtual nation, you should get a similar z-curve?

      e.g. Denmark (5.8 million) to Cyprus (1.2 million) is 59.7 million, comparable to UK.

      Anyone want to add these and see? Denmark, Finland, Slovakia, Norway, Ireland, Croatia, Georgia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Armenia, Albania, Lithuania, Moldova, North Macedonia, Slovenia, Latvia, Estonia, Cyprus.

      1. Dr No

        Martin – possibly. It’s difficult, if not impossible to do, because EuroMOMO, as well as not publishing their methods, also don’t make available their raw data. Non-disclosure of these fundamentals is ALWAYS a red flag.

        The EuroMOMO idea so far as we can tell is (a) establish a baseline and then (b) measure how far individual data points are from that baseline. The baseline (a) is established using de-trended, de-seasonalised averages, something like use spring and autumn data, do some bizarre transformations on that data, and call that the baseline. It’s a bit like using an average of spring/autumn temperatures to decide whether winter is cold or summer hot.

        The measurement (b) uses the z-score. The motive is clear, to achieve some sort of standardisation, so the same county can be compared over time, and different countries can be compared with each other. The maths is straight forward: the z-score is the difference between your current data point of interest and the baseline, divided by the standard deviation (sd) of the baseline measurements. This is why anything that affects the sd matters: the bigger the sd, the smaller the z-score, and vice versa. See the above worked example for how this works out in practice. Dr No does agree with Dr K that it doesn’t appear to be a very marked affect, but it is not trivial, and it is certainly not ‘simply nonsense’, as the worked example shows.

        The starting point for all this is the UK four nations chart. Note EuroMOMO only make z-score charts available for nations, no raw death count data. Here is the version Dr No used (if this doesn’t appear as the image, please click on the like to view it):

        The striking thing is the larger the nation in population, the bigger the bumps, or to put it the other way, the smaller the nation, the flatter the curve. How and why is that the case? Could population size have anything to do with it?

        Dr No has just re-checked the EuroMOMO website (, scroll down to the bottom) to confirm nothing has materially changed. It hasn’t, apart from one very odd thing: Northern Ireland has disappeared. EuroMOMO, not content with flattening the NI curve, have now deleted it entirely!

        1. Dr. Malcolm Kendrick Post author

          Can I make a plea that you do not refer to yourself in the third person (even using a nom de plume). Maybe it is just me, but when someone refers to themselves in the third person it creates a certain impression which makes it almost impossible to take anything they say seriously. I shall refrain from saying which words pass through my mind.

          1. Dr No

            Malcolm, it’s a stylistic habit which I have used for over a decade. I know it is not to everyone’s liking, but given it has become so established over such a long time, and is part of the character of Bad Medicine by Dr No, I see no reason to change it now. It started at a time when a lot of medical bloggers blogged anonymously, hoping rather foolishly that doing so would protect them from GMC; perhaps, at the time, Dr No thought (foolishly) that adding illeism might increase anonymity. Over time, both Dr No and almost all the other anonymous bloggers (Dr Crippen, The Jobbing Doctor, Dr Rant among others) got outed one way or another, and none of the others are still active. Dr No is the exception, so again he sees no reason to change. And anyway, what’s good enough for Caesar is good enough for Dr No. (And yes, in case you are wondering, Dr No’s ego is even larger than Caesar’s ego.)

            This is of course your blog, so you have absolute control over what does and doesn’t appear. Your latest plea does create an awkward predicament, though: does Dr No change his style because someone else has told him he should, or if he doesn’t, do you either tolerate it, or block his comments, purely because you dislike his style?

            The link to the image which didn’t show up in my last comment is


          2. AhNotepad

            You might see it as part of your character, but I find it difficult to assimilate this third person style. Consequently I start reading, and as soon as I come across the 3rd person, I delete the post and move on. I read some of every post on the blog, so I have plenty to do, and missing a few is inevitable. I see the purpose of writing to get someone to read it. I know there are people who don’t read my posts, but I do read yours until i cone across the 3rd person, then I’m off to something that requires less in the way of mental gymnastics.

          3. David Bailey

            Malcolm, I can assure you that it is not just you. As I read that, I thought that it was from someone responding to ‘Dr No’, and then I realised it was just him playing the fool.

            I must admit, if it were me moderating, I think I would just discard posts of that sort.

          4. Eggs ‘n beer

            Having come across this before as a moderator, there seems to be a schizophrenic element involved, with one persona writing for another. It might explain why they are wrong – the left hand doesn’t understand what the right hand wants to say.

            Your blog, your rules.

          5. Dr No

            AhNotepad – I appreciate your feedback, thank you. I’ve stuck with it because it is part of the ‘Bad medicine by Dr No’ package, which has been around for over a decade. Back in those early days, medical bloggers often used a nom de plume, and a good many wrote in the 3rd person, ie it was normal then, and I’ve just stuck with it. Very occasionally it comes up, more as an oddity (why does he do it?) than an impairment to readability. But I take your point. Maybe what works on Bad Medicine, as a known and established style, is out of place when commenting elsewhere.

          6. Prudence Kitten

            I hope no one will mind if I mention how surprising and interesting I find it that two bloggers whom I admire as much as Dr Kendrick and Dr No disagree so completely both about staistics and even about literary style.

            It’s somewhat encouraging in that it shows the rest of us that even the best experts can differ (which may mean that one at least of them is wrong).

            It’s also discouraging, of course, in that it reveals how difficult it can be even to get into the foothills of the problems facing medical science without stumbling or falling into a pit.

            This is the essence of free speech, with experts testing their ideas in a public forum. Even if one’s theory gets punctured, one has learned something. In fact everyone has learned something.

          7. Dr No

            Prudence Kitten – Thank you. “This is the essence of free speech, with experts testing their ideas in a public forum. Even if one’s theory gets punctured, one has learned something. In fact everyone has learned something.” I couldn’t agree more. Yes, it can be messy, unsettling, even ugly at times, but it offers our best chance of getting at the truth, and is infinitely preferable to all the alternatives.

        2. Garth Lane

          The underlying statistical distribution has properties that are not necessarily dependent on the population size. The dispersion about the mean is driven by many things and is not always random. It is entirely possible for two distributions to have different variances and the same population size.

          In this case the same percentage deviation from the mean will not have the same z-scores even if they have identical means. For the distribution with the larger standard deviation, deviations are statistically less significant.

          A z-score is a linear transformation that transforms the distribution to a distribution with a zero mean and a standard deviation of 1. The z-score will not be normally distributed if the underlying distribution is not normal.

          Z-scores cant tell you anything about the probability without knowledge of the distribution but they are directly comparable and do tell you how far from the mean a given deviation is, allowing you to compare results with different underlying distributions.

          EuroMOMO’s transformations are not bizarre. They adjust appropriately for seasonality which is absolutely essential so as not to overstate a mortality deviation. The ONS shortcut (using a five-year average for a given week) is very approximate as it does not allow for underlying changes in the age structure of a population over the 5 years but it still allows for seasonality.

          Basically your point about population size is a load of old cobblers. Slovenia has a population of 2m and Scotland a population of 5.5m and Wales a population of 3m and yet Slovenia produced a significant z-score in the EuroMOMO charts at the end of 2020

          1. Dr No

            I am sure we all understand what a z-score is, a standardised way of measuring deviation from a baseline. The intention is good.

            But there are two related problems. The first is EuroMOMO only publish z-scores for individual countries, not counts and z-scores. So we can’t see the underlying counts, only the resultant z-scores. As I and Dr Kendrick have both said, all cause mortality is generally the most believable (Dr K in the original post: “Just in case you are wondering. I do believe in these overall mortality data. If someone is dead, they are dead. It is difficult to misdiagnose or diagnose in any other way. So, these figures represent the real deal.”) but these z-scores aren’t ‘the real deal’, they are the real deal after it has been processed by the EuroMOMO algorithm.

            The second problem is the z-score processing results in charts that make no sense (Dr K in the OP: “Something of great significance happened in England, that did not happen in the other three countries. I cannot orientate, because I have absolutely no idea what these figures are telling me.”, me in the comments above, you with your Slovenia example). These are all based on all cause mortality, so there are no over/under diagnosis biases at work. Yet the bumps clearly visible in for example ONS’s weekly mortality chart for Wales (in the weekly bulletin) have disappeared after applying the EuroMOMO algorithm. From the OP: “At this point, I shall change direction slightly, and point you at the most incomprehensible statistic of all” ie the z-score.

            “I have no idea what these figures are telling me”, “most incomprehensible statistic of all” (both Dr K) “The EuroMOMO charts, especially the Z score ones, are numerology” (me) – we’re both saying the same thing. bearing in mind all we are dealing with is:

            Raw all cause mortality (generally the most reliable data there is, the “real deal”) => EuroMOMO z-score algorithm => z-score charts that are “incomprehensible”/”numerology”, then the incomprensibility/numerology must come about in the z-score algorithm. There is no other point at which the nonsense can be introduced. As shown above, using real England/Wales Northern Ireland data from 2019, z-scores are influenced by population sizes, and this effect (smaller z-scores in smaller countries) is generally seen in the collected EuroMOMO charts, but with some striking exceptions, like Slovenia. So it is entirely “a load of cobblers”, or “simply nonsense”, a real effect can be seen.

            The other thing, which you have lightly touched upon, is the z-score method assumes the raw data, or transformed data if it is transformed, are normally distributed. If they aren’t, then it it very possible that anything based on standard deviations, as z-scores are, might be misleading, ie under or over estimate apparent deviations from the baseline.

            A fuller treatment of EuroMOMO z-scores and their potential problems is available here:


          2. Garth Lane

            In response to Dr No (aka Dr Chris Sinclair?)

            “Now that Dr No has retired from clinical practice, he is keen to expand his published work. He is available for, and happy to consider, any reasonable commissioned written work.
            Dr No’s recent work includes writing Bad Medicine: an ‘Editor’s Choice’ of posts can be viewed here. In the past, Dr No has also worked as a medical journalist, and has had two books published. Samples can be made available on request.
            Dr No also has experience in epidemiological methods and is available to carry out such work on a consultancy basis.
            Oh, and for the avoidance of doubt: Dr No is entirely capable of not writing in the third person”

            I think this makes him a little more prone to be accused of being mischievous when he refers to the z-score computed by EuroMOMO as being numerology.

            The methodology employed by EuroMOMO is pretty fully described in the following link

            I do not think there is anything fundamentally wrong with the academic framework or the methodology – employing as it does a General Linear Poisson Model with underlying sine curves used to fit parameters to the model for seasonal mortality and excluding certain weeks when determining baseline mortality

            Other academics do differ and clearly Janine Aron and John Muelbauer et al ( )prefer to use the excess mortality as a percentage of the expectation (which expectation is generally driven by a simple average) – their P-score

            Anyhow as an index the EuroMOMO z-score indicates the number of standard deviations from the mean and in fact is the excess all-cause mortality divided by a standard deviation. The fact that a more sophisticated model has gone into determining the expected value allowing for baseline mortality and the average normal seasonal effect is not so much of a concern – it may be a black box as far as most are concerned but that does not make it numerology (any more that the FTSE or Dow-Jones indices are numerology). It is provided as an index. The raw data is available elsewhere – they are not permitted to provide it.

            I personally prefer to use an index showing how far mortality is away from the mean as a multiple of standard deviation in order to determine a true signal from random fluctuation – ie the statistical significance.

            I do not think that you are saying the same thing as Dr. Kendrick. Dr. Kendrick is saying that there is an inexplicable feature in the mortality experience in the early part of 2021 that does not make sense in terms of the way epidemics function. You are saying it is a numeric artefact.

            It is not a numeric artefact – the feature is self-evident for England and Wales in a plot of excess all-cause mortality allowing very simply for a seasonal effect (not employing a GLM) and plotting raw excess mortality.

            If you ascribe to the perpetual wave model that the SAGE group endorses that does not allow for natural immunity or acquired immunity, then it is easy to interpret the 2021 peak as a wave. However, if one expects that seasonal resurgence should have a lower peak (as is visible in late 2020 then one should be concerned why the 2021 peak is so high.
            We can probably adjust out 1,000 to 1,500 deaths a week due to lockdown lack of treatment and behavioural change (not seeking treatment when needed or treatment not being available) but there is potentially still something inexplicable there. The only thing that fundamentally changed in the environment was the introduction of vaccination .

            So, one hypothesis is that multiple waves are possible and the population has not acquired herd immunity. Another hypothesis is that the vaccines are not perfectly safe for everyone.

            By the way, z-scores in no way depend on normality. (It is highly unlikely that total population mortality is normally distributed, given that mortality can be modelled with a Gompertz-Makeham distribution at younger ages and a Kannisto or Weibull distribution at older ages. Poisson distributions are also used when numbers of deaths are small. The overall total population distribution of excess deaths is a sum of random variables and may appear to be approximately normally distributed due to the law of large numbers).
            As I said z-scores linearly transform a random variable to a random variable with mean 0 and standard deviation 1. This is true for any distribution imaginable – normal or distinctly non-normal. A mathematical fact – no assumptions required.

          3. Dr No

            Yes, I am Dr Chris Sinclair, its in the footer on both the old (badmed) and current (dr-no) blogs. And yes, Dr No can be mischievous.

            One of the very first (in 1994) epidemiological projects I got involved in was trying to pick up early signals of an outbreak. Back then we were still using DOS programs, hardly anyone had heard of logistic regression, and modelling was something you did with plasticine. One of the concerns I have over the explosion in complex computing used in epidemiology, and indeed in observational sciences in general, is indeed the black box effect, since it (a) disenfranchises non-super-specialists (b) inhibits others checking workings and (c) increases the chances of mistakes. I know we won’t go back to the days when one doctor could spend a couple of days in the library, and thereby understand pretty much any other doctors work, but that doesn’t mean I don’t regret the passing of those days.

            Back to the 1994 project: we pretty much concluded, using our abacuses, that it was an impossible task. In effect, by the time you got a reliable signal, what ever is was was already well underway. This isn’t necessarily that surprising, because the game is forecasting, and even today forecasting struggles to predict the future, not just in medicine, but in the weather, finance and numerous other fields. It may be better than it was, but it is still not very good, and the further you forecast into the future, the worse it gets. When forecasters start getting ahead of themselves, I am likely to call them numerologists.

            I approached the EuroMOMO z-score charts pragmatically. The UK four nations charts clearly indicate something is wrong somewhere. Being the four UK nations, death counts should be reliable enough, so that just leaves something in the black box as an explanation of why the z-scores, even after the event, give a misleading picture. We know what the EuroMOMO charts are trying to do, but they are clearly not doing it. What I came up with is covered elsewhere, so no need to repeat it here.

            If the effect of population size, acting via the standard deviation, is irrelevant or trivial, then what is causing the lower peaks (in general) in smaller countries (Slovenia being an outlier; maybe they do death differently there, and there are others)? Maybe the assumptions about distributions aren’t as robust as they might seem? It’s the pattern (outliers excepted) I keep coming back to: smaller population, lower Z-scores. For the four UK nations, the effect is so marked as to even appear dose dependent. Very curious!

  67. Nigella P

    Thank you, as ever, for this thoughtful post Dr K. I feel as thought the data surrounding Covid-19 is a bit like the bible – massively open to interpretation and can be twisted to mean pretty much anything to anyone.

    Many things concern me about the paucity of data throughout this pandemic, which as you so clearly highlight, leads to badly informed decisions. However, another concern I have is that with the absence of solidly reliable data, we have the proliferation of theories. Some sound sensible and seem logical, others seem absurd and crazy (5G masts infecting populations etc) buy they all appeal to various sections of the population, depending on what biases already exist AND what they all lack is clear, unrefutable data to back them up. Therefore, they become beliefs and as such are bloody difficult to dislodge.

  68. Emperor

    If Porsche offers me a 2021 911 Turbo I’ll get the vaccine. But a doughnut? They want me to play Russian Roulette – for a doughnut????

    Krispy Kreme will give a free doughnut a day to anyone with a COVID-19 vaccination card

    Krispy Kreme will give away a free glazed doughnut to anyone who comes in with a COVID-19 vaccination card through the end of 2021, the company announced Monday.

    « Whatever little things brands can do to help make it past the pandemic are good things, » Chief Marketing Office Dave Skena told Insider in a phone call. There are no limits on the free donuts, so a vaccinated person could potentially go every day.

    The chain will also give employees up to four hours of paid time off to get both vaccine doses. « I hope that other brands will see and choose to do something similar, » Skena said.

    While employees have the time to get vaccinated, Krispy Kreme will not require vaccinations. Getting vaccinated is a « personal choice, » Skena says that they « want to encourage and make sure nothing is standing in the way. »

    Krispy Kreme isn’t the only company offering accommodations to help employees get vaccinated. Target and Dollar General are two of many offering vacation time for vaccine appointments. Kroger, Petco, and Publix are all offering cash or gift cards to employees who show proof of vaccinations.

    Krispy Kreme says it will also support workers and volunteers at vaccination sites with free doughnuts at certain centers across the country in the next few weeks.

    1. Prudence Kitten

      It’s a cunning plan, Emperor. If you eat a Krispy Kreme doughnut every day you may get diabetes, which can then be blamed when you die young.

      I regret not having eaten doughnuts for a long time – I remember how delicious they were when I was young.

      But then I consider what probably goes into a doughnut nowadays.

      1. Dough – made of refined white flour.
      2. Refined white sugar.
      3. Vegetable oil.

      The three major killer “food-like substances” that are responsible for the epidemics of obesity, diabetes, circulatory disease, possibly cancer, possible qauto-immune diseases, etc., etc.

      A doughnut is a world of pain encapsulated in a soft, delicious body.

      1. AhNotepad

        3 is more correctly termed ”industrial seed oils” First used for running diesel engines.

        If you put it in a truck and it runs, it ain’t food.

      2. Emperor

        At this point it probably doesn’t matter if one eats pizza and ice cream for breakfast lunch and dinner, smokes crack and shoots heroin.

  69. Fast Eddy

    When it comes to vaccines, suddenly “from vs with” matters again

    The media’s attitude to possible vaccine-related injuries highlights how INSANE the “Covid deaths” count always was

    If they want to define a “Covid death” as dying within 60 days of a positive test, fine. But then anyone who dies within two months of getting vaccinated is a “vaccine death”. And they should have those two big red numbers counting up, right next to each other, on the front page of every news website in the world.

    And if they don’t do that – which they obviously won’t – then you have a deliberately employed double standard, and that is a tacit admission of intentional deception.

    It really is just that simple.

  70. comlabs2019


    Given that you say:

    “No-one will officially provide the data on how many cycles are being done.”

    can you give any source for the assertion:

    “Now, the numbers of cases are falling, they have reduced PCR processing to thirty cycles. “?

    I realise that your ‘source’ may have to be off-the-record comments from friends at testimng labs etc – but I do think that it is important to give readers at least some indication of the quality of evidence to back up such an important claim…


    1. Steve

      comlabs2019: the information, or lack of, has been in the public domain, or not, for a long time.
      FOI requests on PCR cycles have been made to the NHS, without questions being answered.
      You will find no official NHS documentation in the public domain that will confirm precise recommended cycle rates.
      The actual rates used in testing are ‘secret’. This is not accidental.
      The WHO originally proposed 45 cycles than in January proposed lower rates.
      I propose, there is a correlation between falling cases and a lowering of PCR Cycle rates.

  71. Ian Partington

    Malcolm, I would love to help our ” glorious leaders ” to orientate themselves, to get to f….! ( as one may say north of the border). Keep up the great fight.

  72. Nigella P

    I watched the Panorama programme last night about various Government responses to the pandemic. It was only one hour long, therefore hardly in-depth and it seemed to get slightly side-tracked at times with individual accounts.

    However, these were my key takeaways from the programme itself. In the UK:

    We were very slow to act
    We didn’t protect the vulnerable
    We didn’t get test, track and trace up and running quick enough or well enough
    We didn’t support people who should isolate well enough
    We don’t have enough ICU beds or ICU staff
    We failed to do all of the above, therefore allowing way more people than needed to to die and decimated our economy as well

    This is just what I took away from the programme. In many cases is was implied with the examples of what has worked better in other nations, rather than explicitly explained as I have done in the points above.

    I’m not of any particular political persuasion, as I’ve long realised that there is no party in the UK that represents me. However, I am very much of the view that the current incumbents are probably the biggest bunch of incompetents one could hope to have running a country in a pandemic and that there must be a public enquiry, so that we never repeat what has happened again.

    1. AhNotepad

      Nigella, not much chance of a public enquiry, there may be a whitewash job which will show all the culprits as innocent, a bit like Bliar. They are not incompetent, all of what has happened was planned, it wasn’t a mistake. The sooner people grasp this, the better.

    2. Steve

      Of course other take away’s that I’m sure they never covered were:
      > Billions given away to inappropriate companies/mates/donors for PPE that never appeared or was faulty.
      > Many new laws initiated that curb peoples freedoms and rights.
      After nearly 12 years of Tory dominance it is clear that their beliefs and actions are based on: Incompetence, Lies and Corruption.

      1. Jerome Savage

        “Tory” and its origins.
        1566, “an outlaw,” specifically “one of a class of Irish robbers noted for outrages and savage cruelty,” from Irish toruighe “plunderer,” originally “pursuer, searcher,” from Old Irish toirighim “I pursue,” from toir “pursuit,” from Celtic *to-wo-ret- “a running up to,” from PIE root *ret- “to run, roll” (see rotary).

    3. Jerome Savage

      Nigella P
      Couple of things stand out in your summary –
      * re not enough ICU – were the nightingale hospitals not ICU & were they not largely used ?
      * it wasnt covid that wrecked the economy, it was steps taken in reaction to it. The workforce being under 65 and relatively healthy would have been largely unaffected.
      And separate from that do we need to be careful when considering information or data from bodies who gain funding from certain vested interests ?

      1. Nigella P

        Hi Jerome, with regards to not enough ICU, this was about the fact that the number of ICU beds (which also includes specifically trained staff as well) is lower in the UK per head of population than in other first world countries generally pre-Covid. Yes, the Nightingales were constructed and fitted out but my understanding is that the NHS barely had the trained staff to cover the ICU beds in existing hospitals, let alone staff any in a Nightingale!

        With regards to the economy wrecking the point being made here, was absolutely that it was the steps taken to ‘combat’ Covid-19 wrecked the economy. The example given was Sweden, with the implication being that yes they made mistakes and let Covid get into their care homes, but at least they still had a fully functioning economy.

  73. John Clements

    This week’s Telegraph carried an interesting article, featuring a scientist (named Spector, I recollect, no relation to the Bond villains) who, like Dr Kendrick, appeared to think for himself. He pointed the finger — accurately, I suspect, based on my exposure, pre-Covid, to research regarding nutrition — at the UK’s excessive consumption of ultra-processed food (highest in Europe) correspondent obesity, damage to biome etc. etc. This might explain the UK’s excessive deaths, but not sure if it could contribute to England standing out against other home nations…let alone Spain too…

  74. Shaun Clark

    The aged dying excessively? Vaccines? They used to have special committee hearings for this type of thing: file:///home/chronos/u-8bd1f892397423577789a3ea4d28c561c8747e05/MyFiles/Downloads/Swindlers,_Hucksters_and_Snake_Oil_Salesman_-_Hype_and_Hope_Marketing_Anti-Aging_Products_to_Seniors.pdf

    1. smartersig

      Anyone interested in Vaccines should read
      How to end the Autism Epidemic – Handley
      It well researched but also a page turner so excellent bed time reading

      1. Gary Ogden

        smartersig: I second your recommendation. Read it in 2018. J.B. Handley is one of the really good guys, and he has a new book out.

  75. southparkbarn

    Under the Freedom of Information Act I asked the ONS for the Cycle Thresholds for positive Covid tests in the UK since January 2020. They only started to collect the data from 21st September 2020! They referred me to a dataset accompanying their latest bulletin with Ct Values for the UK as a whole then for each country. I am not a statistician so can’t make much sense out of them but perhaps someone on here can? This is the download link:

    1. Eggs ‘n beer

      Well done for getting a reply.

      They didn’t give you what you asked for, however, if your question was “Cycle Thresholds for positive Covid tests”, they’ve only given you averages … but then, as it turns out, that would have been a very large spreadsheet.

      It’s clear that there isn’t a standard threshold. If you look at table 6a for example, the mean of the Ct for the UK for the week of 21st September was 25.3, but the 10th percentile value averaged 16.2 and the 90th 33.0. For the period as a whole the mean varied from 25.3 to 29.5. For Wales it ranged from 20.2 to 32.4.

      While it would be interesting to know why there aren’t any standards it still wouldn’t enable any analysis. As it is, analysis is impossible. You can’t compare anything week to week, country to country, everything is meaningless. Tables 1a to 1k only refer to household infection rates, they exclude aged care, hospital and other institutions. Table 1g is fascinating, infection rates amongst toddlers and primary school is 50% higher than the 70+ group in January, rising to over double by mid March. Fascinating, but meaningless.

  76. Doug from Canada

    Did you get the results from the NO spray Double-Blind, Placebo-Controlled, Phase 2 Clinical Trial?

    In a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase 2 trial that evaluated 79 confirmed cases of COVID-19, SaNOtize’s early treatment for COVID-19 significantly reduced the level of SARS-CoV-2, including in patients with high viral loads. The average viral log reduction in the first 24 hours was 1.362, which corresponds to a decline of about 95%. Within 72 hours, the viral load dropped by more than 99%. The majority of these patients had been infected with the UK variant, which is considered a variant of concern. There were no adverse health events recorded in the UK trial, or in over 7,000 self-administered treatments given in earlier Canadian clinical trials.

    The only highlight that matters is 99% viral load drop within 72 hrs.

    For above quote google UK-Clinical-Trial-Confirms-SaNOtize’s-Breakthrough-Treatment-for-COVID-19 or go to the sanotize website

    1. Prudence Kitten

      Er, did any of those people actually get sick?

      Any at all?

      Viral load doesn’t matter if the virus isn’t harming the person.

      1. Doug from Canada

        Read the paper. The study was of hospitalized patients with COVID.

        I would have linked it but none of my posts with hyperlinks gets to the moderator. WordPress must automatically suppress them.

        1. Prudence Kitten

          Your explanation doesn’t necessarily answer my question, Doug. In the UK at least many people are in hospital with a variety of illnesses, and are deemed “Covid-19 cases” simply because they tested positive on admission.

          So they may well be in hospital, but not ill – with Covid.

    1. AhNotepad

      Everybody, if Hancock (who is also up for fraud along with Ferguson) gets his way. I heard on Radio 4 this morning, Hancock is reported as saying “Care home workers have a duty of care, so should get vaccinated”. The great Mr. Hancock also has a duty of care, when is he going to act with that duty in mind? So far, it looks like he couldn’t care less.

      1. John

        Well, since the vaccine doesn’t stop you catching or transmitting the disease, it looks as though Hancock is saying that care assistants have a duty of care towards their employers’ bank accounts as their employers might have to pay extra sick pay if they catch the disease more severely. I though that employers had a duty of care towards their employees.

        1. AhNotepad

          John, add to that the duty of care that government ministers have towards the members of the population. Claims about “the greater good” are just weasel words to deflect criticism. Hancock demonstrates a duty to do as his paymasters tell him. The paymasters are not government.

  77. Doug from Canada

    The numbers don’t justify the actions taken. In Canada health-infobase published by the government has death data up to March 12 2021 showing the following:

    age range – number dead
    0-19 – 6 deaths (2019 has 30 deaths from influenza, 3000 deaths total from disease)
    20-29 – 35 deaths
    30-39 – 76 deaths
    40-49 – 179 deaths
    50-59 – 605 deaths
    60-69 – 1,724 deaths

    Our population is 38.4 million. If you’re under 50 the odds of death from Covid in Canada is 0.00077% or 7.7 in 100,000. Influenza is annually about 9 to 13 in 100,000

    Above 69 the numbers rise dramatically:

    70-79 – 4,265
    80+ – 15,400

    Of course average life expectancy is 81.1 years.

    Why this isn’t talked about more baffles me.


    Surely there are more COVID-19 deaths for (relatively) younger patients registered in England because 5 out of the 6 ECMO centres for the UK are in England. Patients in this group are more likely to have care escalated to one of these centres and the death accordingly gets registered in England.

  79. David Bailey

    I wonder how much correlation there is between ‘number of new cases’ and deaths N days later, for various plausible N. What I am getting at, is that it could be that whoever is responsible for this is just tweaking the number of cycles to create the appearance of a spike in COVID – as in Germany at the moment.

    Do we even know whether the number of cycles can only be adjusted locally, or do these machines connect to the internet to pick up the appropriate value (rather like the vote-tallying machines in the US election).

  80. Bruce Nelson

    Excellent article, shared to FB, and family and friends.

    For clarity, a couple of corrections: Change “Autumn/Winter 2021” in first paragraph under first chart, to “autumn/winter of 2020/21” as in the fourth paragraph under the chart. And in the penultimate paragraph under that chart, change “These data, unremarked open by anyone else…” to, “These data, unremarked upon…”

    Thank you for this great, insightful piece.

  81. Martin Back

    Experts are concerned that vaccinated people can still become infected without symptoms and then spread it to others who have not been vaccinated yet. Since the pandemic unfolded nearly a year ago, experts have worried about silent spreaders, aka those who are infected but don’t show symptoms”

    We are often told that the vaccine doesn’t stop you getting infected, but it does lessen the symptoms if you do get infected. This is the definition of a “leaky” vaccine. And leaky vaccines are bad news for those who are not vaccinated. Two reasons:

    A) If an unvaccinated person gets a deadly variant of the virus, they die and don’t shed many viruses. But a vaccinated person can carry on multiplying and spreading the deadly virus because they don’t die, potentially spreading a virulent strain rapidly through the unvaccinated population.

    B) Vaccinated people who don’t realise they are infected because their symptoms are so slight will continue to circulate and shed viruses instead of isolating themselves, thus spreading the virus widely through the unvaccinated population.

    This article, written in 2015 i.e. pre-Covid, explains the process well in connection with chickens:
    This chicken vaccine makes its virus more dangerous.

  82. AhNotepad

    From “Informed Consent Action Network”

    ICAN achieved another victory in its ongoing campaign to ensure the government does not spread false information about vaccines. We previously reported how the NYS Dep’t of Health was forced to remove a number of its false COVID-19 ads. It appears they did not learn from that mistake. In another more recent ad they falsely claimed that: “No serious side effects related to the vaccines have been reported.” ICAN, through its attorneys, wrote to Governor Cuomo and the NYS Dep’t of Health demanding they remove this false claim and related ad. They quickly complied.

    On February 19, 2021, ICAN’s attorneys, led by Aaron Siri, sent a letter to the NYS Health Commissioner and Governor Cuomo informing them that the following Facebook page contained false information regarding the COVID-19 vaccine and demanded that it be removed:

    The post stated that “no serious side effects related to the vaccines have been reported,” however this information is plainly false. In the vaccines’ clinical trials, there were serious adverse events that the trial investigators found were not only be “linked” to the vaccines, but in fact related to the COVID-19 vaccines. For Pfizer’s vaccine, these include shoulder injury, ventricular arrhythmia, and lymphadenopathy. For Moderna’s vaccine, these include intractable nausea and vomiting, facial swelling, rheumatoid arthritis, Dyspnea with exertion, peripheral edema, Autonomic dysfunction, and B-cell lymphocytic lymphoma.

    Further, post-authorization, there have been numerous serious adverse reactions related to the COVID-19 vaccines. The CDC, for example, has acknowledged that serious vaccine side effects related to the COVID-19 vaccines have been reported, including “[a]naphylaxis, an acute and potentially life-threatening allergic reaction.” Additionally, in the approximately two months since these vaccines have been in use, the CDC’s Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System (“VAERS”) has received just under 16,000 reports of adverse events following COVID-19 vaccination and over 3,000 reports of serious adverse events related to a COVID-19 vaccination through February 12, 2021.

    The NYS Health Commissioner and the Governor should be aware of the above information safety information. They nonetheless made the false claim that there are no serious side effects related to the COVID-19 vaccines when the data clearly shows otherwise. Even worse, the two COVID-19 vaccines are still undergoing clinical trials, so the data on serious adverse events is still being collected.

    New York State and Governor Cuomo needed to be fact checked. We are pleased to tell you that, after being notified that failure to remove the inaccurate graphic would result in a lawsuit, they removed their false vaccine information. This is another victory that should serve to remind New York State, Governor Cuomo, and others that someone is watching. ICAN’s message should be heard loud and clear: you may not spread “misinformation” about vaccines.

  83. Eggs ‘n beer

    Vaccine figures. Having produced a set of dodgy figures for the AZ concoction on Monday, AZ now say they will have worked out some different figures within 48 hours. Who knows what the real figures are. The fact that it takes them 48hrs to come up with an alternative indicates that the figures need working out. Working over. Or something.

    They have now said that the primary analysis will be available Wednesday US time. This is a lie. The primary end point is one year after the study started, which puts it late August at the earliest. How can you have a primary analysis before you reach the appropriate end point? You might do an interim analysis, cherry-picking some great results just in case the cases in the vaccine arm pick up later. In which case say that (well, not the cherry-picking bit, that’s expecting too much).

    1. Prudence Kitten

      “AZ now say they will have worked out some different figures within 48 hours”.

      Just as the “novel coronavirus” was sequenced within days, and Drs Corman, Drosten etc al managed to publish a paper providing a protocol for PCR testing by 17th January 2020 despite never having had a sample of the virus.

      And just as the vaccine manufacturers managed to design, create and test vaccines in a few months, whereas the process normally takes many years.

      It’s quite amazing how quickly things can be done, when political considerations demand it.

      1. Eggs ‘n beer

        Or not working things out. I missed this bit:

        “There are 14 additional possible or probable cases to be adjudicated so the total number of cases and the point estimate may fluctuate slightly.”

        How can this possibly be? Governments can close down whole continents within hours of finding a case, but it’s taking AZ weeks? What’s the split of the 14 between the vaccine and saline cohorts? If they were all in the vaccine arm it would reduce the efficacy of this new data to 41.0%, and the overall efficacy to 70.7%. Or boost them to 76.6% and 78.5% respectively if all in the saline branch.

  84. Fast Eddy

    Police and Military in Canada are taking action against lockdowns…

    This could jeopardize the CEP… this needs to be stopped.

    These people are well-intentioned but they are obviously unaware of the Big Picture… if the PTB fail to execute the CEP…. there will be an Apocalypse…. it is more peaceful to die from Devil Covid…

    No doubt by the time this gets traction — it will take forever to get through the courts… and police trust in the courts to do the right thing so they will not likely revolt —- enough people will have been Lethally Injected and it will be too late.

    Watch Interview

  85. David Ramsay

    So the pandemic is a myth? Try speaking directly to staff working in covid wards, particularly ICU, and listen to what they say, NHS with many years experience tell me that this has been like nothing they have ever experienced before. The idea that 2020 was no worse than other years is a myth.

    1. Dr. Malcolm Kendrick Post author

      Thanks. Of course you would have picked up that I work for the NHS, and saw many patients who (probably) died from Covid19. I have many, many, years of experience of working in the NHS. I have never said that Covid19 is a myth. You are using the age old straw man argument. State that someone has something that they have never said, then demolish their argument – that they never used. If you wish to have a debate, have a debate. Do not use centuries old techniques designed purely to discredit someone else’s point of view. What is is, exactly, that you disagree with?

      1. Jennifer

        Sadly, D. Ramsay’s technique has contributed to the poor quality of debate now shown on this blog, and not worthy of a response.

      2. smartersig

        This is a common re action I and I am sure others come up against. If you question data or lockdowns you are a Covid denier. If you question the use of Covid vaccines for 0-2 yos as Fauci has just outlined as a goal then you are an anti vaxxer. Of course you blanket cover the whole spectrum by saying you are a conspiracy theorist a term hijacked back in 60’s and 70’s purely to create an easy to recognise term for discrediting people with a broad brush sweep. Lets not forget Woodward and Bernstein were ‘conspiracy theorists’ (thats assuming you think Watergate was the main agenda)

    2. Steve

      Pandemic certainly, but not a flu pandemic, it’s a planned, political pandemic, with the underfunded and understaffed NHS on the front line to take the flak.
      The inappropriate PCR based testing insures that when one person tests positive then whole teams and wards are shut down. How can the NHS cope under these conditions ? But they do.
      The government consciously decided to shut down the economy and the health services for a virus that only impacts a very, very small, at risk group of the population. Commonsense would have protected only those at risk and left the rest alone – you know, like seasonal flu. The government decided on this plan of action, the government decided not to give the NHS a pay rise.
      I’m sure the NHS haven’t seen anything like this before – none of us have – it’s moronic stupidity, incompetence and corruption and lies masquerading as intelligent, science led government..

      1. AhNotepad

        Steve, this is corruption, yes, and lies, yes, but it is not incompetence, it’s far worse, it’s planned destruction of society. It’s being done to order. Have you listened to Mark Devlin talking to Mike O’Bernician? If not, look it up, it’s easy to find, and it reveals a lot.

    3. Prudence Kitten

      “So the pandemic is a myth?”

      That kind of question is so framed that it is almost impossible to answer honestly.

      1. The very word “myth” tends to polarise the discussion, and suggest that proponents of the “myth” are primitive, unreasonable people.

      2. It would be easier to say if a given outbreak is a “pandemic” if WHO had not, quite recently, changed its definition of a pandemic from an outbreak of serious disease worldwide to any outbreak worldwide. By the new definition the common cold is a pandemic – one that has gone on for thousands of years.

      3. It might be possible to know how many people have actually become seriously ill with Covid-19 if the disease had any obvious unique signs or symptoms. As it is, most of the “cases” reported could be due to other diseases. Or the patient might be ill due to pollution, malnutrition, stress, etc. while also testing positive for SARS-CoV-2.

      4. The number of “cases” cited would be more useful if there were any test that reliably shows whether a person is sick with Covid-19. The PCR test (and I suspect the LFT) merely show whether there is any SARS-CoV-2 virus in the body – and, at the very high cycle numbers used until recently, that could be a very tiny amount. The human body usually contains large amounts of many viruses such as rhinovirus, adenovirus, cytomegalovirus, herpes, etc., many of which “lurk” for years or decades without causing any noticeable illness. Testing for just one of the thousands of viruses that might be present heavily tilts the playing field.

      5. The number of “deaths” depends on the number of “cases”, which is very unreliable. Hence the frequent reports of people who died from accidents, cancer, etc. yet were added to the list of “Covid deaths”.

      As Dr Kendrick often points out, about the only reliable metric is excess deaths. But even that is quite opaque. You may see many excess deaths in Year X if Years X-1, X-2, etc. had fewer deaths than expected. (The “dry tinder” scenario). All such measurements can be quite heavily biased by the periods measured. And while there have definitely been a lot of excess deaths in the past year, how can we tell how many were caused by Covid-19 and how many by the lockdowns, masks and other measures imposed upon us by governments?

      When excess deaths are measured making due allowance for population size and age distribution, it seems certain that 2020-21 has not seen a “pandemic”. Deaths have not been worse than in the major flu outbreaks of the past.

      1. me oliveira

        Prudence Kitten,
        You are one of the outstanding people who are contributing to this blog. To the work of Dr. Malcolm Kendrick.
        This comment is lengthy by your standards. But of immense value.
        I wrote that you are intelligent and you can see wider and faster than most.
        God bless you,

    4. Fast Eddy

      Do you mind t ask your contacts to refresh their memories with the articles below then ask them…

      Was the situation:

      a) worse in 2018 or 2020
      b) about the same in both years

      The thing is when you are bombarded with horror stories as we have been over the past year… perceptions can be clouded… ask them to think long and hard about this before responding.

      Emergency rooms across England are filled beyond capacity after years of government spending cuts combined with the winter cold season, which has caused a “humanitarian crisis” according to the Red Cross, which has stepped in to help in several communities.

  86. Fast Eddy

    See ‘ and the virus replicates wherever it finds warm and unvaccinated bodies with cells that let it reproduce its RNA.’

    The unvaxxed will be the Villains… and blamed when Devil Covid arrives… when in reality, as Vanden Bossche has indicated it will be the vaccinated who will bring the Nightmare Scenario upon us..

    Some fabulous prep work by the Ministry of Truth – Covid CEP Division

    We Must Start Planning For a Permanent Pandemic

    With coronavirus mutations pitted against vaccinations in a global arms race, we may never go back to normal.

    And that process can’t happen fast enough, nor cover the planet widely enough. Yes, some of us may win a regional round or two against the virus, by vaccinating one particular population — as Israel has done, for instance.

    But evolution doesn’t care where it does its work, and the virus replicates wherever it finds warm and unvaccinated bodies with cells that let it reproduce its RNA. As it copies itself, it makes occasional coding mistakes. And some of those chance errors turn into yet more mutations.

    These viral avatars are popping up wherever there’s a lot of transmission going on and somebody bothers to look closely. A British, a South African and at least one Brazilian strain have already become notorious, but I’ve also seen reports of viral cousins and nephews showing up in California, Oregon and elsewhere. If we were to sequence samples in more places, we’d probably find even more relatives.

    We should therefore assume that the virus is already mutating fast in the many poor countries that have so far received no jabs at all, even if their youthful populations keep mortality manageable and thus mask the severity of local outbreaks. Last month, Antonio Guterres, the Secretary General of the United Nations, reminded the world that 75% of all shots had been administered in just 10 countries, while 130 others hadn’t primed a single syringe.

    A pathogen’s evolution is neither surprising nor automatically worrisome. One frequent pattern is that bugs over time become more contagious but less virulent. After all, not killing your host too efficiently confers an advantage in natural selection. If SARS-CoV-2 goes this route, it’ll eventually become just another common cold.

    But that’s not what it’s been doing recently. The variants we know of have become more infectious, but no less lethal. From an epidemiological point of view, that’s the worst news.

    Consider two alternative evolutionary paths. In one, a virus becomes more severe but not more transmissible. It will cause more disease and death, but the growth is linear. In the other path, a mutating virus becomes neither more nor less virulent but more contagious. It will cause increases in disease and death that are exponential rather than linear. Adam Kucharski at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine explains the math here.

    If this is the evolutionary trajectory of SARS-CoV-2, we’re in for seemingly endless cycles of outbreaks and remissions, social restrictions and relaxations, lockdowns and reopenings. At least in rich countries, we will probably get vaccinated a couple of times a year, against the latest variant in circulation, but never fast or comprehensively enough to achieve herd immunity.

    1. Jerome Savage

      “variants we know of have become more infectious, but no less lethal”
      Less lethal ? From where I’m standing, not so lethal at all – and word is very treatable, if treated in time.

  87. Jerome Savage

    Ivor Cummings usually outputs solid material each week but has not had a piece now for 3 weeks.
    It turns out there are more than hints of aggression against him personally, with an irish zero covid group, involving a UCC professor (recipient of funding from Gates foundation) “Frankly, I’d prefer to sort this out with a good hurley and no witnesses”
    In this quote we can see how ISAG member Prof. Gerry Killeen indicate his desire to violently to remove the awkward voices doing science as opposed to the ISAG version.
    Ivor Cummins, the biochemical engineer, commentator, and Youtuber, sparked particularly vitriolic discussion in the group.
    Late last year ISAG began internally discussing the possibility of a debate between one of their members and Cummins. Cummins was open to the idea, and emails were exchanged between Cummins, Professor Gerry Killeen of UCC, and a third party who was interested in hosting the debate.
    Prof. Killeen told the other members of ISAG that he was in contact with “that muppett [sic] Ivor Cummins” about a debate and that Cummins, “like Ciara Kelly, Michael McNamara and [sic] whole string of other charlatans”, might have to be taken on so that ISAG could show the public that Cummins, like Kelly and McNamara, were “paper thin and nasty.” Whilst Killeen appears to have brought the idea of debating Cummins to ISAG he also said that “Frankly, I’d prefer to sort this out with a good hurley and no witnesses.” A hurley being something like a baseball bat.
    Ivor is said to be considering charges.

    1. Ekondig G

      I noticed a new video out by Ivor Cummins a couple of days ago. Having other things to do, it was a few hours before I could take a look. By that time it had been removed — by Ivor, or by censorship? It does make me a somewhat concerned about what’s going on behind his silence.

    2. Junk Girl

      Ivor has a new video but he is on Odysee and bitchute. Solid information. He is where I started getting the truth.

      1. Ekondig G

        Thanks, I checked on Odysee and sure enough, there is the video that he had put on YouTube, but then disappeared after a short while.

      2. Jerome Savage

        Checked bitchute but the most recent is that from 3rd march with a french virologist.
        Hav u a link ?
        Also with Odyssee no obvious way of pulling out material.

    3. Prudence Kitten

      Racketeers usually take a dim view of anyone who threatens their easy pickings. Violence is often their first recourse.

    4. Sasha

      In one of the last episodes, Cummins says that he offered to debate on Covid but so far his offers haven’t been taken up.

  88. JDPatten

    Heart Disease:
    (Is this off topic, or what? When, oh when will it be on topic again??)

    Viagra increases nitric oxide, which is really good for your endothelial integrity. Good for preventing heart disease. We all know that, right? … It having been discussed at length here a very looong time ago.

    There is now some research available that helps confirm this idea.
    (Observational . . . but large-scale study.)

    So. Heart health . . . and all.
    Are ya up for it?

    1. Gary Ogden

      JDPatten: You betcha. This is good confirmation of what we had a high level of certainty for. They ought to be giving these out like candies rather than statins.

  89. David Ramsay

    I have no issue with the various facts you present. Many of the anomalies highlighted are thought provoking and defy simple explanation. Thanks for presenting them. However it does appear that many respondents here are not convinced that Covid is any more dangerous to the general population than an average bout of flu. Regardless of statistical analysis the severity of the Covid risk is pretty clear, simply based on personal experiences of health service staff.

    1. Garth Lane


      It is my view that a lot of us think that the response to the epidemic has been disproportionate to the risk and that the long term consequences will be far more serious than if governments had used the pre 2019 WHO guidance for pandemic management. These consequences can and will be measured in terms of mortality, mental health and loss of jobs as well as loss of freedoms, loss of trust in government and loss of fundamental humanity

      It is clear from the data that Covid is less dangerous for younger people than the average bout of flu and worse for older age groups and those in poor metabolic health. What Dr. Kendirick has pointed out is that distortions of the data, whether deliberate or simply misguided have meant that we cannot actually say how much worse this is than the average bout of the flu with any great accuracy.

      Undoubtedly too many people have died and many have died in horrible circumstances.

      Looking at it dispassionately though – the age-adjusted mortality is similar to age-adjusted mortality last seen in 2008. For years we have had mortality improvements which stalled around 2011.
      This epidemic has undone a lot of that. Personally I think that a lot of public health measures have ignored the fact that the population of England and Wales has been slowly sliding into a state such that it was vulnerable to a respiratory pathogen like Covid or an epidemic flu.

      The appalling impact on the NHS is largely due to factors that Steve has pointed out above

    2. AhNotepad

      David, you wrote “Regardless of statistical analysis the severity of the Covid risk is pretty clear, simply based on personal experiences of health service staff.

      The severity is pretty clear, the total number of deaths is little different from virus diseases in previous years. What would like to say about the personal experiences of health service staff, because you have not made a clear point.

    3. Emperor

      The reality is that it’s more deadly when it comes to old, frail, half-dead people.

      And less deadly to children.

      Enjoy your next lockdown. And the one after that. And the one after that one. And so on

      As the United States’ covid-19 death toll moves relentlessly beyond 200,000, data shows that only about 100 children and teenagers have died of the disease, a fatality rate that is drawing wonder from clinicians and increasing interest among researchers hoping to understand why.

      Covid-19 has become the nation’s third-leading cause of death this year, but 18 states had not seen a single fatality among people under 20 as of Sept. 10, according to statistics compiled by the American Academy of Pediatrics and the Children’s Hospital Association.

      Children are much more likely to die of homicides (there were 1,865 in 2016, according to government data), drowning (995) or even fires and burns (340).

      The numbers are all the more remarkable because respiratory diseases typically hit the young and the old hard, and children are often highly vulnerable to infectious disease. In this way, covid-19 is similar to the flu, which killed an estimated 24,000 to 62,000 people last winter, but 188 people age 17 and below.

    4. David Bailey


      I suspect that you got your information from The Guardian or the BBC because your final sentence seems to follow their style.

      “Regardless of statistical analysis the severity of the Covid risk is pretty clear, simply based on personal experiences of health service staff.”

      Stop and ask yourself what that means. Statistics are just compilations of events that make up people’s personal experiences. How exactly is it possible for the statistics to say one thing but the collective personal experiences to say something else?

      We all ultimately die, and that process is often unpleasant, but is it worse for someone to die of COVID, rather than of one or other of their co-morbidities? Doctors and hospitals used to recognise that some patients were too ill to withstand an infection, and there came a point where it was considered to be “not in the patient’s interests” to treat an infection because they were dying anyway. The fact that the average age of death from COVID is the same as the life expectancy of the population, is telling you that for most patients dying of COVID, all that has happened is that COVID has changed what is written on their death certificates.

  90. Paula

    Not sure you can accurately assess risk to the population based on personal experiences of health service staff. Harrowing though their experiences may be, they are there to treat the minority of patients suffering the most extreme effects of covid – a pre-selected group. Their experiences cannot tell you about risk to the general population. That is why we have statistical analysis, isn’t it? You seem to be saying that because ‘the severity of the covid risk is pretty clear’ statistical analysis can stop now.

  91. JDPatten

    When anyone here puts up a statement of belief, I wonder if they’ve considered the propositions put forward here:

    Would you debate Popper?
    How is your own science when you denigrate the science you don’t care for?
    Also, try the Debating 101 technique of trading places and arguing the exact opposite of your favorite position. It’s a fun challenge . . . and you might just acquire greater clarity.

    1. Sasha

      Interesting write up on Popper’s ideas but it points out the shortcomings of his concept of falsification. Also, I am curious to know what about this article makes it applicable to the Covid debate.

      1. JDPatten

        Popper or not Popper, the question is: Have you put as much effort at open-minded research and thought into your own beliefs as you have put into research and thought directed at denigrating the beliefs of others that don’t fit your preferences – whether that has to do with issues of COVID or heart disease or anything else that might come up as an issue on these pages.

    2. theasdgamer

      Feyerabend already debated Popper and beat him.

      Demarcation is a fool’s errand. “Science” is a bag of things used for rhetorical purposes to denigrate opposing viewpoints. When you study the history of “science”, you discover that various disciplines sought to be included in the bag because of funding and because it lifted their prestige–e.g., sociology and economics and psychology. There are _some_ rigorous things done in psychology, but lots of it lacks rigor. So now “science” includes pretty much anything–from mathematics to economics to sociology.

      Strangely, there’s no experimental mathematics or randomized clinical trials in sociology, but they are considered to be part of “science.”

  92. Emperor

    Oregon Considers Making COVID Restrictions PERMANENT

    If enacted, this OSHA regulation would also mandate that employers assist with employee vaccinations. An employer would be required to document any instances of employees who refuse to take the vaccine:

    (A) The employer must cooperate by making its employees and appropriate space available at no cost to the workers whenever a local public health agency or Oregon Health Authority indicate that COVID- 19 vaccination within the workplace is necessary.

    (C) Unless the local public health agency or Oregon Health Authority directs otherwise, employers need not require employees to accept the vaccination. If employees who are offered the vaccine decline to be vaccinated, the employer must document that declination.

  93. Eggs ‘n beer

    Some of the results of the cherry-picking are in. The efficacy has dropped from 79% of 141 cases to 76% of 190 cases. Out of 32,449 participants, 21,583 in the vaccine cohort. 10,866 in the saline. There were originally 100 cases in the saline arm, and 41 in the vaccine arm. The 79% comes from the calculation of efficacy explained thus:

    If we use the same calculation for 190 cases and 76% efficacy we find 61 cases in the vaccine arm (with rounding, it could also be 62). So the of the 49 new cases included, 20 of them were in the vaccine arm.

    Of the 49 new cases, 20 were in the vaccine arm, and 29 in the saline population. Another way of looking at this is (using the calculation based on 49 total) that the efficacy of the vaccine for the last 49 cases has dropped to 65%.

    The original 79% was for cases up to 15th February. From then until ? (16 March?) the efficacy dropped by 14%. Does this indicate for how long the vaccine is effective? In the South African trial, the numbers were even for the vaccine cases (29) and the saline cases (30) for cohorts of similar size when enough people working on the front line had finally caught this incredibly contagious virus to give a meaningful result. i.e. it didn’t work.

    The primary end point for this current trial is late August this year. It will be interesting to see what the numbers are then.

    In the meantime if you don’t want to take the vaccine, take encouragement from today’s official numbers that you had a 1.2% chance of contracting the bug over the last six months. Including old and co-morbid people. If AZ truly were to release the full details we could assess your age/health related risk. But still a 0.3% chance of getting it even if you did take it.

  94. Eggs 'n beer

    via smartersig’s LewRockwell link, it seems that America has experienced a similar surge in deaths in the 20-65 y/o. But their analysis shows that the spike is NON-Covid related, or, at least, not directly attributable to the virus. And has only occurred in regions with high population density (which England has, but not Scotland or Wales {Glasgae excepted}).

      1. Junk Girl

        The video is dated March 21 between Florida governor DeSantis and lockdown scientists from Harvard, Stanford and Oxford. YouTube taking down a video featuring a sitting democratically elected governor doing his elected duty would be chilling to me here in US. But maybe Ivor took it down preemptively.

    1. Prudence Kitten

      I like the point he makes, around 35 minutes, that the test involves sticking a long probe right up the nose to the very back. (Another half inch and it would break into your brain).

      Yet we are told that speaking, coughing, sneezing or singing is dangerous as those acts spew clouds of virus into the air.

      So why does the test not just require you to talk to the cotton bud – or cough on it?

  95. John

    US doctor criticises experimental gene therapies, sorry ‘vaccines’

    It worries me. Over 20 friends and family have been jabbed; only three including me have decided not to take it for the time being. Due to the UK’s extraordinary haste, most people over 50 will see such talks too late, if at all, and what if they change their mind? One can’t stop taking it in the way that one could stop vitamin D, Ivermectin or HCQ or reduce the dose.

    But I can’t find any enthusiasm for his other beliefs; some are repugnant.

    1. David Bailey

      I thought that was an excellent video, explaining the potential dangers more or less as I understand it. I think it needs publicising as much as possible.

      I don’t know what his other views are, but whatever they are, he didn’t spoil this video by discussing them.

  96. Fast Eddy

    Covid CEP PR Team prepping us for Devil Covid….(just waiting on the Marek’s-like mutations to emerge … that no doubt takes a bit of time but the ‘leaky vaccine’ was fully tested years ago and the PTB know deadly mutations are inevitable)

    March 25 : A new form of the coronavirus is spreading rapidly in New York City, and it carries a worrisome mutation that may weaken the effectiveness of vaccines, two teams of researchers have found.

    The new variant, called B.1.526, first appeared in samples collected in the city in November. By the middle of this month, it accounted for about one in four viral sequences appearing in a database shared by scientists.

    One study of the new variant, led by a group at Caltech, was posted online on Tuesday. The other, by researchers at Columbia University, was published on Thursday morning.

    Neither study has been vetted by peer review nor published in a scientific journal. But the consistent results suggest that the variant’s spread is real, experts said.

  97. Fast Eddy

    Vaccines Are Pushing Pathogens to Evolve

    Andrew Read became a scientist so he could spend more time in nature, but he never imagined that would mean a commercial chicken farm. Read, a disease ecologist who directs the Pennsylvania State University Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, and his research assistant Chris Cairns meandered their way through a hot, humid, pungent-smelling barn teeming with 30,000 young broiler chickens deep in the Pennsylvania countryside.

    Covered head to toe in white coveralls, the two men periodically stopped and crouched, collecting dust from the ground with gloved hands. Birds squawked and scuttered away. The men transferred the dust into small plastic tubes, which they capped and placed in plastic bags to bring back to the laboratory. “Funny where science leads you,” Read said.

    Read and his colleagues are studying how the herpesvirus that causes Marek’s disease — a highly contagious, paralyzing and ultimately deadly ailment that costs the chicken industry more than $2 billion a year — might be evolving in response to its vaccine. Its latest vaccine, that is. Marek’s disease has been sickening chickens globally for over a century; birds catch it by inhaling dust laden with viral particles shed in other birds’ feathers.

    The first vaccine was introduced in 1970, when the disease was killing entire flocks. It worked well, but within a decade, the vaccine mysteriously began to fail; outbreaks of Marek’s began erupting in flocks of inoculated chickens. A second vaccine was licensed in 1983 in the hopes of solving the problem, yet it, too, gradually stopped working. Today, the poultry industry is on its third vaccine. It still works, but Read and others are concerned it might one day fail, too — and no fourth-line vaccine is waiting. Worse, in recent decades, the virus has become more deadly.

    Read and others, including researchers at the U.S. Department of Agriculture, posit that the virus that causes Marek’s has been changing over time in ways that helped it evade its previous vaccines. The big question is whether the vaccines directly incited these changes or the evolution happened, coincidentally, for other reasons, but Read is pretty sure the vaccines have played a role. In a 2015 paper in PLOS Biology, Read and his colleagues vaccinated 100 chickens, leaving 100 others unvaccinated.

    They then infected all the birds with strains of Marek’s that varied in how virulent — as in how dangerous and infectious — they were. The team found that, over the course of their lives, the unvaccinated birds shed far more of the least virulent strains into the environment, whereas the vaccinated birds shed far more of the most virulent strains.

    The findings suggest that the Marek’s vaccine encourages more dangerous viruses to proliferate. This increased virulence might then give the viruses the means to overcome birds’ vaccine-primed immune responses and sicken vaccinated flocks.

        1. Eggs ‘n beer

          It answers so many questions. And it is pre-Covid so one less axe to grind. Not that they seem to have any axes to grind, just nice clean pure research and honest comments (the original pertussis vaccine caused seizures). And they outline what a non-leaky vaccine would look like. None of the current ones have been designed to comply.

  98. asdf ghjk

    Dear Dr. Kendrick!

    There are many hints that it is sugar intake (and insulin action) what makes SARS-COV-2 replicate rapidly a eventually leads to severe illnes/death on the one hand and super-spreading events on the other hand. Starvation on the other hand seems to be protective against COVID-19 (just look at Haiti. central parts of Africa or North-Korea).

    It seems that sugar intake (and perhapts that of alcohol) acutely boost the virus replication. It many countries, times when insane amounts of sugar are consumed (christmas, helloween etc. etc.) are exactly those times when the infection spreads very rapidly which leads to many deaths.

    There seems to be also a clear bio-chemical link, since sugar intake leads to hyperinsulinemia which in turn suppresses the authophagy which lets the virus replicate more rapidly. But maybe there is a direct action of sugar (fructose) which singals to the cell to boost the anabolic processes – which are obivously needed for the replication of the virus as well.
    Many of the cell types which are known to be infected by SARS-COV-2 are actually capable of processing fructose (have GLUT5/7/9/11 and KHK and so on) – among them: the cells in the bulbus olfactorius and hippocampus, in the liver, small intestine or the kidney…


  99. Jeremy May

    Lively stuff as ever but may I offer a suggestion, or make a request?
    There are so many links posted it would be nigh impossible to read or watch them all, there simply isn’t time.
    Presumably those who post them have digested them so is it possibhle to ask those who post links to bullet point the salient points to give us a heads up. The link to the article could follow should the rest of us wish to see / read them in full?
    I’ve been guilty myself in the past, but there are just so many replies it’s impossible to take everything in.

    Interestingly I saw a report today on Sky News:

    “New data suggests strong protection for 99% after one vaccine dose

    A single dose of the Pfizer gave strong protection to 99% people in a new study, it has been revealed.

    The figure applies to 237 health workers who formed part of research carried out by Sheffield and Oxford Universities.
    Results of the PITCH study have been presented as a vindication of the policy to delay second doses so as to provide protection to as many higher-risk groups as possible by providing more first jabs.

    The research also concluded that people who had previously been infected with COVID-19 infections had six times the immune response to one dose of the Pfizer jab than those who had not had the virus.

    Health Minister Lord Bethell said: “These findings from the PITCH study are crucial to increasing our understanding of the immune response to COVID-19 and how the Pfizer vaccine is working to protect people across the UK already.”

    (And, sceptics hat on, I wonder who funded the research?)

    1. AhNotepad

      I wish some of these “experts” could grasp that if you’ve had the virus, you don’t need an effin jab.

      1. Prudence Kitten

        “It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it”.
        – Upton Sinclair

        Still every bit as true as when it was first written over a century ago.

  100. Mike Smith

    Perhaps someone could give me an explanation to something that has been troubling me of late. Our bedwetting SAGE and governments dont want us to go on holiday in case we bring one of the many strains back from abroad. Well where Im struggling is the german people for example are having the same vaccines and experimental untested gene therapies as we are. If they are to be protected against the german strain then why wouldnt we be also ?

    1. AhNotepad

      Mike Smith, you may have assumed that all this gov crap is something to do with a virus. They have no interest in your health, but are sowing continual confusion and division in order to suppress the population. Fast Eddy may be beyond what people can accept, but his Compassionate Extinction Plan is not without merit. The population is coerced into doing what it’s told, and so far it seems the UK population is exceptionally compliant. Saying you may be able to go on holiday, then saying you can’t (oops new deadly variant), or you will be able to have Christmas, then the crap monger prime minister says “oops, new variant, cases, cases, cases are doing something, er, rising, yes that’s it, rising. Anyone who doesn’t stay home is a murderer”. Aside, “did I get that right?”

      The problem is there are the majority in the UK believe wearing masks, standing 6 feet apart, washing hands, staying home makes a difference to what a virus does.

      You can’t tell when any restriction was brought in

  101. jmcakismet

    Dear Malcolm, I stopped working for the NHS on Tuesday, March 31st, 2020. I had been present at a meeting when every clinician on the orthopaedic team was called to a special meeting with the hospital general manager for the Trauma & Orthopaedic service. All clinicians were advised that patients who died in hospital were to have their deaths ascribed to COVID-19. There was not a single objection raised by the 40 or so clinicians present. This is the fundamental rationale for highly inaccurate COVID-19 fatality statistics.

    What was required to gerrymander the statistics for COVID-19 deaths in this manner? Firstly, no hospital management would have dreamed up this scheme on their own. It has to be assumed that some higher authority had requested, nay, ordered it. It is highly illegal to forge death certificates. The forgery and the uttering of death certificates renders the miscreant liable to a 14 year prison sentence under the provisions of the Forgery Act (1913). Secondly, post mortem examinations would have to have been suspended (another illegal act) because the PM findings could not possibly agree with the falsified death certificates.

    The number of patient admissions would show an increase in COVID-19 admissions and deaths, which would not reflect all of the other usual emergency reasons for hospital admission. Hospital bed occupancy numbers for normal emergency admissions would not tally with COVID-19 numbers stated as deaths. All of the foregoing aside, with the exception of forging the death certificates, demonstrates a proactive stance taken to increase COVID-19 fatality numbers. We should ask of this same conversation took place with clinicians in other departments in the hospital. We should also ask if that particular hospital was one rogue establishment that sought to help the government in its discomfiture at trying to persuade people that there was really a crisis. Finally, we should ask if other hospitals went rogue and also forged death certificates.

    I made representations to my MP (as a member of the serving government) and he stated to me in writing that my allegations were so serious, that he could not look at any of the other questions I had raised regarding the government’s mismanagement of COVID-19. He felt that my allegations had to be attended to first, as a matter of extreme urgency. I provided personnel names, roles, the meeting date and time, the subject matter and thus far… nothing, nada, zilch. It distresses me greatly that the NHS management was able to convince perfectly normal clinicians, whom I had known and worked alongside for my whole NHS career, to commit forgery and fraud. Not one single voice objected and I lost my respect for every clinician present. I left the next day never to return despite being in my early 70s.

    The statistics are all based upon blatant lies, supplied by hospital consultant staff. They can and will never lead one to sensible conclusions about COVID-19 case fatality rates.

    1. AhNotepad

      Jmcakismet, please send this to To mike@ or brian@. They are interested in NHS first hand reports.

    2. Astrogeezer

      All very well but, without details of the hospital trust and the name of your MP (no need to name the clinicians) serious allegations require serious evidence, else we all fall into the same trap of mind manipulation as conducted by this government and its advisers.

  102. Fast Eddy

    Lockdowns are deadly

    Seems lockdowns are deadly….


    Late last night I received a whatsapp photo from my good mate depicting him getting vaccinated… he is early 40’s very healthy … and very pleased to get the jab that he does not need.

    I suppose he thinks he will be able to travel .. he’s a big paraglider so is keen to get back to Queenstown because it is Mecca for that sport.

    I congratulated him on the lethal injection and remarked, sadly you wont be travelling to NZ with that…this is from Ministry of Health NZ:

    If a person is vaccinated against COVID-19, will they still be able to spread the virus to susceptible people?

    An ideal vaccine stops everyone from carrying and passing on the infection as well as protecting them from becoming seriously ill. It is currently unclear whether COVID vaccines only protect against symptomatic and severe disease, or if they can also stop all infection, including asymptomatic infection (i.e. showing no symptoms). If the vaccine is only able to stop the symptoms of the disease, but unable to stop the virus from infecting us and reproducing, then the virus may still be able to be spread.

    He didn’t respond to that…

    Another mate was vaccine-taunting me last night … I asked him to explain why it is imperative that we vaccine children… his response was ‘they can spread the virus so even though they are not getting very sick from it we need to vaccinate them’.

    I posted the info above + the video of Fauci being interviewed with the Mexican comedian where he initially claims the vaccine will generate herd immunity but then contradicts himself saying it does not stop you from getting the virus…

    I asked –in light of the fact that children can still spread covid … and catch it… if they are vaccinated… what is the logic behind vaccinating them.

    He didn’t respond to that…

    This is a very fascinating situation. As these two fellas are highly educated and successful… it begs the question — do we need to redefine intelligence?

    1. Tish

      YES Eddy. We certainly should redefine intelligence. I’ve held this view for some time. Absolutely! We could get rid of the term ‘common sense’ too because there is obviously nothing common about sense, eh?!

    2. theasdgamer

      The brainwashing techniques have become very sophisticated and it takes a great deal of awareness of them and a commitment to due diligence to avoid the brainwashing.

        1. Jennifer

          So I notice. This lovely blog has degenerated into unpleasant private spats between individuals. Personal and obscure retorts, which exclude those of us ‘not in the know’. Where have all the nice bloggers gone?

          1. Prudence Kitten

            “Where have all the nice bloggers gone?”

            Hi Jennifer! 😎

            I’m still here… 😎 😎

          2. AhNotepad

            Jennifer, my comment was specifically in response to theasdgamer’s post that at least hints at people needing to avoid being brainwashed. There are plenty of people I know who are giving in and getting jabbed, despite having said they wouldn’t. I have no intention of going the same way, nor would I wish anyone to be subjected to the treatment without informed consent, something that appears to be in short supply. Where are these “private spats”? People are likely to hold different views from others, and are likely to express them. The problem with the written word, compared to speaking, is the meaning and tone is often received in a way not intended by the writer. This is unfortunate. I suppose we could litter the posts with smilies, but then I don’t know what half of them mean. 🐤🐥

          3. AhNotepad

            If you want to resist the brainwashing, this may help. It is the third in the series looking at the information glossed over by those involved in administering “vaccines”. I wonder how many people reading this blog, and who have had the “vaccine”, were informed of 1) the benefits, 2) the risks, 3) the alternatives.

      1. Tish

        theasdgamer: Perhaps you might excuse some people but not others. Things seemed wrong from day one. It certainly didn’t seem to be the way to treat a virus that only affected the elderly. I admit that it would be good if more people had a basic understanding of biology but it all merited questioning and open discussion. And the brainwashing had a childish and authoritarian flag-ridden air about it (although the fear approach has historical back-up). I, for one, have greatly reduced confidence in people and will always now be more self-reliant. We’ve learnt a lot about human nature, haven’t we? Some people have avoided the issue because of their jobs and families, and furlough has kept many content enough too, but retired people have time to question it all. I would like them to do so for the sake of their children and grandchildren. Are they not aware of, or do they not care about the awful censorship? Aren’t they concerned about repeatedly vaccinating children, from a mere 8 week old and receiving 23 vaccines via the NHS between 8 and 16 weeks? Don’t they cringe when they hear Bill Gates talking about vaccination of everyone but with pharmaceutical indemnity and see the media fawning over him as though he were a saint? Can’t they sense the slippery road as our freedom is so quickly removed, with no appropriate justification being given? Doesn’t all this frighten them more than such a virus should?

        1. theasdgamer

          So why aren’t there more people like us? How did we escape the mind-numbing and the sirens’ song?

          Maybe something in our experience led us to recognize attempts to manipulate our emotions and to look below the surface as a result.

          1. Left sceptical

            I agree. It is strange that relatively few seem to question the strange goings on. In New Zealand we have a so called labour gov’t with first outright majority election win since proportional representation voting started in 1996 and they are doing next to nothing for the poor and next to nothing to fix a housing crisis. They are allowed to get away with this because Jacinda is “saving us from covid”. If you have a runny nose and you are brainwashed enough to call “The Covidline” you will be sent for a test. If you were due to fly that day within the country you will be told not to. Masks are mandatory on all public transport. But we don’t even have any covid in the community. People on the left on some blogs are very critical of the gov’t about lack of action on housing etc but if you
            suggest an overreaction to covid your comments are verboten and won’t pass the moderator. Take a look at and you will see. And the NZer of the year just announced is a scientist who says how effective masks, lockdowns and vaccines are.

          2. LA_Bob

            I think it’s much like a war situation with an attacking — or alledgedly attacking — enemy. If you’re American think Pearl Harbor, the Gulf of Tonkin, and 9/11. Initially, most of us rally together behind our leaders, to whom we look to protect us. Typically there are dissenters, but in the beginning their concerns are drowned out.

            COVID has been like that. It’s an emergency which threatens to kill millions (thank you, Ferguson, Fauci, and the press). And millions have rallied around the efforts to “stop the spread”. Not everyone has been so enthusiastic, but the logic hasn’t worked much on either the American or British public that is terrified of COVID.

            I’m surprised so many younger people have been so concerned. The least vulnerable to illness, never mind death, they have masked up with the fervor of True Believers. After a few years of war in the 60’s, it became clear South Vietnam was less a country to save than a morgue for young men. The war went badly and for too long, and the public turned against it. I can imagine that happening if COVID lockdowns drag on.

            A flu pandemic in 1968-1969 raged during the worst years of the Vietnam war and coincided with riots, the moon landing, and Woodstock. Yet we didn’t lock down and mask up. Too many other emergencies perhaps. We had AIDS in the 1980’s, and it too was going to kill us all. Yet it never became a heterosexual venereal disease of any consequence.

            Many of us who lived through those times might be more sanguine about pandemics in general, especially when they turn out to be more bark than bite. We stop believing the hype.

          3. barovsky

            And to your list you need to add UK 1957 with a massive flu outbreak (I’m just old enuf to remember it). Factories shut, offices shut, the economy ‘powered down’ almost completely but no lockdown.

          4. barovsky

            The entire thing has been (deliberately) driven by FEAR and in a very calculated manner (the UK Cabinet Office’ ‘Nudge Unit’), with its behavioral psychologists, propaganda specialists and so forth. This has been one, massive exercise in social control and when people are frightened, ‘flight or fight’ kicks in, rational thinking stops, once the cortisol and adrenaline is flooding the system. Think back to February last year and the entire setup (charlatan Ferguson and his 500,000 deaths etc, the entire China thing), the fact that back then, nobody knew what danger the bug possessed, if any. We were ALL wide open and vulnerable. It took about 2 weeks before I took off the mask (and never put it back on). The mask is clearly ludicrous (the virus can enter through the eyes, the mouth and even the ears (deaf, dumb and blind?) but an incredibly powerful social signal.

            The important question to ask isn’t medical, it’s political-economic. Where the fuck is this all headed? Is the imperialist world (the G-7+ if you like) really trying to use the bug to reinvent itself? is it a ‘dry run’ for the coming climate catastrophe? Because clearly you don’t fight a virus by creating the total security state ala Mussolini’s fascismo. And it’s an utterly incompetent kind of fascism, managed by idiots and carpetbaggers.

          5. theasdgamer

            The public “health” authorities are about control, not health, and apparently don’t care about people or freedom–just about maintaining control and managing a pandemic and lining their pockets. Public health budgets are rising.

            I am aware of my emotions and recognize when someone is attempting to manipulate them.

            Leftist media uses fear (fear of white supremacy and racism) and envy while rightist media uses fear of outsiders and anger at leftist media. Leftist media is the biggest threat to freedom, currently. They are driving the intervention narrative.

          6. Jean Humphreys

            The reason I am here and being my sceptical self is probably because, since the first heart attacks, twenty four years ago, I have met a wonderful, but small, cohort of doctors who are honest and helpful. So many of the rest have done patronising pontification, failure to listen, attempted blackmail, and outright lies, in order to get me onto their conveyer belt. So I do not believe all that I am told. I don’t know if I am physically awkward, or if other people find the drugs we are told will save our lives just as intolerable. I know that if I had taken all that I was told were essential for life, I would have been dead long since.
            I have had a nasty Easter – I wanted to change my regular diuretic, and my (good, helpful) GP said try this one. I had three days of no pee, weight gain of 2k and lungs that felt like a balloon does when you fill it with water.. Back to the old one, and now I have to get back to the surgery to report that the new one does not do what it says on the tin!
            The point being that I can do that because I know that they will listen. ~And the docs are only as good as the information they have been given. Which is nowadays of dubious origin.

          7. Eggs ‘n beer ‘n wife

            We know exactly what you mean, Jean. Similar experience with brain surgeons and a benign meningioma 27 years ago. If the brain butchers had had their lying ways my wife would have been disabled or dead by now. Instead we have three kids, two grandchildren and a nearly normal life (epilepsy prevents her from driving). The bastards even came back for a second attempt last year (revenue must be well down because of Covid) claiming on the basis of one scan (scam?) that the tumour had grown and needed immediate surgery as the surgeon who eventually operated (in 2011, 17 years after the butchers insisted that immediate action was essential) hadn’t done it properly, and anyway they ALWAYS grow back. How they could tell it’s grown from one scan is the enduring mystery. However, detailed analysis by radiographers, engineers and the original surgeon showed that, if anything, it had shrunk in the previous 9 years. Because the real surgeon killed and starved the parts of the tumour he couldn’t remove. These condescending, arrogant self-worshippers just can’t cope with someone who’s competent (Charlie Teo) or questioning (us).

            So, question everything an “expert” tells you. Including Charlie. The real expert will listen to your questions and be able to answer or discuss them. None of the (hahaha) experts on lockdowns, masks, hygiene, transmission rates, case rates etc will talk to anyone who disagrees with them. Talk at them, talk over them, tell the media that they are granny murderers, yes. Discuss? No. So they are not experts in viruses, just self-promotion.

  103. Eggs ‘n beer

    More issues with numbers.

    Anyone telling you that the (Pfizer, for example) vaccine is 95% effective is lying. As far as I can find out nobody has even attempted to measure vaccine effectiveness yet.

    With one exception – the Poms are currently conducting a trial, possibly the only valid trial of a vaccine ever carried out, where they will deliberately try to infect people with the virus, as a precursor to find out how effective the vaccine really is.

    This is real science. And goes beyond the definition of vaccine effectiveness which is only a measure of how it works in the community.

      1. Eggs ‘n beer

        I don’t think that it can go “wrong”. The trials that have taken place so far haven’t gone “wrong”, but the way the data has been interpreted has been biased, or just wrong, or both. That’s not the trial’s fault. And sometimes the data is meaningless. That’s why this blog is necessary.

        They know that they are attempting to infect the least at risk portion of the adult (able to consent) population, 18-30. They are only choosing healthy, as far as can possibly be known, candidates. If one does die, that’s not wrong. Sad, yes, but hopefully some new factor will have been learnt. This is what they should have done last April/May when the demographics became apparent. It would have told us how many people (of that age group) had natural immunity, and provided a baseline for determining vaccine effectiveness (not efficacy). As it is we are flying blind with no altimeter.

  104. Roger A

    What figures about COVID19 do you believe?
    Good question Dr K because ..
    Mortality from causes other than Covid are significantly below the five year average for 30 of the last 39 weeks. (w/e 10th March) But one would assume that other cause mortality would be greater than, or at least on a par with, the five year average due to the lack of primary and secondary health care for those who needed it due to the ‘pandemic’.

  105. Cookie Boy

    Yes I have always said it’s overall mortality that paints a picture, I also told those around me that this virus is not a problem because the young in China are not dying in numbers that is why the Chinese opened up when they realized the same.

    The U.K figures are very interesting, it has to be broken down into cities, hospitals, particularly counties to understand why there was such a problem.

    Are the Brits particularly unhealthy compared to their neighbors?

    1. Tony McKenna

      It is a shame this is so far down the comment thread that some people may not see it.
      May I suggest you repost on the next one if there is another
      I shall be printing this out and leaving it lying around.
      I recall that they got Al Capone on breaking Federal regulations, but I don’t suppose he had enough friends in high places.

      1. Gary Ogden

        Tony McKenna: I will do so. I fits so well with the subject of this blog post that I couldn’t resist.

  106. Eggs ‘n beer

    And thus it came to pass, that Queensland Health claims another 4 cases have been found, after having been forced to admit that they were lying about a 25 person house party, which would have given plenty of potential to create a spreader event.

    Instead we have two cases linked to Saturday’s find, and two cases linked to an earlier “outbreak” of two cases. So masks, lockdowns, school closures, hospital cancellations, all this from a non-medically qualified Doctor who has said on numerous occasions that we must learn to live with the virus. Not that we’re being given a chance. We will have to die without it. And not live in the meantime.

  107. Fast Eddy

    Should a CovIDIOT tell you that none of the experts support covid scepticism… pass this along:

    Climate of ‘fear’ prevents experts from questioning the handling of the pandemic

    A CLIMATE of fear is preventing experts from questioning the handling of the pandemic, with reputations smeared, jobs lost and even families threatened.

    Sir Desmond Swayne, Conservative MP for New Forest West said: “Because of the stance I have taken over my lockdown scepticism I have received a large amount of correspondence from very eminent scientists and clinicians disagreeing with the conclusions that SAGE and the chief medical officer have come to.

    “What I find very worrying is that with few exceptions they say ‘please keep my details confidential’.

    “Clinicians say this to me. ITU doctors say to me they have been warned not to speak out regarding public policy.

    “There is a caustic public discourse out there, especially in social media.

    “People who question the current orthodoxy are given rough treatment. Nobody wants to put their name to anything.”

    Professor Tim Spector, a leading epidemiologist at London’s King’s College – who was awarded an OBE for his services to the Covid response – said: “There is a climate of fear and I have been personally attacked by other scientists on social media who I subsequently mute. It is not conducive to public debate.”

  108. Tish

    Chris Packham has pointed out that smallpox, measles, mumps and malaria are there to regulate our population. His BBC programme ‘7.7 Billion People and Counting’ has just been re-aired. It is generally agreed that the world is overpopulated and we are endangering the planet which is in dire straits. So why should people believe that we are churning out a vaccine to save us all and particularly old people who are said to be living too long?

    1. theasdgamer

      “generally agreed”…I find myself not generally agreeing with much of the media narrative being spun about anything…I was chatting with a man acquaintance about kids and he said the world is overpopulated…my response was that if you die without reproducing, you win a Darwin Award…and, of course, the world might be overpopulated with some other bugger’s genes but not with mine (and perhaps mine might be more valuable to the human gene pool)

      …the “planet” (“wandering star”) earth has managed since the ’60s when panic was being mongered about scarce resources and even back to Malthus’ time…

    2. Fast Eddy

      Yes… as I pointed out in an earlier essay length post… the medical profession (as well as the men who invented industrial farming techniques… harnessed fire and electricity) must take responsibility for us having reached the Limits to Growth. They have removed many of the n natural controls on population expansion with their ‘treatments’… and now they have put us on the precipice of extinction.

      Now don’t get me wrong … I’m not complaining… I’ve had a good run… although I’m in excellent health and I think I could easily keep up the pace for another 25 years…. it’s the people with children and grand children who should be gnashing their teeth over this predicament…

      When I got married 10 or so years ago being preached to about having children … my wife and I would respond with ‘oh there are already enough children…’ (instead we sponsored two kids from the Philippines to live with us and study)

      What we really wanted to say was ‘are you out of your mind — take a look around you — this is a total shit show… 8B people!!! — exponentially multiplying — and we say rabbits are prolific breeders!!! — we knew there was no way if we had kids they would make it to adulthood…. I actually expected great suffering but I was wrong there… the Lethal Injection will mitigate that)

      ON to another topic:

      I am reminding of the Kuwaiti Ambassador’s daughter in To Sell a War….

      Check out the video

      Then watch the first bit of

      This is a nice exhibit to show people who say there are no conspiracies hahaha… but they still will not get it!!!

      You can even show them this:

      Learn to pronounce
      a secret plan by a group to do something unlawful or harmful.

        1. AhNotepad

          theasdgamer wrote “You are correct. Your genes and your wife’s genes are not worth propagating. And you both deserve to win the Darwin Award. Kudos.”

          This seems to come under an earlier classification by a certain writer. Could it be the same writer?
          Not to mention catty and snarky comments………………

          1. theasdgamer

            Nothing snarky or catty in my comment. It was an argumentum ad absurdum. Those are frequently misunderstood. The point of the absurd is to cause people to recoil from the conclusion (which they have adopted) and re-think their positions.

        2. Fast Eddy

          You are correct — we are both fairly hard charging individuals… and we are carrying more than our weight in terms of how much damage we have done to the planet….

          4 month long-haul bucket list trips per year x 10 years… we’ve probably burned an oil tanker worth of jet fuel… there there were all those regional trips we did…

          Let me count the vehicles in the driveway … two high powered bucket list mobiles that suck high octane petrol like a dog drinks water in 40C heat… a big ol 4 ba 4 diesel hungry beast… then there’s the shit box mini that our two refugees drive …

          We are, without a doubt, a big part of the problem. The sooner we are gone … the better. At least from Mother Earth’s perspective.

          See – I can accept the truth. Nobody else can. Doesn’t matter. You don’t have a say in this.

          Think you can fight it? See the video — and good luck!

  109. Fast Eddy

    They just never give up…

    How many times have the MSM trotted out one (of the very few) cases that involve a young healthy person? As they attempt to convince the CovIDIOTS that covid is not only a danger to old people…

    Here we go again with more lies aimed at convincing parents to protect their children by getting them vaccinated (even though almost no children have died and the vaccines do not stop you from contracting Covid).

    ‘A miracle I survived’: Younger Brazilians hit by COVID surge

    Experts say younger patients are developing severe COVID-19 symptoms and dying, as hospitals are pushed to the brink.

    Yeadon is correct (as am I) – this vaccine is all about killing off humans

    1. Tish

      If a culling of humans to save the planet and all the other animals is to be contemplated as a possible strategy, then it would be far better to decrease numbers in the richer countries because we are responsible for far more harm than are poorer nations, regardless of their numbers. We buy and waste far more. (But the biggest culprits are the rich elite who fly around the world.)

      1. AhNotepad

        I’ve just looked at, as they were forecasting massive population falls for the US and UK. The information is no longer there. However,, have articles which relate to earlier versions of deagel’s site

        We’d love to know why Deagel is forecasting the population of the US to drop from 327 million in 2017 to only 100 million in 2025, with them also forecasting a 2025 US military budget of 32 billion dollars, down from our 2017 military budget of $637 billion, while forecasting our population density to drop from 34 inhabitants per square mile to only 10 inhabitants per square mile in 2025. While our emails to Deagel have gone unreturned, what does Deagel know that we don’t know?

        1. Aileen

          AhNotepad, the forecast hasn’t been removed. It’s just less obvious. There is one table for “list of countries in 2019” (UK population 65 million, and if you click on “switch to forecast for 2025” you can see the prediction (UK 14 million). UK is country number 62.

          1. AhNotepad

            Thanks for that Aileen. France will get a shock with the 30M reduction (about 50%) and Eddy may well know about the 25% reduction for New Zealand.

          2. Aileen

            Though the essay which used to accompany it, which was rewritten last year, does seem to have been removed entirely.

   is an interesting website. Thanks AhN for pointing me towards it.

        2. Aileen

          AhNotepad, I was wrong earlier. The essay (“disclaimer”) dated September last year is also still there. You need to scroll right to the end of the predictions for 2025.

  110. Steve

    Here’s two interesting articles that relate to virtually stand-alone/isolated communities and the impact of CV-19 on them:
    1) Possible deaths caused by the vaccine in Gibraltar.
    2) The Diamond Princess Cruise Ship

  111. Fast Eddy

    Meanwhile… we go live to the COVID HQ… where a meeting is in progress.. let’s listen in:

    PR Team Director —- so what have you got for me today team?

    We’ve got a CDC director nearly bawling and saying ‘I’m Scared’…. then she reads of the teleprompter “I’m going to reflect on the recurring feeling I have of impending doom,”

    This was prepping the general mass of CovIDIOTS for the next round of lockdowns … we’ll start the fake PRC testing in a couple of weeks to drive up the numbers….

    Have you got the MSM outlets ready for this?

    Yes they have been informed they need to go to Level 10 Fear .. red alert… ultra hype…

    Good .. good… anything else?

    Yes.. we are targeting the boozers with this app that scans their faces and cross references with our dbase of people who have the LI (lethal injection)…. we actually can’t do that because it’s too complicated but we are saying we will … and that’s enough to get the sousers to get the LI because they are both stupid and alcoholics…

    Very good…. I’d like to see Team C push harder on getting parents to LI their children… our polling is showing there is still strong resistance to that…. let’s meet here again on Friday and I’ll be looking for a broader plan that will throw a bit more fright into them… Not to tell you how to do your job but remember that child we strangled then tossed on the beach during the Syrian thing? Let’s set the bar on that level…

    But there are no children dying of Covid chief… blurts out a junior member of the team…

    The director glowers at him and shouts — Well then…. yu get out there and snatch a kid and make it happen. You take a pillow and you smother it. If that bothers you then maybe you shouldn’t be on the team … you can go back to pushing Barbie Dolls….

  112. StuP

    Just so I follow. Your chance of dying of covid in China is significantly higher than in Singapore even though the number of cases are similar, but given theirs not a big discrepancy in deaths per million this would indicate China over attribute deaths or Singapore under attribute deaths to covid?

  113. Tish

    N = 1, but my deaf and partially sighted 97 year old mother in a care home has just had a stroke. She had her 2nd dose of the vaccine 4 days ago (a care home wish favoured by my siblings). Her confusion increased after it. She’s had a hug from no one for over a year and has been regularly asking when this ‘thing’ (Covid) is going to end. Strange, but I woke up during the night thinking this could happen and this morning got the phone call. I let the care home manager know that I suspect the vaccine and she agreed. It may be nothing to do with it of course, but there’s no proof of that either.

    1. Her still outdoors

      Oh dear and very sad but no surprise when you know the science in the vax. Listen to Dr Judy Mikovits in conversation with Dr Joseph Mercola, mid February, to understand what happened and why. Also Prof Dolores Cahill on deaths in care homes – go to her website and track from there, it was a group zoom recording starting on PCR tests but going on to cover everything. Blessings to you and your Mum. When she passes ask a shamanic practitioner or spirit release specialist or good psychic to check her over and ensure she’s transited safely, it’s highly specialist work but we are doing what we can, there are millions passing over with this.

      1. Jerome Savage

        Sorry did u say a “spirit release specialist”? Mmmm – sounds almost as dodgy as, say – statin expert promoter.

        1. Her outdoors

          I often share info on here with links to some heavy duty scientists. Sadly few of my posts reach the light. Luckily others with some amazing links are more successful. I do notice that there seems to be a group whose posts litter this page, covering all manner of subjects including moon landings and whatever Dr No wishes to burble about. Sometimes I wonder if Dr K is talking to himself! Excuse my ignorance but I don’t see how those get through the system based on relevance to the topic?
          My comments to Trish are from a place of compassion and also knowledge that may well not match yours, such is life and thank goodness we are all different. May I remind you that fortunately those who decry an issue or ability or theory and say it just can’t be done don’t stop those who can getting on with it? I also feel strongly that now is not a time, if ever, to offer snidy clever remarks and particularly so in a thread where a fellow human is dealing with what looks like the end of her Mother’s life.

          1. Jennifer

            Her outdoors. Well said, thank you
            There are some awful contributors these days….rude, inappropriate and unfeeling in such difficult times. But the culprits won’t take a blind bit of notice!

    2. Jerome Savage

      I apologise . I did not put the comment in context, it was cheap and ill thought. My exasperation at the overall state of affairs across the globe has got the better of me. You have my sympathy and thoughts- my own mother was very religious which I rebelled against – not an excuse but perhaps more context. Please take my comment as careless and a poor effort

  114. Tish

    P.S. Mum had the Oxford AstraZeneca one. Her GP has seen her and told the home to prepare for death but has said I can’t go in and see her because I have not been vaccinated. My vaccinated siblings are allowed in.

    1. Steve

      My personal opinion is that people need to prioritise what is truly important to them and also realistically assess what the real risks are to them and others.
      People also need to understand that if only the good guys play by the rules whilst the bad guys blatantly lie, cheat and steal then your life is totally at the mercy of the crooks and their minions.
      I personally am comfortable with being economic with the truth with regards to my ‘Covid Status’, other people may have an issue with this, I respect that. That is a matter for them.

  115. barovsky

    This from the latest Off Guardian piece:

    A recent NIH study demonstrates that these millions of “recovered” people have long-lasting, and likely permanent protection from re-infection. They present no threat of infection or transmission of the virus. However, under a blanket employer vaccine requirement, these people who are already immune would still be required to get vaccinated. It makes no sense logically or legally to require the vaccination of people who already have more protection from the virus than people who get vaccinated.


  116. Fast Eddy

    Let’s get a recap of activity at the Ministry of Truth – Covid Division….

    Ok PR Team… what have you got for me… Sir… we thought Devil Covid was a bit cheesy … so Steve came up with Double Mutation …. the psych boys said that really rang the bell when tested out on a group of CovIDIOTS in the lab…. and we’ll go with Triple Mutation once Double wears out its welcome…

    Great – but do you have any headlines in play yet?

    Yes Sir… the outlets are jumping on this quickly — here are the results over the first hour…

    About 191,000,000 results (0.58 seconds)

    Here’s a sample:

    Double mutation of the Covid variant in India risks spreading to other countries, doctor says

    Well done team… let’s get some hit pieces out on Mike Yeadon and Fast Eddy .. they’ve caught us with our pants down and we can’t have that getting traction .. Yeadon hasn’t work out the entire story but he’s hot on the trail….

    Yes Sir… we will get right on that…

    Dismissed… Team Leader Robinson … see me in my office…

    Robinson … this is Black Ops leader Thompson….. Fellas… this Fast Eddy character concerns me… he’s somehow work out the CEP… and he’s out there on the boards exposing it top to bottom…. so far nobody believes him but his logic is impeccable… if this continues it could be…. troublesome…..

    First we need to get the Black Opp Team to check if we have a leak in the Ministry… or perhaps Trudeau or Ardern are having second thoughts and attempting to sabotage the CEP with the help of Fast Eddy…. I am told he is originally from Canada but living in New Zealand… so we need to look at both leaders…

    Sir surely there must be a leak — there is no way that anyone could have discovered the CEP without help…. that is unthinkable…

    Yes Thompson … that would require some serious mental horsepower…. but we cannot rule it out.

    Sir what do we do about him if he has worked it out? asks Thompson

    Everyone man has got a breaking point … you and I have one… Fast Eddy has reached his …very obviously he has gone insane……… (helicopter rotors whup whup in the background)… yes sir… very much so sir…. obviously insane…. your mission is to land in Westport… proceed inland to Queenstown… find Fast Eddy… and terminate him…. terminate…. Fast Eddy?…. he’s out their operating without any decent restraints…totally beyond the pale of any acceptable human conduct… terminate… with extreme prejudice….

  117. Fast Eddy

    Apologies for the multiple posts involving this scientist… feel free to delete earlier ones as this may be a Eureka (a solemn Eureka… not a wow this is amazing Eureka) moment. (the entire interview is excellent but the money shot is from around 34:00)

    ‘my fear is that these lockdowns will create a situation where our immune system will no longer be able to fight the variants that are created by the lockdowns’

    Is this Devil Covid??? The ‘Nightmare Scenario’ …. The ‘impending doom?’ The Bossche Bioweapon… the Yeadon extermination … the Fast Eddy CEP?

    1. David Bailey

      ‘my fear is that these lockdowns will create a situation where our immune system will no longer be able to fight the variants that are created by the lockdowns’
      I’m bound to say that if that is true, I can’t honesly believe that a conspiracy is built around that concept. I no-longer trust epidemiology to be much use – even to be used malevolently.

  118. barovsky

    This is from former Pfizer Vice President and Chief Science Officer, Mike Yeadon

    At the outset, Dr. Yeadon said “I’m well aware of the global crimes against humanity being perpetrated against a large proportion of the worlds population.

    “I feel great fear, but I’m not deterred from giving expert testimony to multiple groups of able lawyers like Rocco Galati in Canada and Reiner Fuellmich in Germany.

    “I have absolutely no doubt that we are in the presence of evil (not a determination I’ve ever made before in a 40-year research career) and dangerous products.

    “In the U.K., it’s abundantly clear that the authorities are bent on a course which will result in administering ‘vaccines’ to as many of the population as they can. This is madness, because even if these agents were legitimate, protection is needed only by those at notably elevated risk of death from the virus. In those people, there might even be an argument that the risks are worth bearing. And there definitely are risks which are what I call ‘mechanistic’: inbuilt in the way they work.

    “But all the other people, those in good health and younger than 60 years, perhaps a little older, they don’t perish from the virus. In this large group, it’s wholly unethical to administer something novel and for which the potential for unwanted effects after a few months is completely uncharacterized.

    “In no other era would it be wise to do what is stated as the intention.

    “Since I know this with certainty, and I know those driving it know this too, we have to enquire: What is their motive?
    “While I don’t know, I have strong theoretical answers, only one of which relates to money and that motive doesn’t work, because the same quantum can be arrived at by doubling the unit cost and giving the agent to half as many people. Dilemma solved. So it’s something else.

    Appreciating that, by entire population, it is also intended that minor children and eventually babies are to be included in the net, and that’s what I interpret to be an evil act.

    “There is no medical rationale for it. Knowing as I do that the design of these ‘vaccines’ results, in the expression in the bodies of recipients, expression of the spike protein, which has adverse biological effects of its own which, in some people, are harmful (initiating blood coagulation and activating the immune ‘complement system’), I’m determined to point out that those not at risk from this virus should not be exposed to the risk of unwanted effects from these agents.”

    1. mmec7

      One has to laugh, except that it is sooo flippin stupid. Added to which, the same scenario is happening in Israel. Many ‘pockets popping up’…

  119. Prudence Kitten

    This is a long but interesting and possibly very important paper by Dr Stephanie Seneff. It was published about a year ago, but remains just as relevant today. Dr Seneff’s thesis is that glyphosate, the extremely dangerous poison in Roundup, makes people extra vulnerable to Covid-19 even in tiny doses. Such doses are received through food, water, air, and exhaust gases from burning biofuels.

    Many Covid-19 hot spots correspond closely to areas of high glyphosate pollution. If a place has had few cases and/or deaths (e.g. Africa), you will find it has little or no glyphosate. If a place has suffered badly (e.g. New York or London), it will very likely be a glyphosate hot spot.

    “Connecting the Dots: Glyphosate and COVID-19: Is Covid connected to Glyphosate?”

    “Dr. Stephanie Seneff, Ph.D., is a Senior Research Scientist at MIT’s Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence Laboratory in Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA. She has a B.S. degree from MIT in biology and M.S., E.E., and Ph.D. degrees from MIT in electrical engineering and computer science. Dr. Seneff has published over 200 peer-reviewed papers in scientific journals and conference proceedings”.

    1. Jennifer

      P. KItten. Many thanks. Shame I need to plough through so much inappropriate bumph to find a gem. I could so easily have missed it.

    2. dcfl51

      Glyphosphate, the extremely dangerous poison in Roundup ?

      There has been 1 literature review from the International Agency for Research on Cancer claiming that glyphosphate is dangerous compared to many studies finding that it is safe. Read this article from Reuters reporting that the IARC review deleted and reversed findings which indicated that glyphosphate is not carcinogenic. Interestingly, one of the principal IARC personnel behind the report, a lawyer, then began multi-million dollar law suits against Monsanto. Conflict of interest ?

      Now read these testimonies given before the US House Committee on Science, Space and Technology. They detail how research findings were misrepresented in the IARC review. They also show how the IARC process is fundamentally flawed by failing to assess actual risk, which is a combination of the toxicity of a substance and the levels of the substance likely to be encountered in real life.

  120. Fast Eddy

    Ok PR Team…. another week concludes… let’s have the progress report.

    Sir… we have pulled off the holy grail of PR … we have convinced the CovIDIOTS that a circle is a square.

    As we know… the vaccines do not stop people from catching covid or spreading it… so we were faced with creating lowering infection totals with the mission being to convince the CovIDIOTS that if they get vaccinated they can return to normal. Of course we went to the ever unreliable PCR tests and had the meds reduce the cycles which virtually eliminated all false + and the fake asymptomatic carries.

    We then organized a concert allowing a few hundred vaccinated CovIDIOTS to attend … the 30,000 seat stadium was mostly empty because 1. we don’t want big gatherings because the vaccine does not stop you from getting or passing Covid (oh … did I already say that)… and we don’t want a big flare up in real infections and 2. those empty seats will excite the unvaccinated CovIDIOTS and they will think ‘hey – look at all those seats… if I get the jab I can go to the next concert’….

    We also kicked off a big PR Campaign ‘Israel Back to Normal’

    We’re running that globally…. targeting the markets where we have recently launched more extreme lockdowns to break down stubborn resistance to the vaccine… CovIDIOTS in places like Toronto (we’ve got them in their 6th month of lockdown now) and the UK… will be looking at Israel and thinking — let’s get the vaccine and we can be like them.

    Searching ‘Israel Back to Normal Covid’

    About 69,200,000 results (0.55 seconds)

    Here’s a sample:

    Israel was hit hard by the Covid-19 pandemic – it reported over 831,000 infections. But in just a few months, after launching a mass vaccination campaign, life is “back to normal”.

    As of March 15, according to the World Health Organisation, 9.7 million​ vaccine doses had been administered in Israel. A total of 5.18m​ people, which is over half the population, have received at least one dose. A “green pass” has since been introduced allowing vaccinated people exclusive access to gyms, hotels and theatres and concerts.

    Kiwi expat Jeremy Ross​, who moved to Israel in 2007, received his second vaccine dose in January, a month after the programme launched.

    “This is the end of the road for us … we’re at the end of the tunnel, this is it, the light is here,” Ross said.

    We’ve ordered the fine people at Youtube to get some heavy impressions of this toe-tapper of a Covid Video … Carl Cox is also working on a techno version that will play at all clubs to prep pill-heads for the no vax no entry policy….

    That RunDMC video is polling very high — parents are overcoming their reluctance and bringing kids in for the jab in droves now… so that’s working… so we are going after some other demographics using Marley, Dolly Parton etc…

    This is fantastic team – it’s all coming together … well done!

    We’ve got an Easter Bonus for all of you …. we recommend you spend it as quickly as possible…

    1. Fast Eddy

      Only those with Covid vaccine passport will be able to return to their ‘daily lives’, South Korean PM says

      Seoul has announced it will issue digital certificates verifying a person’s Covid-19 vaccination status, becoming the latest nation to adopt the controversial measure as a means to reopen cross-border travel.

      South Korea will roll out a smartphone application this month that will be able to show whether someone has been administered the jab, Prime Minister Chung Sye-kyun said on Thursday. The system will use blockchain technology to guard against potential identity theft.

      “The introduction of a vaccine passport or ‘Green Pass’ will only allow those who have been vaccinated to experience the recovery to their daily lives,” the prime minister noted while unveiling the new identification. He added that South Korea was following the lead of other nations that claim to have developed systems capable of verifying vaccination status without storing other private information.

  121. Son of Sam 2.0

    The UK govt have two job ads for ‘Head of Communications’.

    The summary says:
    « You will [..] support the expansion of asymptomatic testing, that normalises testing as part of everyday life. »

    The UK govt have two job ads for ‘Head of Communications’.

    The summary says:

    “You will [..] support the expansion of asymptomatic testing, that normalises testing as part of everyday life.”

    (h/t )

    — Luther (@LutherBurgsvik) March 31, 2021

  122. Dr. John H

    Outstanding interview with former Pfizer VP Michael Yeadon (quick read):

    ‘Entirely possible this [vaccine] will be used for massive-scale depopulation’

    “I think the Gerrt Vanden Bossche story is highly suspect. There is no evidence at all that vaccination is leading or will lead to ‘dangerous variants’.

  123. Prudence Kitten

    You know, at first I misread that as “asymptotic testing”. Probably a fairly good description of government policy.

  124. Steve

    Some light relief for the weekend.
    Lockdown sceptics had this video of George Carlin on germs. Not for the easily offended.

    1. me oliveira

      George Carlin had an excellent mind. With power for analysing simple or complicate issues. And tell us the Truth. Is was a man for all times.
      See and listen the big collection of shows presented @YuTu.
      Thanks for remembering him.

    2. Prudence Kitten

      Funny thing: I used to think George Carlin exaggerated, made stuff up, and used too much bad language.

      Now I clearly see that I was wrong on all three counts.

  125. Son of Sam 2.0

    While the vaccine has arrived, some experts still have concerns.

    The lack of scientific peer review raises some concerns, says Byram Bridle, a viral immunologist at the University of Guelph currently doing research to help prepare a vaccine for the next highly pathogenic coronavirus.

    “As an immunologist, I like to point out that I really promote the value of vaccines. I teach immunology and I teach all of my students that good quality vaccines that have been vetted by the scientific community are, in my opinion, the best tool that we have in our medical toolbox and the most efficient ways to save a huge number of lives and a great form of preventative medicine,” said Bridle.

    The problem, he says, is we just don’t know the long-term effects of this vaccine regardless of the new technology used.

    “These vaccines have only been in people at most for half a year. And that’s probably a bit liberal,” says Bridle.

    “That means that we can really only have absolute confidence in the safety of the vaccine up to about six months.”

    He says even when a vaccine takes years to develop, safety is still monitored when it goes out to the general public. But in this case, companies will be monitoring the results for at least the next two years once everyone gets vaccinated in order to collect safety data.

    “This has never happened before. To collect that long term data. To know whether it continues to be safe a year after vaccination, two years after vaccination. We always had that data previously. We don’t have it now and we will only get it as we monitor the rollout,” says Bridle.

    1. Jerome Savage

      I note “once everyone gets vaccinated”
      I also note these insipidious little assumptions creeping in to too many dialogues.
      I Keep coming back to the words I associate with this entire circus ie;
      experimental, (vax)
      Fast tracked
      99.94% (global) survival rate on our id virus,
      Vaxination for depopulation (words of the incredibly wealthy individual throwing largess at all & any actual or susceptible influencers)
      Plus lingering in back of my mind is the assertion that these novel treatments were tested on animals with serious side effects.
      Not a vax – just treats symptoms.

      1. Eggs ‘n beer

        Insidious; indeed. The push for compulsory vaccines hasn’t started yet. No need, atm, as there aren’t enough vaccines to go round yet. In the meantime there is all the insidious implications of vaccine id, vaccine passports, government track and trace ….. but when all the willing have been shot, the pressure will be ramped up on the unwilling. The Aussie PM has stated that the vaccine will be mandatory. He was forced to back pedal on that a bit, to “as mandatory as possible”. This is the being that introduced “No jabs – No pay” linking welfare benefits to childhood immunisation status. If your child isn’t fully immunised, family payments and childcare supplements (a big thing in Oz) are not available. So it’s clear what his thrust for ensuring compliance will be; no benefits, maybe no pensions, perhaps no Medicare (our NHS).

        1. Jerome Savage

          The message, overt & covert is getting trotted out wave like, across our globe with a trotsky like zeal by our elected. We wonder, what have the chemical cheerleaders got on our public representatives ? Does co-ordination practice take place in Geneva or davos ? Creeping ever closer with stealth and no little cunning. Tentacles of the titans tightening their grip – so it seems !

  126. Son of Sam 2.0

    Companies are considering compulsory Covid vaccination requirements as a condition of employment.

    “Under the law, an employer can force an employee to get vaccinated, and if they don’t, fire them,” said Rogge Dunn, a Dallas labor and employment attorney.

    Anti-discrimination laws would enable eligible employees to request an exemption from a company-wide coronavirus vaccine mandate.

    1. Jerome Savage

      Conditions that cause temporary irritation or congestion inside your nose may include: (mayo clinic)
      Acute sinusitis (nasal and sinus infection)
      Common cold
      Hay fever (allergic rhinitis)
      Influenza (flu)
      Nonallergic rhinitis (chronic congestion or sneezing not related to allergies)

  127. Dr. John H

    Excellent interview with former Pfizer VP Dr. Michael Yeadon (quick read):

    “I think the Gerrt Vanden Bossche story is highly suspect.”

    “if someone wished to harm or kill a significant proportion of the worlds population over the next few years, the systems being put in place right now will enable it.”

    “It’s my considered view that it is entirely possible that this [vaccine] will be used for massive-scale depopulation.”
    (Note: used the above url shortener as direct link was censored & wordpress deleted post).

      1. Dr. John H

        Looks like I was wrong, It just took a few days for Malcolm to post it. I have had many Covid posts deleted here in the past for including banned links.

        1. barovsky

          re banned links: Have you tackled WP over this? I know WP has been ‘infiltrated’ by ‘NewsGuard’, the corporate-backed ‘news checker’ and a few weeks ago, a glitch on a WordPress server/software, showed an alarming message in red on my WP Dashboard, that the piece I was about to publish, was banned! Foolishly, I didn’t make a screenshot, as it disappeared after a short while and when I emailed WP, I got no response.

        2. Prudence Kitten

          Dr John, I have been through this loop several times. As far as I know, Dr Kendrick never censors or deletes comments unless they are very uncivil, off-topic, windy, etc

          On the other hand many people have had their posts fail to show up, and when Dr Kendrick was asked he said that it was not anything he did.

          I actually changed my handle, as anything posted under my last one disappeared. I think it must be something to do with the corporation that hosts the blog.

          May I suggest disguising the URLs you post, breaking them up in such a way that software cannot automatically detect that they are URLs?

          Or try posting under a different handle and/or email address. (You can make them up; no one checks).

      1. lingulella

        Playing the man?

        Practically everything about the virus and the ‘vaccines’ doesn’t pass the sniff test.

        Whatever you may think about Yeadon, he is one among many raising issues that have not been answered by those claiming the virus is so dangerous that we all need to be vaccinated with substances that should not in US law have been given EUAs – because other treatments existed. But the list doesn’t stop there.
        There is a growing number of people, who have spent their professional lives studying viruses and vaccines, who are counselling caution about a vaccine programme that intends to vaccinate the whole population from the newborn to the one-foot-in-the-gravers, regardless of existing immune status and risk (of any harm from the virus should they be infected). Others who have examined the spike protein that has been mimicked by the mRNA vaccines are concerned that there are many sections that are homologous with parts of the human genome – warning that care needed to be taken when choosing which sections to put in the vaccine so as not to cause autoimmune problems [this has, sadly, happened].
        There is so much more that frankly ‘stinks’ and the only reason we know about any of it is because of people like Yeadon, we certainly don’t find out from CDC, FDA, MHRA, or EMA, the latter were still waiting for a response from Pfizer to questions about incomplete mRNA sections in the commercially manufactured vaccine (among other issues) at the time they issued an EUA.

          1. Gary Ogden

            JDPatten: Also budesonide, hydrogen peroxide, and monoclonal antibodies. All of these except the MA’s are cheap, safe, and highly effective. If ever there was a condition for which a vaccine was completely unnecessary this is the poster boy for it.

          2. JDPatten

            Hydrogen peroxide is not a treatment. It is a cleaner of surfaces. Since this virus is transmitted mainly by air, it’s not going to prevent much disease. I’m asking how to treat once you’re infected.

            Budesonide looks good, but the RTCs are not in yet, and I, personally, would be hesitant to use a drug that downgrades your immune system to fight a virus. Best to fight the CAUSE of the inflammation rather than the inflammation itself, no?

            MABs seem good –– if you catch the illness early enough and have $$$ and actual access. Not